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PJ Wenner Rainbow Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 55 48 103
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 62 61 123
3 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 56 67 123
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B: Top-guns 89 77 166
5 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 119 54 173
6 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 103 78 181
7 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 126 101 227
8 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 150 82 232
9 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 97 138 235
10 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 62 176 238
11 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 112 135 247
12 Hosei University Hosei University Hosei 145 121 266
13 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Wahine Salve 153 161 314
14 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 141 175 316
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 2 1 4 1 2 4 6 1 2 5 10 1 11 55 Kyle Carney '13
Angelina Todaro '16
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 9 1 4 5 3 4 5 1 6 3 1 1 8 5 56 Adam Pokras '14
Kellie Yamada '16
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 1 5 3 3 5 5 9 5 3 11 2 6 3 1 62 Madeline Kennedy '14
Katrina Berry '15
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 4 8 11 1 2 1 1 3 7 1 13 2 2 6 62 Gregory Dair '15
Bianca Barnes '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B: Top-guns 8 3 5 2 14 3 6 8 2 9 7 3 7 12 89 John Silvestri '16
Mary Zeolla '13
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 4 2 8 7 10 2 2 11 14 8 14 4 8 97 Matthew Morris '16 [1-8]
Eric Alamillo '13 [9-14]
Danielle Sams '16 [1-8]
Jonathan Schafgans '13 [9-14]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 13 7 6 10 4 13 11 10 4 7 3 4 9 2 103 Giacomo Paoletti '15 [1-8]
James Foster '14 [9-14]
Holly Nishiguchi '13 [1-8]
Patrick Manuel '16 [9-14]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 14 9 9 13 9 3 4 9 4 11 8 5 7 112 Peter Mcgrath '13
Jasmine Gerraty '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 6 6 7 6 6 11 12 9 8 6 14 12 13 3 119 Shane Young '14 [1-12]
John Hill '13 [13-14]
Kristen Barca '13 [1-2]
Alex Newton '16 [3-4, 7-12]
Foya Lazare '14 [5-6]
Anna Rubino '16 [13-14]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 10 11 13 13 8 12 8 7 13 12 4 5 6 4 126 Sam Parish '15
Molly Utter '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2 13 8 12 12 14 7 12 12 8 9 7 12 13 141 Joshua Goldberg '14
Frank Ma '13
Hosei University Hosei University Hosei 12 10 10 11 10 7 14 14 5 13 6 13 10 10 145 Konara Hiroki '13
Kohei Suzuki '15
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 14 9 14 14 9 6 10 11 10 5 12 11 11 14 150 William Larsen '13 [1-2]
Nicholas Weis '15 [3-14]
Daniel Diaz '15 [1-2, 9-12]
William Larsen '13 [3-8, 13-14]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Wahine Salve 11 12 12 7 11 8 13 13 14 10 10 9 14 9 153 Hana Bruno '16 [1-4, 9-10, 13-14]
Tahnee Allman '12 [5, 7, 11]
Mike Hanson '12 [6, 8, 12]
Hana Bruno '16 [1-4, 9-10, 13-14]
Mike Hanson '12 [5, 7, 11]
Tahnee Allman '12 [6, 8, 12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 3 2 2 7 2 8 6 3 1 1 2 3 5 48 Robert Lippincott '14 [1-14]
Baillie Lawless '15 [1-4, 7-14]
James Goodson '15 [5-6]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 1 5 4 2 1 7 2 5 3 6 8 5 3 54 Mark Ryan '15
Camille Hambly '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 6 4 1 1 6 6 10 1 2 5 10 3 4 2 61 Hanne Nagatani '13
Lindsay Stewart '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 1 2 3 9 8 7 1 3 9 6 2 7 2 7 67 Mitchell Icard '13
Ana-Melissa Kea '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B: Top-guns 8 7 8 8 5 4 2 5 8 7 3 5 1 6 77 Christopher Jensen '14
Catherine Corssen '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 7 5 9 5 1 3 3 9 1 8 8 4 6 9 78 Matt Wenner '12 [1-8]
Naish Harlan '15 [9-12]
Colton Saunders '15 [13-14]
Koleyna Kohler '16 [1-4, 9-12]
Jia Hui Chen '16 [5-8]
Julia Briggs '16 [13-14]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 4 8 6 6 3 8 9 7 4 2 4 6 7 8 82 Samuel Heller '15
Kate Andersen '15
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 6 4 3 4 5 13 8 11 10 5 10 13 4 101 Kris Thompson '16
Jordan Cutter '14
Hosei University Hosei University Hosei DNF 10 7 11 13 9 4 4 6 9 9 1 11 12 121 Tokuda Shuichi '13
Takahiro Kawashina '??
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 10 9 12 7 10 11 6 10 10 12 7 11 10 10 135 Burke Oklariski '13
Sara Welsh '12
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons DNF 11 11 10 12 13 12 11 7 4 11 12 8 1 138 Christopher Keefe '14 [1-8]
Nicolas Delfino '16 [9-14]
Charlie Davidson '13 [1-10]
Matthew Vejar '13 [11-12]
Elsa Felgar '16 [13-14]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Wahine Salve 11 12 13 12 9 10 11 12 12 11 DNS 13 9 11 161 Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-14]
Taylor Morgan '16 [1-4, 9-14]
Madeline Anzivino '15 [5-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 12 13 14 14 14 14 5 14 14 13 12 9 14 13 175 Dylan Skeffington '14
Anja Wittels '13
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 9 14 10 13 11 12 14 13 13 14 13 14 12 14 176 Jeffrey Tedmori '15
Hayley Bracken '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Hosei UniversityHosei University Hosei4455667788991010
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears11223344556677
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins33445566778899
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers22334455667788
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Black101011111212131314141122
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green1111121213131414112233
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine991010111112121313141411
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Wahine Salve12121313141411223344
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks556677889910101111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks B: Top-guns66778899101011111212
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters7788991010111112121313
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons889910101111121213131414
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies131314141122334455
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1414112233445566

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Hosei UniversityHosei University Hosei4455667788991010
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears11223344556677
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins33445566778899
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers22334455667788
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Black101011111212131314141122
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green1111121213131414112233
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine991010111112121313141411
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Wahine Salve12121313141411223344
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks556677889910101111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks B: Top-guns66778899101011111212
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters7788991010111112121313
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons889910101111121213131414
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies131314141122334455
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1414112233445566
School / Team SkipperCrew
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Gregory Dair '15 Bianca Barnes '15
Dolphins Jeffrey Tedmori '15 Hayley Bracken '13
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Shane Young '14 [1-12]
John Hill '13 [13-14]		 Kristen Barca '13 [1-2]
Alex Newton '16 [3-4, 7-12]
Foya Lazare '14 [5-6]
Anna Rubino '16 [13-14]
49ers Mark Ryan '15 Camille Hambly '15
Hosei University Hosei University Konara Hiroki '13 Kohei Suzuki '15
Hosei Tokuda Shuichi '13 Takahiro Kawashina '??
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Kyle Carney '13 Angelina Todaro '16
Seahawks Robert Lippincott '14 [1-14] Baillie Lawless '15 [1-4, 7-14]
James Goodson '15 [5-6]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University John Silvestri '16 Mary Zeolla '13
Seahawks B: Top-guns Christopher Jensen '14 Catherine Corssen '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Joshua Goldberg '14 Frank Ma '13
Golden Bears Dylan Skeffington '14 Anja Wittels '13
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine William Larsen '13 [1-2]
Nicholas Weis '15 [3-14]		 Daniel Diaz '15 [1-2, 9-12]
William Larsen '13 [3-8, 13-14]
Anteaters Samuel Heller '15 Kate Andersen '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Matthew Morris '16 [1-8]
Eric Alamillo '13 [9-14]		 Danielle Sams '16 [1-8]
Jonathan Schafgans '13 [9-14]
Tritons Christopher Keefe '14 [1-8]
Nicolas Delfino '16 [9-14]		 Charlie Davidson '13 [1-10]
Matthew Vejar '13 [11-12]
Elsa Felgar '16 [13-14]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Giacomo Paoletti '15 [1-8]
James Foster '14 [9-14]		 Holly Nishiguchi '13 [1-8]
Patrick Manuel '16 [9-14]
Rainbow Black Matt Wenner '12 [1-8]
Naish Harlan '15 [9-12]
Colton Saunders '15 [13-14]		 Koleyna Kohler '16 [1-4, 9-12]
Jia Hui Chen '16 [5-8]
Julia Briggs '16 [13-14]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Adam Pokras '14 Kellie Yamada '16
Rainbow Green Mitchell Icard '13 Ana-Melissa Kea '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Madeline Kennedy '14 Katrina Berry '15
Rainbow Wahine Hanne Nagatani '13 Lindsay Stewart '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Hana Bruno '16 [1-4, 9-10, 13-14]
Tahnee Allman '12 [5, 7, 11]
Mike Hanson '12 [6, 8, 12]		 Hana Bruno '16 [1-4, 9-10, 13-14]
Mike Hanson '12 [5, 7, 11]
Tahnee Allman '12 [6, 8, 12]
Wahine Salve Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-14] Taylor Morgan '16 [1-4, 9-14]
Madeline Anzivino '15 [5-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Sam Parish '15 Molly Utter '14
Huskies Kris Thompson '16 Jordan Cutter '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Peter Mcgrath '13 Jasmine Gerraty '17
Vikings Burke Oklariski '13 Sara Welsh '12

Conditions — 01/19/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.3 kn
avg  ·  max 14.0 kn
Gusts to 29.0 kn
From N (349°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1015.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 14 kn · NE 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.14)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →