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MAISA South Dinghy Fall Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 66 33 99
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 41 67 108
3 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 69 48 117
4 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 78 65 143
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 74 80 154
6 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 95 103 198
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 110 109 219
8 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 106 127 233
9 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 98 153 251
10 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 141 117 258
11 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 150 118 268
12 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 156 162 318
13 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 203 194 397
14 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinal 201 211 412
15 St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 214 235 449
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 5 3 1 5 2 3 1 2 1 4 1 1 1 1 10 41 Alexander Curtiss '16
Mariah Leffingwell '16
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 8 4 2 1 1 1 6 6 7 12 9 2 4 2 1 66 Alex Post '15
Bettina Redway '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 11 1 11 2 5 2 4 5 2 3 4 3 6 3 7 69 Brendan Shanahan '17
Miranda Bakos '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 10 3 4 10 4 5 3 3 1 8 5 7 5 3 74 Augie Dale '18
Travis Carlisle '17
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 4 6 4 12 6 5 12 4 5 2 2 4 2 6 4 78 Veronica Maccari '17
Cristina Ortiz Vivas '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 2 5 10 8 10 2 1 4 7 5 8 10 10 12 95 Christopher Craven '16
Olivia Bicks '17
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 9 7 7 8 4 6 8 9 8 8 6 6 3 4 5 98 Joshua Prucnal '16
Rachel Finci '17
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 6 5 6 3 12 9 3 11 6 9 7 11 9 7 2 106 Nicholas Price '17
Rose Peterson '16
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 11 9 11 3 7 10 7 9 6 3 7 11 8 6 110 Peter Hogan '18
Sahara Graft '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 7 8 8 9 13 8 9 12 11 5 11 10 13 9 8 141 Austin Powers '17
Nina Heatfield '17
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 12 9 10 7 11 DSQ 7 10 10 11 10 9 8 11 9 150 Scott Guinn '15
Kaitlynn Menoche '15
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 10 13 12 6 9 11 11 8 12 10 13 13 5 12 11 156 Thomas Zanowic '15
Ellen Studer '17
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinal 15 15 13 DSQ 7 12 14 13 14 13 15 14 12 14 14 201 Sarah Seski '15
Dakota Knutson '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 14 14 14 13 15 13 13 14 13 14 14 12 14 13 13 203 Cody Murphy '17
Sara Conway '16
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 13 12 15 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 12 15 15 15 15 214 Branham Talton '15 [1-15]
Nicole Pease '15 [1-8]
Catherine White '16 [9-12]
Christine Rowghani '16 [13-15]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 1 1 3 1 4 10 3 1 1 1 3 1 1 33 Sean Golden '16
Isabelle Ruiz De Luzuriaga '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 4 6 2 1 3 1 1 2 6 2 6 1 3 8 48 Kai Friesecke '18 [1-8]
Roger Dorr '18 [9-15]
Henry Young '16 [1-8]
Matthew Ricci '15 [9-15]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 7 7 2 9 5 2 7 2 1 2 4 8 2 2 5 65 Maximilian Kuester '18
Albert Berk Toledo '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 2 3 3 2 6 3 4 4 9 3 4 4 10 6 67 Edmund Cooper '17 [1-12]
Thomas Galster '15 [13-15]
Allison Shane '15 [1-12]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 10 5 7 5 4 4 2 7 8 4 9 2 6 4 3 80 Jacob Spracher '15 [1-13]
Joseph David '16 [14-15]
Carter Little '18 [1-13]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 6 9 5 7 6 7 11 3 7 5 11 7 8 9 2 103 Samuel Patterson '16
Eliza Schuett '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 6 11 4 11 5 8 12 10 11 6 5 5 8 4 109 James Morgan '18
Willard Hawley '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 8 3 10 10 7 12 DSQ 9 5 3 7 3 10 5 9 117 Xander Van Beurden '18
Kaitlin Welker '17
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 5 8 4 11 12 11 5 6 6 8 5 9 9 12 7 118 Adam Siegel '15
Ella Cahill '15
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 9 10 8 6 8 10 6 5 9 7 10 11 11 6 11 127 Mckay Hanna '17
Ashley Black '17
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 11 12 9 12 9 9 10 8 11 12 8 10 12 7 13 153 Andrew Bobbitt '18
Joseph Crouse '16
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 13 11 12 8 10 13 9 11 13 10 12 12 7 11 10 162 Chris Lane '17
Olivia Ellis '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 12 13 14 13 14 14 12 13 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 194 John Haley '18
Cailey Treyz '18
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinal 14 14 13 14 13 8 13 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS 15 15 14 211 Samuel Mortin '16
Adrianna Matyas '16
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 14 14 15 235 Megan Mitchell '16 [1-12]
Catherine White '16 [13-15]
Maryellen Markuske '15 [1-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (41 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinal111122223333444
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains222233334444555
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials333344445555666
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas444455556666777
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates555566667777888
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD666677778888999
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps121212121313131314141414151515
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen111111111212121213131313141414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs777788889999101010
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies99991010101011111111121212
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks101010101111111112121212131313
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves8888999910101010111111
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos131313131414141415151515111
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies14141414151515151111222
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1515151511112222333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinal111122223333444
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains222233334444555
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials333344445555666
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas444455556666777
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates555566667777888
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD666677778888999
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps121212121313131314141414151515
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen111111111212121213131313141414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs777788889999101010
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies99991010101011111111121212
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks101010101111111112121212131313
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves8888999910101010111111
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos131313131414141415151515111
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies14141414151515151111222
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1515151511112222333
School / Team SkipperCrew
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Sarah Seski '15 Dakota Knutson '17
Cardinal Samuel Mortin '16 Adrianna Matyas '16
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Austin Powers '17 Nina Heatfield '17
Captains Xander Van Beurden '18 Kaitlin Welker '17
George Washington University George Washington University Brendan Shanahan '17 Miranda Bakos '18
Colonials Kai Friesecke '18 [1-8]
Roger Dorr '18 [9-15]		 Henry Young '16 [1-8]
Matthew Ricci '15 [9-15]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Alex Post '15 Bettina Redway '16
Hoyas Sean Golden '16 Isabelle Ruiz De Luzuriaga '16
Hampton University Hampton University Veronica Maccari '17 Cristina Ortiz Vivas '18
Pirates Maximilian Kuester '18 Albert Berk Toledo '15
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Thomas Zanowic '15 Ellen Studer '17
Loyola University MD Chris Lane '17 Olivia Ellis '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Augie Dale '18 Travis Carlisle '17
Monarchs Jacob Spracher '15 [1-13]
Joseph David '16 [14-15]		 Carter Little '18 [1-13]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Cody Murphy '17 Sara Conway '16
Seawolves John Haley '18 Cailey Treyz '18
St. John's College St. John's College Branham Talton '15 [1-15] Nicole Pease '15 [1-8]
Catherine White '16 [9-12]
Christine Rowghani '16 [13-15]
Johnnies Megan Mitchell '16 [1-12]
Catherine White '16 [13-15]		 Maryellen Markuske '15 [1-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Alexander Curtiss '16 Mariah Leffingwell '16
Seahawks Edmund Cooper '17 [1-12]
Thomas Galster '15 [13-15]		 Allison Shane '15 [1-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Peter Hogan '18 Sahara Graft '18
Midshipmen James Morgan '18 Willard Hawley '18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Joshua Prucnal '16 Rachel Finci '17
Terps Andrew Bobbitt '18 Joseph Crouse '16
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Craven '16 Olivia Bicks '17
Wahoos Samuel Patterson '16 Eliza Schuett '17
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Nicholas Price '17 Rose Peterson '16
Hokies Mckay Hanna '17 Ashley Black '17
William and Mary William and Mary Scott Guinn '15 Kaitlynn Menoche '15
Tribe Adam Siegel '15 Ella Cahill '15

Conditions — 10/04/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1003.4 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From WNW (302°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1003.4 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn · W 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →