BC Central Series

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 10 10 20
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 13 25 38
3 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 26 14 40
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 26 24 50
5 Boston College Boston College Eagles 30 21 51
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 39 40 79
7 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 32 51 83
8 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 46 40 86
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 48 45 93
10 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 60 60 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 3 1 2 2 1 10 Jack Bitney '19
Natalie Danziger '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 2 2 2 3 1 3 13 Pierre Dupont '16
Margaret Veltri '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 1 4 6 4 7 26 Matthew Gibbs '17
Fraser Mackechnie '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 4 5 1 7 4 26 Chris Colbeth '20
Laura Tschiegg '17
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 7 6 5 3 6 30 Jacob Martz '17
Tara Ferraris '19
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 9 5 3 4 6 5 32 Thomas Pluchino '18
Hope Murray '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 8 8 9 5 2 39 Vincent Yannelli '19
Alan Mckinnon Iii '18
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 8 6 9 7 8 8 46 Kelsey Martins '16
Phoung Pham '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 6 9 7 8 9 9 48 Jade Forsberg '17
Rebecca Freeman '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 Noah Stern '18
Sara Duclos '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 1 2 3 1 2 10 Jackson Mccoy '19
Lucy Robison '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 2 4 1 3 1 14 Sam Rush '19
Ian Nannig '19
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 5 1 6 2 5 21 Jake Rizika '18
Kyla Maclennan '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 3 3 5 4 4 24 Matteo Alampi '17
Fanny Nordlund '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 4 4 6 2 6 3 25 Bobby Mclaughlin '17
Kahler Newsham '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 6 7 9 5 7 40 Arthur Milot '19
Tijani Marou '18
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 8 8 5 4 7 8 40 Kelsey Delosh '17
Courtney Grippin '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 7 9 8 7 8 6 45 Alexie Lessing '19
Nick Jaczko '19
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 9 7 9 8 9 9 51 Marina Merchant '18
Brianne Giambagno '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 Madison Joslin '18
Kristen Murley '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles181818181818
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats171717171717
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers161616161616
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats101010101010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies151515151515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams999999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1131313131313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2121212121212
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs111111111111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles181818181818
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats171717171717
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers161616161616
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats101010101010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies151515151515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams999999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1131313131313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2121212121212
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs111111111111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts888888

Conditions — 04/16/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1032.0 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.7 kn
avg  ·  max 14.7 kn
Gusts to 30.9 kn
From NE (36°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1032.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 15 kn · NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston College: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →