Anteater Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 15 32 47
2 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 59 32 91
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 52 87 139
4 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 60 87 147
5 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 50 122 172
6 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 73 101 174
7 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 80 95 175
8 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 99 83 182
9 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 118 69 187
10 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 132 101 233
11 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 173 81 254
12 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 171 MRP 93 MRP 264 MRP
13 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 110 174 284
14 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 139 152 291
15 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 152 144 296
16 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 6 113 224 337
17 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 201 139 340
18 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 169 178 347
19 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 189 170 359
20 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 201 MRP 160 MRP 361 MRP
21 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 194 183 377
22 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 171 206 377
23 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 166 212 378
24 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 190 200 390
25 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 241 MRP 188 MRP 429 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 2 15 Matthew Hecht '16
Mackenzie Freeman '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 4 4 6 3 4 1 3 4 5 16 50 Elizabeth Hays '17
Laura Roudebush '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 3 2 2 2 3 4 6 12 6 12 52 John Coakley '16
No Show
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 6 3 3 4 6 5 2 3 OCS 1 59 Ben Brough '19
Helen Payne '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 5 9 8 8 2 12 4 5 3 4 60 Nicolas Delfino '16
No Show
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 1 8 4 DNS 10 2 5 6 4 7 73 Andrew Solomon '18
Linda Ge '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 12 7 9 10 5 13 9 1 8 6 80 Sunny Scarbrough '17
Anna Rubino '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 7 5 13 6 8 14 14 9 10 13 99 Joseph Lausten '18
Haley Weber '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 8 12 20 12 11 17 7 11 7 5 110 Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19
Belle Lemoine '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 6 13 11 21 14 9 9 11 8 9 8 113 Miles Picus '18
Zoe Hessler '18
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 9 10 5 7 7 8 DNS 14 18 14 118 Olivia Gibbons '17
Kylee Walterman '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 14 21 12 5 19 11 13 15 12 10 132 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 [1-10]
Marianne Simpson '19 [1-8]
Bobbie Hutchinson '18 [9-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 16 13 10 17 16 6 19 20 11 11 139 Sarah Wyman '17
No Show
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 17 17 22 13 13 19 10 16 16 9 152 Leah Ford '19
Kylie Sullivan '17
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 11 22 16 19 24 7 16 23 13 15 166 Sierra Apillanes '19 [1-10]
David Ball '17 [1-4]
Elizabeth Noble '19 [5-8]
Nicholas Theut '19 [9-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 22 15 14 9 14 18 20 18 22 17 169 Denise Martinez '16
Susan Bean '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 18 6 DNS DNS DNS DNS 8 10 2 3 171 MRP Brian Maclean '18
Ali Sepasyar '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 23 18 7 11 15 23 21 19 14 20 171 Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin '17
Sage Geher '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 15 20 23 15 18 21 12 7 21 21 173 Liam Chaffey '19
Dallas Butler '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 21 25 11 22 12 10 24 24 17 23 189 Jason Barr '17 [1-6]
Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 [7-10]
Chase Verstuyft '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Rachel Zhao '19 [3-4]
Courtney Wing '18 [7-10]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 20 19 18 18 17 22 17 17 24 18 190 Alana Mcsween '17 [1-10]
Sierra Madden '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Arkin Isharani '18 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 19 24 17 16 21 20 22 13 23 19 194 Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-6]
Hayley Chong '17 [7-10]
No Show [1-2]
Yui Honda '18 [3-6]
Warren Ko '19 [7-10]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 10 14 15 23 23 15 15 25 19 22 201 MRP Brennan Lund '17
John Lisenby '17
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 24 16 24 21 22 16 18 21 15 24 201 No Show
Julian Ramirez '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 25 23 19 20 20 24 23 22 20 25 241 MRP Jake Zarraonandia '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 2 5 1 1 3 1 1 7 1 10 32 Grace Carrick '18
Sophie Ellison '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 7 3 2 4 1 5 3 4 2 1 32 Peter Wong '18
Paul Chyz '18
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 5 7 8 3 8 4 9 11 5 9 69 Alicia Ward '18
Lauren Orloff '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 15 1 18 8 6 10 6 6 4 7 81 Thomas Niemisto '17
Camille Villadolid '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 6 DNS 11 7 2 3 11 2 12 3 83 Dylan Rinker '16
Rachel Hunter '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 18 10 10 9 4 6 10 9 7 4 87 Samuel Rohrbach '17
Christopher Steefel '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 21 9 5 11 9 2 4 5 16 5 87 Melissa Schem '18
Natalie Millstein '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 23 2 6 2 5 7 5 3 14 6 93 MRP Philip Tagatac '17
Emily Guy '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 8 17 3 6 18 23 14 1 3 2 95 Ari Zeen '17
Courtney Pacheco '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 12 4 4 12 14 9 8 15 11 12 101 Thomas Garcia '19
Kristopher Wong '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 19 13 16 5 11 11 2 10 6 8 101 Tyler Hogan '17
Noah Stevenson '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 16 6 7 16 7 8 13 13 13 23 122 Ben Gerber '19
Grace Phillips '18
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 9 19 19 13 10 21 19 8 8 13 139 Andrew Clements '17
Kinsey Cohen '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 13 8 15 10 17 20 12 18 17 14 144 Cullen Quine '18
Alexander Daniele '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 20 12 13 21 12 19 16 12 9 18 152 Erin Kelly '17
Natalie Dao '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 14 11 20 15 15 16 7 16 15 11 160 MRP Brennan Lund '17
John Lisenby '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 3 21 12 19 19 14 20 20 20 22 170 No Show [1-10]
Cameron Khorsandi '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Young Jeong '19 [3-4]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 17 14 22 14 23 12 18 17 18 19 174 Liam Russell '17
Anthony Absy '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 24 16 14 20 16 22 DNS 14 10 16 178 Sara Stratte '16
Georgia Potter '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 25 15 9 18 22 15 15 24 23 17 183 Grant Lin '17 [1-10]
Warren Ko '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Young Jeong '19 [3-4]
Yui Honda '18 [7-10]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 4 20 17 17 13 13 17 25 22 20 188 MRP Mykha Pham '16
Ivan Penaloza '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 11 22 25 24 24 18 23 19 19 15 200 Joseph Naro '18 [1-10]
Jenna Rutledge '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Ken Zheng '18 [3-4, 9-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 22 18 21 22 20 17 21 23 21 21 206 Keir Oxford Pope '19
Dan Ferenc Segedin '19
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 23 24 DNF 21 24 22 21 25 25 212 Andrew Kinton '17 [1-8]
Garrison Murphy '20 [9-10]
Garrison Murphy '20 [1-2]
Bradley Patterson '19 [3-5]
Nicholas Theut '19 [6-8]
Elizabeth Noble '19 [9-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 6 10 24 23 23 25 25 24 22 24 24 224 Marina Lindsay '17
Michaela Perinova '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.600+0.60
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils39393939393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 124242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 223232323232323232323
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 14444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 23333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3103103103103103103103103103103
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4104104104104104104104104104104
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 17777777777
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 28888888888
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters12121212121212121212
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 1137137137137137137137137137137
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838383838
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 125252525252525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 226262626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 127272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 228282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3281281281281281281281281281281
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 42222222222
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5271271271271271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 65555555555
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 129292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2295295295295295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3292292292292292292292292292292

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils39393939393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 124242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 223232323232323232323
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 14444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 23333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3103103103103103103103103103103
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4104104104104104104104104104104
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 17777777777
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 28888888888
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters12121212121212121212
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 1137137137137137137137137137137
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838383838
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 125252525252525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 226262626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 127272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 228282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3281281281281281281281281281281
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 42222222222
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5271271271271271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 65555555555
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 129292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2295295295295295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3292292292292292292292292292292
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sierra Apillanes '19 [1-10] David Ball '17 [1-4]
Elizabeth Noble '19 [5-8]
Nicholas Theut '19 [9-10]
Sun Devils Andrew Kinton '17 [1-8]
Garrison Murphy '20 [9-10]
Garrison Murphy '20 [1-2]
Bradley Patterson '19 [3-5]
Nicholas Theut '19 [6-8]
Elizabeth Noble '19 [9-10]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Helen Payne '19
Mustang 1 Grace Carrick '18 Sophie Ellison '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Joseph Lausten '18 Haley Weber '18
Mustang 2 Dylan Rinker '16 Rachel Hunter '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Chaffey '19 Dallas Butler '17
Mustang 3 Thomas Niemisto '17 Camille Villadolid '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19 Belle Lemoine '19
Mustang 4 Liam Russell '17 Anthony Absy '19
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands No Show Julian Ramirez '17
Dolphins Andrew Clements '17 Kinsey Cohen '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Sunny Scarbrough '17 Anna Rubino '16
49ers 1 Ari Zeen '17 Courtney Pacheco '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Brennan Lund '17 John Lisenby '17
49ers 2 Brennan Lund '17 John Lisenby '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Olivia Gibbons '17 Kylee Walterman '17
Otters Alicia Ward '18 Lauren Orloff '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Andrew Solomon '18 Linda Ge '17
Bears 1 Tyler Hogan '17 Noah Stevenson '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin '17 Sage Geher '19
Bears 2 Keir Oxford Pope '19 Dan Ferenc Segedin '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Alana Mcsween '17 [1-10] Sierra Madden '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Arkin Isharani '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Aggies Joseph Naro '18 [1-10] Jenna Rutledge '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Ken Zheng '18 [3-4, 9-10]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Maclean '18 Ali Sepasyar '17
Anteaters 1 Philip Tagatac '17 Emily Guy '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Jake Zarraonandia '19
Anteaters 2 Mykha Pham '16 Ivan Penaloza '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Elizabeth Hays '17 Laura Roudebush '18
Bruins 1 Ben Gerber '19 Grace Phillips '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 [1-10] Marianne Simpson '19 [1-8]
Bobbie Hutchinson '18 [9-10]
Bruins 2 Thomas Garcia '19 Kristopher Wong '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Leah Ford '19 Kylie Sullivan '17
Bruins 3 Cullen Quine '18 Alexander Daniele '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Sarah Wyman '17 No Show
Bruins 4 Erin Kelly '17 Natalie Dao '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Denise Martinez '16 Susan Bean '18
Bruins 5 Sara Stratte '16 Georgia Potter '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Miles Picus '18 Zoe Hessler '18
Bruins 6 Marina Lindsay '17 Michaela Perinova '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 No Show
Tritons 1 Samuel Rohrbach '17 Christopher Steefel '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-6]
Hayley Chong '17 [7-10]
No Show [1-2]
Yui Honda '18 [3-6]
Warren Ko '19 [7-10]
Tritons 2 Grant Lin '17 [1-10] Warren Ko '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Young Jeong '19 [3-4]
Yui Honda '18 [7-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Jason Barr '17 [1-6]
Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 [7-10]
Chase Verstuyft '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Rachel Zhao '19 [3-4]
Courtney Wing '18 [7-10]
Tritons 3 No Show [1-10] Cameron Khorsandi '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Young Jeong '19 [3-4]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Matthew Hecht '16 Mackenzie Freeman '18
Trojans 1 Peter Wong '18 Paul Chyz '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California John Coakley '16 No Show
Trojans 2 Melissa Schem '18 Natalie Millstein '18

Conditions — 02/20/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1018.5 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From SW (228°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1018.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn* · N 6 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Irvine: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Irvine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at UC Irvine, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →