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Rhody the Riveter

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 49
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 60
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 61
4 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 62
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 82
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 90
7 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildkittens 136
8 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 141
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears A 1 5 2 2 10 20 Olivia Belda '22
Annabelle Hutchinson '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 9 3 4 3 1 20 Kelsey Shakin '19
Kristi Dolan '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 7 4 1 1 11 24 Rebecca Read '21
Sage Walters '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 4 2 3 4 12 25 Delaney Bamford '20
Kathryn Nota '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 5 6 9 5 5 30 Analucia Clarkson '22
Alexandra Wagner '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 13 1 6 8 3 31 Elena Gonick '20
Rose O'Neal '22
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 6 9 5 6 6 32 Julia Leighton '20
Charlotte Williams '21
Brown University Brown University Bears B 2 10 7 7 14 40 Elizabeth Rolfes '21
Madeleine Montagner '22
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 3 8 11 10 9 41 Madeline Pope '21
Ariana Smaldone '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 11 7 10 11 2 41 Caroline King '21
Allison Gilson '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 8 12 13 12 4 49 Lucie Ford '20
Mary Persico '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 15 11 8 9 8 51 Alexandra Talbot '22
Paige Tyler '22
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildkittens A 14 13 14 14 7 62 Thomas Bouchard '21
Clayton Greig '22
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 10 14 12 13 16 65 Lauren Miller '22
Katelyn Howe '22
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildkittens B 12 16 16 15 15 74 Olivia Dube '20
Madysen Delosh '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A DNF 15 15 16 13 76 Julianna Bennett '21
Darian Tilton '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels22222
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats66666
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildkittens77777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams88888
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks33333
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks44444
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos55555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears99999
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels1010101010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1414141414
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildkittens1515151515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1616161616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1111111111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1212121212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1313131313

Conditions — 03/03/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1019.4 hPa

Temperature

36°F
↑ 40°F   ↓ 30°F
Feels like 29°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From SW (215°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover56% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1019.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →