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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 25 19 44
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 21 26 47
3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 31 16 47
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 28 19 47
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 45 23 68
6 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 25 53 78
7 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 45 41 86
8 Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech 54 36 90
9 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 44 53 97
10 Boston University Boston University Terriers 40 66 106
11 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 52 55 107
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 66 64 130
13 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 73 79 152
14 University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters 83 80 163
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 2 5 1 7 3 21 Henry Sharpe '17
Megha Malpani '19
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 1 10 4 8 1 1 25 Nicholas Memoli '20
Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 10 1 6 2 4 2 25 John Duncan '19
Alexandra Arsenault '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 7 5 3 5 3 5 28 Nicholas Giacobbe '19
Lucy Robison '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 6 4 2 4 6 9 31 John Reyes '19 [1-6]
Brooke Mcgoldrick '20 [1-2]
Julia Cho '20 [3-6]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 3 9 7 10 7 40 Caroline Salas '18
Andrew Stoycos '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 8 13 9 2 10 44 Coleen Ross '20
Carolyn Corbet '21
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 8 6 7 DNF 5 4 45 Nathan Drezner '20
Isaiah Riesman-Tremonte '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 9 1 6 9 8 45 Lucie Ford '20
Stephanie Clancy '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 11 11 10 3 11 6 52 Nathaniel Wiener '18
Emmet Byron '19
Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech 9 7 8 10 8 12 54
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 12 12 12 12 13 66 Autumn Becker '20
River Iannaccone '19
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 13 14 11 11 13 11 73 Sabrina Mcdonnell '18
Oliver Koch '20
University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters 14 13 14 13 14 DNF 83 Michaela Kenward '19
Mikayla Long '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5 1 1 1 5 3 16 Fiona Mckellar '20
Brooke Mcgoldrick '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 7 3 3 2 2 19 Charlotte Lenz '20
Marisa Permatteo '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 4 5 4 2 3 1 19 Elena Gonick '20
Grace Materne '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 7 3 2 6 1 4 23 Grace Vincens '20
Emily Conaton '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 4 5 5 4 5 26 Gabriel Hannon '20
Sawyer Balint '20
Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech 9 2 6 4 8 7 36
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 1 6 8 10 7 9 41 Malich Altman '19
Isabelle Hickey '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 12 11 7 6 11 53 Romain Astie '20
Julianne Mozzer '21
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 10 9 9 8 9 8 53 Rebecca Biwer '20
Nicole Owens '19
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 12 8 7 11 11 6 55 Vick Xu '19
Robert Kelley '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 11 11 13 9 10 10 64 Jenna O'Del '20
Jane Kayarian '20
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 10 10 13 13 12 66 Sarah Ziobro '19
Jacqueline Farnsworth '17
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 13 13 14 14 12 13 79 Wesley Dickerson '17 [1-6]
Caylee Forschner '20 [1-4]
Sabrina Mcdonnell '18 [5-6]
University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters 14 14 12 12 14 14 80 Julia Biagini '20
Riley Rhodes '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (56 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons113355
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers224466
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges335577
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears446688
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds66881010
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers77991111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers557799
University of New EnglandUniversity of New England Nor'Easters1212141422
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats13131133
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies8810101212
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks9911111313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1101012121414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 21111131311
Worcester PolytechWorcester Polytech Worcester Polytech14142244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons224466
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers335577
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges446688
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears557799
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds77991111
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers8810101212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers66881010
University of New EnglandUniversity of New England Nor'Easters13131133
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats14142244
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9911111313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks101012121414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 11111131311
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 21212141422
Worcester PolytechWorcester Polytech Worcester Polytech113355

Conditions — 11/05/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1020.4 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From W (266°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover57% Sunshine7.7 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1020.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Boston University: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.19 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →