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PCCSC Women's Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 18 16 34
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 38 32 70
3 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 53 43 96
4 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 71 56 127
5 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 66 66 132
6 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 88 85 173
7 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 71 105 176
8 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 56 127 183
9 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 120 73 193
10 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 84 115 199
11 Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 137 88 225
12 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 136 132 268
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 18 Maeve White '17
Haley Fox '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 2 3 2 2 5 2 3 5 1 7 2 38 Olivia Godfrey '17
Ellen Gable '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 6 5 7 5 3 6 5 2 2 3 5 4 53 Francesca Dana '18
Melissa Shadden '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 9 4 6 4 4 4 4 4 1 7 2 7 56 Kyra Oakes '18
Katie Hitchcock '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 8 4 7 12 2 3 7 7 4 4 3 66 Kendall Sanson '15
Melissa Schem '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 3 9 6 6 7 8 6 10 6 3 6 71 Grace Carrick '18 [1-12]
Kathryn Cornella '16 [1-2]
Haley Weber '18 [3-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 7 9 8 3 8 3 7 5 3 5 8 5 71 Louise Currie '18 [1-12]
Cole Brauer '17 [1-4]
Elizabeth Boystak '17 [5-12]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 8 6 2 8 7 8 6 8 9 8 6 8 84 No Show
Altea Hines '16
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 7 5 9 5 9 9 9 6 9 9 9 88 Olivia Gibbons '17
Kylee Walterman '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins DNF 10 10 10 9 10 10 10 8 10 10 10 120 Sarah Macpherson '18
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 10 11 12 11 10 12 DNF 11 11 12 11 12 136 Ellen Suder '16
Frances Liu '18
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 11 12 11 12 11 11 11 12 12 11 12 11 137 Amy Woo '16
Lilly Brummett '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 1 1 16 Julia Lambert '18
Yuki Yoshiyasu '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 2 3 4 3 2 1 1 2 2 4 4 32 Ginger Luckey '16
Madisson Thomas '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 2 6 2 2 2 3 3 6 3 3 3 8 43 Francesca Cappellini '16
Alexandra Cotroneo '17
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 6 5 5 3 6 8 2 4 5 5 5 2 56 Caitlin Schadt '18 [1-12]
Katrina Berry '15 [1-4, 7-12]
Madeline Anzivino '15 [5-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 8 4 5 8 10 5 8 6 4 2 3 66 Olivia Gebelein '15
Mackenzie Freeman '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 8 4 6 7 4 4 6 10 4 8 6 6 73 Sarah Wyman '17
Justina Leo '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 7 7 8 8 5 7 9 3 9 6 7 9 85 Alicia Ward '18
Lauren Orloff '16
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 5 3 7 6 7 5 11 11 8 11 9 5 88 Sarah Davis '15 [1-6, 11-12]
Kat Kendall '16 [7-10]
Mindy Chow '16 [1-6, 11-12]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 10 11 10 11 9 6 7 5 11 10 8 7 105 Kathryn Cornella '16
Kathryn Eberle '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 11 9 9 9 11 9 10 9 10 7 10 11 115 Maille Kennedy '17
Emma Shaw '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 9 10 12 10 10 12 12 7 12 12 11 10 127 Ekaterina Goncharova '18
Lauren Rehbein '16
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters DNF 12 11 12 12 11 8 12 7 9 12 DNF 132 Addison Whittet '16
Mary Oneill '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears55779911111133
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang11335577991111
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1010886644221212
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters2212121010886644
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos33557799111111
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans11111133557799
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal4422121210108866
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters6644221212101088
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins77991111113355
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos8866442212121010
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's99111111335577
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors1212101088664422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears6688101012122244
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang2244668810101212
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows99775533111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters11111199775533
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos4466881010121222
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans1212224466881010
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal33111111997755
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters55331111119977
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins8810101212224466
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos77553311111199
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's1010121222446688
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors11119977553311
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Grace Carrick '18 [1-12] Kathryn Cornella '16 [1-2]
Haley Weber '18 [3-12]
Mustang Kathryn Cornella '16 Kathryn Eberle '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Olivia Gibbons '17 Kylee Walterman '17
Otters Alicia Ward '18 Lauren Orloff '16
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Francesca Dana '18 Melissa Shadden '17
Broncos Francesca Cappellini '16 Alexandra Cotroneo '17
Stanford University Stanford University Maeve White '17 Haley Fox '18
Cardinal Julia Lambert '18 Yuki Yoshiyasu '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Kyra Oakes '18 Katie Hitchcock '16
Bears Ekaterina Goncharova '18 Lauren Rehbein '16
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Ellen Suder '16 Frances Liu '18
Anteaters Addison Whittet '16 Mary Oneill '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Sarah Macpherson '18 Kylie Sullivan '17
Bruins Sarah Wyman '17 Justina Leo '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Olivia Godfrey '17 Ellen Gable '17
Gauchos Ginger Luckey '16 Madisson Thomas '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz No Show Altea Hines '16
Banana Slug's Maille Kennedy '17 Emma Shaw '14
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Louise Currie '18 [1-12] Cole Brauer '17 [1-4]
Elizabeth Boystak '17 [5-12]
Rainbows Caitlin Schadt '18 [1-12] Katrina Berry '15 [1-4, 7-12]
Madeline Anzivino '15 [5-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Kendall Sanson '15 Melissa Schem '18
Trojans Olivia Gebelein '15 Mackenzie Freeman '18
Westmont College Westmont College Amy Woo '16 Lilly Brummett '18
Warriors Sarah Davis '15 [1-6, 11-12]
Kat Kendall '16 [7-10]		 Mindy Chow '16 [1-6, 11-12]

Conditions — 04/18/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 27%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From WSW (256°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity27% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Santa Barbara: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.26 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at UC Santa Barbara).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →