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Oberg Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 28 32 60
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 39 29 68
3 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 51 30 81
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 34 53 87
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 54 35 89
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 60 43 103
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 60 54 114
8 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 31 88 119
9 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 50 69 119
10 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 70 58 128
11 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 73 75 148
12 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 105 75 180
13 Providence College Providence College Friars 100 99 199
14 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 100 111 211
15 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 111 114 225
16 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 130 131 261
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 9 1 5 2 3 5 1 28 Ryan Pesch '12
Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 5 3 4 2 5 1 2 9 31 David Alfonso '14
Kelden Pehr '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 6 5 6 1 3 2 4 7 34 Christian Manchester '10 [1-8]
Molly Clarke '13 [1-6]
Emily Migliaccio '11 [7-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 2 2 8 11 6 3 3 39 Ryan Hughes '13
Emma De Aguiar '11
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 10 4 5 9 7 8 1 6 50 Colin Santangelo '11
Alma Lafler '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 11 6 3 6 8 9 6 2 51 Bo Mcclatchy '13
Jenna Musco '11
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 1 12 4 10 7 8 5 54 George Saunders '12
Katie Palmer '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 12 7 7 9 5 9 10 60 Nicolas Russo-Larsson '12
Reeves Bright '12
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 7 8 11 6 4 7 14 60 Kyle Carney '13
Hayley Blundell '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 8 15 11 3 4 13 12 4 70 Emily Billing '13
Margot Benedict '12
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 8 10 13 1 10 10 12 73 Bryant Dunn '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Conor Lodge '14 [5-6]
Jessica Hoffman '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Providence College Providence College Friars 13 10 15 14 12 14 14 8 100 Carl Lichtenfels '12
Katie Grahn '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 14 11 13 12 13 11 13 13 100 Thomas Presti '13
Eleanor Leonard '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 12 14 14 10 15 12 RAF 11 105 Tom Charpentier '10
Katharine O'Brien '12
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 15 13 9 15 14 15 15 15 111 Meghan Breslin-Jewer '11
Katherine Kolios '12
Bates College Bates College Bobcats DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 11 DSQ 130 Ian Gilchrist '11
Liana Blum '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 1 3 1 6 1 6 3 29 James Simmons '13
Lindsey Leclair '11
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 2 2 10 2 4 1 5 30 John Renehan '13
Margaret Wilson '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 4 1 6 1 8 10 1 32 Daniel Perkins '11
Elizabeth Santovasi '11
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 3 11 7 3 2 2 4 35 Cameron Pimentel '13
Daniel Goldman '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 9 6 2 4 5 5 6 43 William Hutchings '13
Amelia Quinn '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 6 4 5 9 9 4 11 53 Ryan Mullins '13
Kelly Roy '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 7 5 5 11 5 6 8 7 54 Eric Decesar '11
Nicole Ioannilli '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 10 10 9 8 7 3 9 58 Andrew Kurzrok '11
Margot Benedict '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 10 11 9 8 11 11 7 2 69 Jason Michas '13 [1-8]
Alexandra Perkins '10 [1-6]
William White '12 [7-8]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 15 7 3 13 3 12 13 75 Kevin Walsh '13 [1-2]
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 [3-8]
Kate Boerma '13 [1-6]
Estelle Beguin '14 [7-8]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 12 8 12 4 7 13 9 10 75 Sarah Fiske '13
Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers DSQ 12 8 12 10 10 11 8 88 Charles Field '10
Adrienne Tran '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 11 7 13 13 12 12 16 15 99 Colden Johanson '10 [1-8]
Brigitte Spillane '12 [1-6]
Mary Cullen '10 [7-8]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 12 111 James Fales '13 [1-8]
Ashley Cuprak '12 [1-6]
Katelyn Guerrera '12 [7-8]
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 13 13 15 15 15 15 14 14 114 Josh Basseches '12
John Fonte '12
Bates College Bates College Bobcats DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 13 16 131 Nick Sneath '13
Eve Boyce '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11335577
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22446688
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33557799
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4466881010
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges5577991111
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1515113355
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green668810101212
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson779918181313
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers88101012121414
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99181813131515
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1010121214141616
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams18181313151511
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks12121414161622
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks131315151133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141416162244
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1616224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats22446688
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles33557799
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4466881010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears5577991111
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges668810101212
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1616224466
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green779918181313
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson88101012121414
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers99181813131515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1010121214141616
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars18181313151511
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams12121414161622
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks131315151133
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks141416162244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1515113355
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Ian Gilchrist '11 Liana Blum '12
Bobcats Nick Sneath '13 Eve Boyce '13
Boston College Boston College Christian Manchester '10 [1-8] Molly Clarke '13 [1-6]
Emily Migliaccio '11 [7-8]
Eagles Ryan Mullins '13 Kelly Roy '13
Boston University Boston University Ryan Pesch '12 Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Terriers Daniel Perkins '11 Elizabeth Santovasi '11
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Tom Charpentier '10 Katharine O'Brien '12
Polar Bears Sarah Fiske '13 Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12
Brandeis University Brandeis University Meghan Breslin-Jewer '11 Katherine Kolios '12
Judges Josh Basseches '12 John Fonte '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Bo Mcclatchy '13 Jenna Musco '11
Big Green John Renehan '13 Margaret Wilson '13
Harvard University Harvard University Colin Santangelo '11 Alma Lafler '14
Crimson Jason Michas '13 [1-8] Alexandra Perkins '10 [1-6]
William White '12 [7-8]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology David Alfonso '14 Kelden Pehr '13
Beavers Charles Field '10 Adrienne Tran '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Bryant Dunn '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Conor Lodge '14 [5-6]		 Jessica Hoffman '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Huskies Kevin Walsh '13 [1-2]
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 [3-8]		 Kate Boerma '13 [1-6]
Estelle Beguin '14 [7-8]
Providence College Providence College Carl Lichtenfels '12 Katie Grahn '12
Friars Colden Johanson '10 [1-8] Brigitte Spillane '12 [1-6]
Mary Cullen '10 [7-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University George Saunders '12 Katie Palmer '11
Hawks Cameron Pimentel '13 Daniel Goldman '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Kyle Carney '13 Hayley Blundell '13
Seahawks Eric Decesar '11 Nicole Ioannilli '13
Tufts University Tufts University Nicolas Russo-Larsson '12 Reeves Bright '12
Jumbos William Hutchings '13 Amelia Quinn '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Thomas Presti '13 Eleanor Leonard '13
Huskies James Fales '13 [1-8] Ashley Cuprak '12 [1-6]
Katelyn Guerrera '12 [7-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Ryan Hughes '13 Emma De Aguiar '11
Rams James Simmons '13 Lindsey Leclair '11
Yale University Yale University Emily Billing '13 Margot Benedict '12
Bulldogs Andrew Kurzrok '11 Margot Benedict '12

Conditions — 04/17/2010 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1007.5 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From ENE (63°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.4 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1007.5 hPa Rain0.21 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · W 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Boston University: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →