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10th George Morris Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 177
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 185
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 221
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 250
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 268
6 Boston University Boston University Terriers 358
7 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 383
8 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 437
9 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 457
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 B 4 4 1 2 9 3 2 1 9 11 3 1 5 4 1 4 64 Scott Barbano '17 [1-8]
Casey Gowrie '16 [9-16]
Julia Fuller '17 [1-8]
Hannah Duggan '15 [9-16]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson A 1 2 8 7 6 1 7 13 4 5 9 5 3 7 2 1 81 Luke O'Connor '14
Rebecca Frankel '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 B 5 1 4 8 1 8 5 6 7 3 6 8 16 1 5 2 86 Viktor Wettergren '14
Alexander Tong '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 A 7 9 6 4 5 4 10 4 2 1 4 7 1 5 4 18 91 Duncan Swain '15
Eliza White '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 2 8 7 3 2 2 11 5 3 4 11 2 9 8 15 12 104 Conor Fowler '14 [1-16]
Madelyn Irwin '14 [1-8]
Madison Sparber '17 [9-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 A 8 10 9 11 3 11 12 8 12 6 8 4 4 2 7 3 118 Cameron Barclift '14
Sadie Woolf '17
Brown University Brown University Bears B 10 12 2 13 13 12 9 2 16 2 2 6 7 3 6 5 120 Emmett Weeks '14 [1-16]
Henry Sharpe '17 [1-8]
Rachel Gutman '17 [9-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 A 11 3 13 1 4 9 8 3 8 9 12 14 2 6 8 10 121 Charles Proctor '14
Elizabeth Keys '14
Brown University Brown University Bears A 3 7 3 9 7 14 4 10 1 8 10 12 8 14 13 7 130 Timothy Harding '15
Olivia Lord '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson B 16 14 5 6 8 10 3 11 5 14 5 10 6 10 11 6 140 Ben Lamont '14
Pryiscilla Russo '17
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 9 6 12 10 11 6 13 18 6 7 1 9 18 11 3 9 149 Eleanor Conroy '15
Hannah Schmidt '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 B 12 5 14 5 10 13 1 9 11 10 15 3 12 9 10 11 150 Kate Shaner '16
Claire Brodie '16
Columbia University Columbia University Lions A 17 11 18 16 12 7 17 7 13 17 7 11 14 15 9 14 205
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 14 16 10 12 14 5 6 12 10 18 18 15 15 18 14 16 213 William Dykes '15 [1-8]
Brendan Sleight '17 [9-16]
David Mazotas '16 [1-8]
Kendall Young '17 [9-16]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 13 13 15 15 18 15 16 16 17 12 14 13 10 12 12 13 224 Emmet Todd '17 [1-16]
Sarah Martin '15 [1-8]
David Mazotas '16 [9-16]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 6 17 16 14 15 17 14 15 14 13 17 18 13 13 17 15 234 Alexander Smith '17
Mason Sheen '17
Columbia University Columbia University Lions B 15 18 17 18 16 16 18 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 16 8 252 Madelaine Harrison '16
Loren Myers '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 18 15 11 17 17 18 15 17 18 16 13 17 11 16 18 17 254 Justin Kusiel '14
Israel Alarcon '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (56 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1122334455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2233445566778899
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions334455667788991010
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson44556677889910101111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats8899101011111212131314141515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 15566778899101011111212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2667788991010111112121313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 377889910101111121213131414
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen991010111112121313141415151616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers10101111121213131414151516161717
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11111212131314141515161617171818
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions121213131414151516161717181811
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1313141415151616171718181122
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats17171818112233445566
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 114141515161617171818112233
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2151516161717181811223344
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 31616171718181122334455
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen181811223344556677

Conditions — 04/19/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1022.8 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.9 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From NW (322°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1022.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn · E 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston University: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →