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MCSA Fall Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 49 38 87
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 94 28 122
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 66 74 140
4 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 59 86 145
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 94 63 157
6 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 78 83 161
7 University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 111 86 197
8 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 93 118 211
9 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 113 115 228
10 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 140 114 254
11 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 114 177 291
12 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 133 180 313
13 Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 179 161 340
14 Maroons Maroons Maroons 173 MRP 171 MRP 344 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 2 1 1 1 4 1 9 3 4 1 10 1 9 49 Jenna Probst '22
Joe Serpa '24
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 4 3 9 10 5 1 2 11 1 1 4 2 4 2 59 Tarkan Bolat '22
Melanie Gainer '22
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 1 1 2 8 7 2 6 7 9 2 3 4 9 5 66 Marissa Tegeder '25
Sophie Lusty '24
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3 9 6 5 9 5 3 6 8 3 12 3 2 4 78 Joseph Gallagher '24
Joseph Thuente '24
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 5 7 8 4 6 3 10 10 10 9 5 6 3 7 93 William Carroll '25
John Sullivan '25
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 7 13 10 9 4 6 4 4 4 13 6 1 10 3 94 Ella Reinemann '23 [1-14]
Thomas Hadcock '24 [1-4, 9-10]
George Lockwood '25 [5-8, 11-14]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 9 5 4 3 2 8 14 1 2 7 11 12 8 8 94 Will Davies '22
Matthew Beretta '23
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 10 4 12 13 13 7 12 2 7 11 7 7 5 1 111 Rachel Bartel '24
Conall Lynch '24
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 6 6 11 2 11 11 8 8 14 6 9 8 7 6 113 Liam Walz '21 [1-14]
Andrew Michels '25 [1-2]
Sean Sweeney '24 [3-14]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 8 11 3 7 8 9 7 3 12 8 10 11 6 11 114 Odey Hariri '24
Nok In Chan '25
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 11 10 13 12 12 13 5 12 6 5 8 5 11 10 133 Donny Marwin '22
Emily Wood '23
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 14 8 7 11 10 10 11 14 5 12 2 9 12 DSQ 140 Brittany Shabino '25
Etain Mckinney '22
Maroons Maroons Maroons 12 12 5 6 3 12 13 5 11 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS 173 MRP
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 13 14 14 14 14 14 9 13 13 10 13 13 13 12 179 Lucia Marquez '24 [1-14]
Wiktoria Pedryc '24 [1-4, 9-14]
Noah Mueller '23 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 3 7 2 1 3 1 28 Hailey Feinzig '22
Lucas Quinn '23
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 5 1 3 2 2 6 2 1 1 1 2 5 5 38 Sherman Thompson '22 [1-12]
Brody Schwartz '24 [13-14]
Lily Allen '23 [1-12]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 2 10 12 6 6 4 1 5 2 5 3 1 3 63 Lillian Nemeth '22 [1-14]
Gabriel Abbott '23 [1-4]
Eva Bambakidis '22 [5-14]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 7 4 3 2 4 7 3 4 6 4 11 5 8 6 74 Mary Castellini '25
Nicole Giuliani '24
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 10 8 8 8 5 5 8 5 4 6 8 4 2 2 83 Nicholas Peluchiwski '22 [1-10]
Thomas Szymanski '22 [11-14]
Kelsey Kennedy '22 [1-10]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 4 7 5 10 10 3 2 6 11 3 3 8 7 7 86 Michael Rivkin '22
Bahda Hoang '23
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 6 6 9 7 3 4 10 10 2 8 6 7 4 4 86 Greg Bittle '25
Meriah Kirschstein '24
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 8 3 6 4 11 9 7 11 10 10 9 6 10 10 114 Emma Turner '23
Barrett Hall '24
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 5 10 4 5 14 8 11 9 8 5 7 9 11 9 115 Andrew Michels '25
Garrett Szlachta '25
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 12 11 7 6 7 11 5 8 9 11 4 10 9 8 118 Chase Ireland '22
Lindsey Heben '23
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 14 12 12 11 13 12 12 12 12 12 10 11 6 12 161 Arthur Brown '22 [1-14]
Luisa Munoz '25 [1-10]
Noah Mueller '23 [11-14]
Maroons Maroons Maroons 11 9 11 9 9 10 9 7 7 9 DNS DNS DNS DNS 171 MRP
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 9 14 13 14 12 13 14 14 13 14 12 12 12 11 177 River Martin '22
William Bernhardt '25
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 13 13 14 13 8 14 13 13 14 13 13 13 13 13 180 Russell English '22 [1-14]
Gavin Donahee '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13]
Fritz Jaeger '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
MaroonsMaroons Maroons88101012121414224466
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers113355779911111313
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini991111131311335577
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters22446688101012121414
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles335577991111131311
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines10101212141422446688
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One44668810101212141422
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats557799111113131133
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish111113131133557799
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes66881010121214142244
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers779911111313113355
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies12121414224466881010
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1131311335577991111
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 214142244668810101212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
MaroonsMaroons Maroons991111131311335577
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers22446688101012121414
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini10101212141422446688
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters335577991111131311
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles44668810101212141422
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines111113131133557799
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One557799111113131133
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats66881010121214142244
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish12121414224466881010
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes779911111313113355
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers88101012121414224466
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies131311335577991111
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 114142244668810101212
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2113355779911111313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Liam Walz '21 [1-14] Andrew Michels '25 [1-2]
Sean Sweeney '24 [3-14]
Lakers Andrew Michels '25 Garrett Szlachta '25
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Lucia Marquez '24 [1-14] Wiktoria Pedryc '24 [1-4, 9-14]
Noah Mueller '23 [5-8]
Foresters Arthur Brown '22 [1-14] Luisa Munoz '25 [1-10]
Noah Mueller '23 [11-14]
Marquette University Marquette University Brittany Shabino '25 Etain Mckinney '22
Golden Eagles Emma Turner '23 Barrett Hall '24
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Donny Marwin '22 Emily Wood '23
Husky One Russell English '22 [1-14] Gavin Donahee '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13]
Fritz Jaeger '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Will Davies '22 Matthew Beretta '23
Wildcats Lillian Nemeth '22 [1-14] Gabriel Abbott '23 [1-4]
Eva Bambakidis '22 [5-14]
Ohio State University Ohio State University William Carroll '25 John Sullivan '25
Buckeyes Chase Ireland '22 Lindsey Heben '23
Purdue University Purdue University Odey Hariri '24 Nok In Chan '25
Boilermakers River Martin '22 William Bernhardt '25
University of Illinois University of Illinois Tarkan Bolat '22 Melanie Gainer '22
Illini Michael Rivkin '22 Bahda Hoang '23
University of Michigan University of Michigan Jenna Probst '22 Joe Serpa '24
Wolverines Sherman Thompson '22 [1-12]
Brody Schwartz '24 [13-14]		 Lily Allen '23 [1-12]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Joseph Gallagher '24 Joseph Thuente '24
Fighting Irish Nicholas Peluchiwski '22 [1-10]
Thomas Szymanski '22 [11-14]		 Kelsey Kennedy '22 [1-10]
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Rachel Bartel '24 Conall Lynch '24
Tommies Greg Bittle '25 Meriah Kirschstein '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Ella Reinemann '23 [1-14] Thomas Hadcock '24 [1-4, 9-10]
George Lockwood '25 [5-8, 11-14]
Badgers 1 Hailey Feinzig '22 Lucas Quinn '23
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Marissa Tegeder '25 Sophie Lusty '24
Badgers 2 Mary Castellini '25 Nicole Giuliani '24

Conditions — 10/30/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1005.5 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.8 kn
Gusts to 25.3 kn
From NNE (14°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover43% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1005.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 13 kn · NW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →