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Wisconsin Three Division Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 13 22 30 65
2 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 49 22 50 121
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 35 34 57 126
4 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 58 78 13 149
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University White 54 32 67 153
6 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 72 79 19 170
7 Northwestern University Northwestern University Purple 24 71 79 174
8 Northwestern University Northwestern University Black 75 63 71 209
9 Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 86 53 87 226
10 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 85 110 79 274
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 13 Charlie Kutschenreuter '19 [1-6]
Charles Bocklet '18 [7-10]
Mason Engnes '17 [1-8]
Olivia Staruck '20 [9-10]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Purple 2 3 3 2 4 3 1 1 4 1 24 Mark Davies '20 [1-10]
Allison Park '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Amy Rogin '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 4 2 2 3 2 4 3 3 2 10 35 Cailin Considine '19 [1-10]
Maureen Butler '19 [1-2, 7-10]
Charlie Childs '19 [3-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 6 5 4 5 3 5 5 4 9 3 49 Michael Stone '19
Danielle Green '18
Northwestern University Northwestern University White 5 6 6 4 5 10 4 7 3 4 54 Jacob Bruce '16 [1-10]
Isabelle Laskero '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mariel Tang '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 3 4 5 9 6 2 10 9 5 5 58 Jack Behrend '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Andre Deriaz '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Susie Voltz '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 7 7 9 8 7 8 6 6 8 6 72 Mason Chrabaszcz '18
Frank Mazur '20
Northwestern University Northwestern University Black 9 8 7 6 10 6 8 5 7 9 75 Zachary Li '19 [1-10]
Kaylee Guajardo '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Helen Feeney '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 8 9 8 10 8 9 9 10 6 8 85 William Norris '16 [1-10]
Steven Macenski '17 [1-6]
Gabrielle Chen '19 [7-10]
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 10 10 DNF 7 9 7 7 8 10 7 86 August Nagro '19
Thomas Peterson '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 2 2 1 4 3 2 3 3 1 22 Katherine Zimmerman '18 [1-10]
Elizabeth Ciborowski '17 [1-6, 9-10]
Christopher Selzer '19 [7-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 4 1 3 4 1 2 1 1 2 3 22 Michael Valverde '18 [1-10]
Cassandra Trask '20 [1-4]
Owen Luterbach '20 [5-10]
Northwestern University Northwestern University White 3 4 4 3 2 4 3 4 1 4 32 Charles Tokowitz '17 [1-10]
Miriam Khan '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Amelia Brown '18 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 2 3 1 2 3 5 8 2 6 2 34 Soren Hughes '18 [1-10]
Peter Sauer '20 [1-6]
Emma Zalog '20 [7-10]
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 6 5 5 5 7 6 4 6 4 5 53 Stefan Peterson '19 [1-10]
Casey White '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Ian Searles '19 [5-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Black 5 9 DNS 8 5 1 5 5 5 9 63 Cuyler Dull '20 [1-10]
Michael Pauleen '18 [1-2]
Emily Vogt '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Josh Kaplan '19 [5-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Purple 7 6 7 7 8 9 6 7 7 7 71 Jennie Werner '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Brian Fogarty '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Coby Parker '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Claire Howard '18 [3-4, 9-10]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 8 8 6 6 9 8 9 9 9 6 78 Brett Hutchinson '19
Dylan Morris '20
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 9 7 8 DNF 6 7 7 8 8 8 79 Owen Bradley '18
Grant Younger '18
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 110 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 Parker Trepton '18
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 2 19 Ryan Clulo '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 3 3 5 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 30 Zachary Miller '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 5 5 7 4 4 4 5 4 5 7 50 Ryan Sigurdson '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 8 4 3 5 RDG 5 8 5 7 6 57 Jonathan Thickens '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University White 7 7 6 9 6 8 4 6 4 10 67 Frank Zhu '17
Northwestern University Northwestern University Black 6 6 8 7 7 6 DNF 7 8 5 71 Charles Novek '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Purple 4 DNF 9 6 5 DNF 6 8 10 9 79 Tristan Litre '18
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 9 8 4 8 9 9 9 10 9 4 79 Jacob Turenne '19
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 10 DNF 10 DNF 8 7 7 9 6 8 87 James Sincox '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini121214141616881010
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones7799111113131515
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles881010121214141616
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers1313151577991111
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Black1111131315157799
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Purple9911111313151577
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University White101012121414161688
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers161688101012121414
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1141416168810101212
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 21515779911111313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini1313151577991111
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones881010121214141616
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles9911111313151577
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers141416168810101212
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Black121214141616881010
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Purple101012121414161688
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University White1111131315157799
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers7799111113131515
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 11515779911111313
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2161688101012121414

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini14141515161618181919
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones334488991111
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles44889911111414
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers151516161818191933
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Black11111414151516161818
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Purple8899111114141515
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University White991111141415151616
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers191933448899
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 11616181819193344
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 218181919334488
School / Team SkipperCrew
Iowa State University Iowa State University August Nagro '19 Thomas Peterson '19
Cyclones Stefan Peterson '19 [1-10] Casey White '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Ian Searles '19 [5-8]
James Sincox '18
Marquette University Marquette University Mason Chrabaszcz '18 Frank Mazur '20
Golden Eagles Owen Bradley '18 Grant Younger '18
Ryan Clulo '18
Northwestern University Northwestern University Zachary Li '19 [1-10] Kaylee Guajardo '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Helen Feeney '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Black Cuyler Dull '20 [1-10] Michael Pauleen '18 [1-2]
Emily Vogt '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Josh Kaplan '19 [5-8]
Charles Novek '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Mark Davies '20 [1-10] Allison Park '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Amy Rogin '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Purple Jennie Werner '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Brian Fogarty '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Coby Parker '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Claire Howard '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Tristan Litre '18
Northwestern University Northwestern University Jacob Bruce '16 [1-10] Isabelle Laskero '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mariel Tang '20 [3-4, 7-8]
White Charles Tokowitz '17 [1-10] Miriam Khan '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Amelia Brown '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Frank Zhu '17
University of Illinois University of Illinois William Norris '16 [1-10] Steven Macenski '17 [1-6]
Gabrielle Chen '19 [7-10]
Illini No Show No Show
Jacob Turenne '19
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Michael Stone '19 Danielle Green '18
Gophers Michael Valverde '18 [1-10] Cassandra Trask '20 [1-4]
Owen Luterbach '20 [5-10]
Ryan Sigurdson '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Charlie Kutschenreuter '19 [1-6]
Charles Bocklet '18 [7-10]		 Mason Engnes '17 [1-8]
Olivia Staruck '20 [9-10]
Badgers 1 Katherine Zimmerman '18 [1-10] Elizabeth Ciborowski '17 [1-6, 9-10]
Christopher Selzer '19 [7-8]
Zachary Miller '20
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Cailin Considine '19 [1-10] Maureen Butler '19 [1-2, 7-10]
Charlie Childs '19 [3-6]
Badgers 2 Soren Hughes '18 [1-10] Peter Sauer '20 [1-6]
Emma Zalog '20 [7-10]
Jonathan Thickens '19
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Jack Behrend '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Andre Deriaz '18 [3-4, 7-8]		 Susie Voltz '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Panthers Brett Hutchinson '19 Dylan Morris '20
Parker Trepton '18

Conditions — 04/08/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.6 kn
avg  ·  max 13.2 kn
Gusts to 27.4 kn
From S (175°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1010.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 14 kn · S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.21)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.25 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.21 means a rating gap counts about 18% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →