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Old Guard/ Owen Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 66 52 118
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 86 55 141
3 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 110 97 207
4 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 110 103 213
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 143 80 223
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 95 147 242
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 123 125 248
8 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 111 140 251
9 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 96 165 261
10 Boston University Boston University Terriers 136 136 272
11 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 172 127 299
12 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 136 166 302
13 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 171 140 311
14 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 173 152 325
15 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 202 241 443
16 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 268 272 540
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 2 5 1 6 8 2 7 2 6 2 4 5 4 1 8 66 Alan Palmer '11 [1-16]
Ryan Byrne '13 [1-5, 7-8]
Meghan Wareham '11 [6, 9-16]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 8 1 1 5 2 1 8 5 13 4 5 8 11 2 6 6 86 Cam Cullman '13 [1-16]
Amanda Salvesen '14 [1-8]
Blair Belling '11 [9-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 7 3 3 11 6 1 6 5 7 7 5 6 5 3 14 95 William Hutchings '13
Reeves Bright '12
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 11 8 2 4 10 12 13 3 3 11 6 1 1 7 2 96 Nick Aswad '11
Francois Conde-Jahn '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 3 4 8 8 2 6 1 9 9 14 13 14 6 11 1 110 John Wallace '14 [1-16]
Lauren Schoene '13 [1-14]
Karl Haelsig '14 [15-16]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 9 10 2 4 12 3 5 3 7 5 4 11 7 7 9 12 110 Halsey Richartz '11
Ali Zablocki '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 6 9 10 10 5 4 10 4 11 9 7 4 10 4 4 111 Benjamin Bainbridge '12 [1-16]
Claire Sacco '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Katrina Salk '11 [5-6, 9-16]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts RAF DNS 6 13 1 9 15 11 1 10 3 2 2 3 10 3 123 Coleman Bowen '11
Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 5 10 9 5 7 3 8 8 15 12 10 10 OCS 2 10 136 Connor Needham '14
Megan Carlson '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers 14 12 7 7 9 15 13 12 6 8 1 3 8 11 5 5 136 Matt Johnson '12 [1-16]
Stuart Minshull '14 [1-8]
Rebecca Bar '12 [9-16]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 4 12 15 14 4 11 9 14 1 10 1 3 8 15 15 143 James Allsopp '11 [1-16]
Andy Kramer '11 [1-4]
Jennifer Goss '11 [5-16]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 13 OCS 14 3 13 9 BKD 11 12 6 12 9 12 12 7 171 Ryan White '11
Sydney Rey '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 12 8 11 6 13 11 7 OCS 12 2 15 9 12 13 13 11 172 Philip Alley '12 [1-16]
Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 [1-2]
Katharine Close '14 [3-8]
Erin Ahlers '13 [9-16]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 13 9 14 11 7 12 10 2 15 14 13 14 13 9 8 9 173 Billy Hines '12
Kerry Morrison '11
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 11 14 13 12 15 14 14 4 10 13 8 15 15 OCS 14 13 202 Gene Merewether '13 [1-16]
Philip Oasis '13 [1-4]
Lucy Cobbs '14 [5-10]
Jennifer Haak '13 [11-16]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 15 15 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 268 Alexander Lovo '11
Peter Hudelson '11
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 2 4 6 2 1 2 1 3 2 3 2 3 6 2 11 52 Tedd Himler '11 [1-16]
Meghan Wareham '11 [1-4]
Sarah Pierson '14 [5-16]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 4 5 3 6 2 1 7 1 1 2 1 4 1 9 7 55 Emily Billing '13 [1-8, 15-16]
Joseph Morris '12 [9-14]
Rafael Fernandez '13 [1-8]
Amanda Salvesen '14 [9-16]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 1 1 2 12 3 3 2 11 10 7 5 1 4 7 8 80 Lukas Edegran '13
Glenn Mckenna '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 10 5 2 1 1 7 4 5 13 6 8 14 9 2 8 2 97 Michael Russom '13
Amanda Vecchione '11
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 6 11 7 3 8 7 4 6 7 6 13 5 7 6 1 103 Ian Liberty '14 [1-16]
Karl Haelsig '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Kelley Merryman '14 [5-6, 9-16]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 13 7 10 5 13 9 9 2 13 1 4 2 11 1 10 125
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 7 3 12 7 9 8 10 5 9 11 9 8 14 4 6 127 Vincent Andrews '11 [1-16]
Erin Ahlers '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Devon Furlong '13 [3-4]
Katharine Close '14 [9-16]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 9 14 13 11 4 5 3 9 4 9 6 11 3 10 OCS 136 Ryan Pesch '12 [1-16]
Rebecca Bar '12 [1-8]
Madelyn Irwin '14 [9-16]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 9 10 6 5 9 10 6 8 8 5 15 3 13 10 14 9 140 Elizabeth Whipple '12 [1-14]
Wells Bacon '11 [15-16]
Wells Bacon '11 [1-8]
Claire Sacco '13 [9-14]
Mae Lortie '11 [15-16]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 12 12 9 9 10 6 13 6 7 14 5 8 10 5 11 3 140 Conor Lodge '14
Becker Awqatty '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 3 10 4 14 12 10 12 10 8 10 10 12 9 5 5 147 T. Max Bulger '13
Amelia Quinn '13
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 7 11 13 8 8 11 11 11 12 11 13 7 6 8 3 12 152 Brendan Hannon '11
Marie Johnson '12
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 4 8 12 11 13 5 12 14 14 12 12 11 7 13 13 4 165 Arthur Bailey Iv '14 [1-16]
Eleanor Rogers '11 [1-8]
Erin Hofstetter '14 [9-16]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 11 14 8 14 4 14 14 13 4 3 4 12 14 12 12 13 166 Eric Schwarm '13
Megan Place '13
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 14 15 OCS 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 14 15 15 15 OCS 14 241 Anthony Pappenfus '13 [1-10]
Andrew Werner '14 [11-16]
Lauren Bleakney '13 [1-10]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 272 Patrick Bowers '11
Corbin Anderson '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army1133557799101011111212
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221616141412121010998877
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions44221616141412121111101099
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels335577991111121213131414
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red55779911111313141415151616
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson66442216161414131312121111
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners779911111313151516161122
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen886644221616151514141313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9911111313151511223344
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1414121210108866554433
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1010886644221116161515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1111131315151133445566
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks12121010886644332211
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos13131515113355667788
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts15151133557788991010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs161614141212101088776655

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army2244668899101011111212
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers111515131311111010998877
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions33111515131312121111101099
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels44668810101111121213131414
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red6688101012121313141415151616
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson55331115151414131312121111
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners88101012121414151516161122
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen775533111616151514141313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies101012121414161611223344
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers13131111997766554433
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers99775533221116161515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1212141416162233445566
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks111199775544332211
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos14141616224455667788
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts16162244667788991010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1515131311119988776655
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Matt Johnson '12 [1-16] Stuart Minshull '14 [1-8]
Rebecca Bar '12 [9-16]
Terriers Ryan Pesch '12 [1-16] Rebecca Bar '12 [1-8]
Madelyn Irwin '14 [9-16]
Columbia University Columbia University Billy Hines '12 Kerry Morrison '11
Lions Brendan Hannon '11 Marie Johnson '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Benjamin Bainbridge '12 [1-16] Claire Sacco '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Katrina Salk '11 [5-6, 9-16]
Camels Elizabeth Whipple '12 [1-14]
Wells Bacon '11 [15-16]		 Wells Bacon '11 [1-8]
Claire Sacco '13 [9-14]
Mae Lortie '11 [15-16]
Cornell University Cornell University Philip Alley '12 [1-16] Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 [1-2]
Katharine Close '14 [3-8]
Erin Ahlers '13 [9-16]
Big Red Vincent Andrews '11 [1-16] Erin Ahlers '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Devon Furlong '13 [3-4]
Katharine Close '14 [9-16]
Harvard University Harvard University Alan Palmer '11 [1-16] Ryan Byrne '13 [1-5, 7-8]
Meghan Wareham '11 [6, 9-16]
Crimson Tedd Himler '11 [1-16] Meghan Wareham '11 [1-4]
Sarah Pierson '14 [5-16]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Ryan White '11 Sydney Rey '13
Huskies Conor Lodge '14 Becker Awqatty '14
Princeton University Princeton University Gene Merewether '13 [1-16] Philip Oasis '13 [1-4]
Lucy Cobbs '14 [5-10]
Jennifer Haak '13 [11-16]
Tigers Anthony Pappenfus '13 [1-10]
Andrew Werner '14 [11-16]		 Lauren Bleakney '13 [1-10]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Connor Needham '14 Megan Carlson '12
Hawks Eric Schwarm '13 Megan Place '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland John Wallace '14 [1-16] Lauren Schoene '13 [1-14]
Karl Haelsig '14 [15-16]
Seahawks Ian Liberty '14 [1-16] Karl Haelsig '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Kelley Merryman '14 [5-6, 9-16]
Tufts University Tufts University William Hutchings '13 Reeves Bright '12
Jumbos T. Max Bulger '13 Amelia Quinn '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Nick Aswad '11 Francois Conde-Jahn '13
Mariners Arthur Bailey Iv '14 [1-16] Eleanor Rogers '11 [1-8]
Erin Hofstetter '14 [9-16]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Alexander Lovo '11 Peter Hudelson '11
Army Patrick Bowers '11 Corbin Anderson '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy James Allsopp '11 [1-16] Andy Kramer '11 [1-4]
Jennifer Goss '11 [5-16]
Midshipmen Lukas Edegran '13 Glenn Mckenna '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Halsey Richartz '11 Ali Zablocki '12
Quakers Michael Russom '13 Amanda Vecchione '11
University of Vermont University of Vermont Coleman Bowen '11 Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12
Catamounts
Yale University Yale University Cam Cullman '13 [1-16] Amanda Salvesen '14 [1-8]
Blair Belling '11 [9-16]
Bulldogs Emily Billing '13 [1-8, 15-16]
Joseph Morris '12 [9-14]		 Rafael Fernandez '13 [1-8]
Amanda Salvesen '14 [9-16]

Conditions — 03/26/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 37%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

35°F
↑ 39°F   ↓ 27°F
Feels like 24°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.9 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From NW (307°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity37% Pressure1016.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 17 kn · N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →