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Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 31 34 65
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 55 36 91
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 45 73 118
4 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 99 45 144
5 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 85 71 156
6 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 67 103 170
7 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 91 82 173
8 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 128 62 190
9 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 88 137 225
10 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 107 124 231
11 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 147 93 240
12 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 99 170 269
13 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 147 135 282
14 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 111 179 290
15 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 150 140 290
16 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 170 174 344
17 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 206 210 416
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 3 1 1 4 3 1 2 3 3 1 3 6 31 Patrick Wilkinson '20
Frances Tarpey-Schwed '23
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 7 2 9 1 2 1 11 5 2 1 3 45 Lucas Pierce '21
Samantha Obel '21
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 5 6 BKD 1 2 4 3 4 10 3 5 7 55 Owen Lahr '23
Megan Lucas '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 4 4 3 4 6 5 1 13 11 6 8 67 Karl Skeel '20 [1-12]
Amelia Kau '23 [1-8, 11-12]
Blake Winner '20 [9-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 8 9 6 7 5 4 2 9 4 15 12 85 Gideon Burnes Heath '23
Maddy Kuhn '20
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 8 3 6 8 5 11 12 6 8 13 4 4 88 Arthur Bruce '00 [1-12]
Keevan Tallon '21 [1-6]
Marelie Vorster '20 [7-10]
Katy Priest '22 [11-12]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 6 9 3 7 6 9 7 9 1 6 12 16 91 Emi Stephanoff '21
Gabrielle Harrington '23
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 11 5 8 2 11 8 13 10 4 5 9 13 99 Kai Ponting '23
Robyn Zulauf '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 13 2 5 5 9 12 6 5 BKD 8 16 10 99 Samuel Patton '22 [1-8]
Jack Lugliani '23 [9-12]
Jemma Baird '22 [1-8]
Kyra Leon '23 [9-12]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 12 11 11 13 10 7 8 7 7 10 10 1 107 Thomas Samuels '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jayden Potter '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Lauren Lee '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sidney Faust '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 7 12 DNF DNF 8 3 10 8 6 14 2 5 111 Brandon Barker '21
Dane Williams '23
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 9 10 7 14 12 10 9 14 14 16 11 2 128 Hayden Lahr '22
Isabelle Anderson '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 14 14 13 15 14 14 DNF DNS 2 9 7 9 147 Marie-Laure Golier '21 [1-8]
Nicholas Dorn '22 [9-12]
Keiran Hadley '21 [1-8]
Shea Goodner '21 [9-12]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears DNF BKD 10 11 13 13 11 13 11 12 8 15 147 Francesco Olivero '21
Caroline Sobek '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 10 13 12 12 15 15 15 12 12 7 13 14 150 Harrison Saliba '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Wyatt Keysor '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Cece Nielsen '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Maxwell Dodd '23 [3-4, 7-8]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 15 15 14 10 16 16 14 15 15 15 14 11 170 Kevin Gates '27
Michael Thompson '21
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights DNS DNS 15 16 17 17 DNS DNS 16 17 DNS DNS 206 Richard Chui '22 [1-12]
Arul Ruthwik Duggimpudi '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Joshua Gole '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 1 2 1 5 1 3 2 11 4 1 1 2 34 Bastien Rasse '23 [1-12]
Devon Stapleton '22 [1-8, 11-12]
Katherine Shofran '23 [9-10]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 4 6 2 2 4 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 36 Pelle Bergstrom '23
Chloe Long '23
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 2 3 3 4 2 2 13 4 1 5 5 1 45 Tanner Gee '22 [1-12]
Laura Woltjer '22 [1-6]
Kelsie Grant '23 [7-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 3 5 11 8 6 5 3 3 10 2 3 3 62 Kahala Novak-Furukawa '22
Olivia Klotz '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 7 1 7 6 9 7 7 1 5 9 6 6 71 Cassandra Shand '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ian Marshall '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Hallie Muller '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 8 7 6 3 3 6 4 5 7 10 7 7 73 Mary Toomey '22
Pyper Atkin '20
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 5 4 8 9 5 4 9 14 8 6 2 8 82 Hailey Thompson '22
Hannah Hill '23
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 6 11 10 7 8 9 5 7 13 4 8 5 93 Sarah Paulsen '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kingsley Ehrich '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Paris Sato '21 [1-2]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [3-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 9 8 5 1 12 12 16 6 6 8 9 11 103 Emilia Garcia Bompadre '23 [1-12]
Maddie Tutton '21 [1-2, 5-12]
Blake Winner '20 [3-4]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 11 9 12 13 7 8 6 15 2 DNF 11 12 124 James Letchinger '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jonah Brees '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Jodie Jacobs '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kasey Stoudt '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 10 14 9 11 14 11 11 10 12 7 16 10 135 Canyon Breyer '20 [1-6]
Fisher Price '20 [7-12]
Jessica Dally '22 [1-6]
Blair Caccam '21 [7-12]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 12 12 13 10 10 10 12 8 9 11 12 DNF 137 Tillie Morris '22 [1-10]
Marelie Vorster '20 [11-12]
Katy Priest '22 [1-6]
Keevan Tallon '21 [7-10]
Tillie Morris '22 [11-12]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 14 10 4 14 11 13 14 9 11 12 10 DNF 140 Emily Tan '20
Reilly Berkshire '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 16 13 15 15 DNF DNS 8 12 15 14 13 13 170 Kevin Zhang '20
Natalia Gonzalez '20
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 15 15 14 12 DNF DNF 10 13 14 13 14 DNF 174 Olivia Feito '22
Kaylena Mann '22
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 13 16 16 16 13 14 DNF DNF 16 15 15 9 179 Sebastian Guerra '20 [1-12]
Samantha Ho '21 [1-6]
Connor Kobel '19 [7-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights DNS DNS 17 17 DNS DNS 15 DNF 17 DNF DNS DNS 210 Ian Martin '23
Alexander Sananes '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears66881010121214141616
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers2244668810101212
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs11335577991111
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins3355779911111313
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers446688101012121414
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Black131315151717224466
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green11111313151517172244
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine1414161611335577
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White121214141616113355
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks1515171722446688
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights557799111113131515
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies77991111131315151717
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins88101012121414161611
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons99111113131515171722
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos10101212141416161133
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies16161133557799
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1717224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears77991111131315151717
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers3355779911111313
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs2244668810101212
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins446688101012121414
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers557799111113131515
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Black1414161611335577
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green121214141616113355
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine1515171722446688
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White131315151717224466
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks16161133557799
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights66881010121214141616
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies88101012121414161611
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins99111113131515171722
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons10101212141416161133
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos11111313151517172244
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1717224466881010
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Kai Ponting '23 Robyn Zulauf '20
Mustangs Kevin Zhang '20 Natalia Gonzalez '20
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Emi Stephanoff '21 Gabrielle Harrington '23
Keelhaulers Hailey Thompson '22 Hannah Hill '23
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Kevin Gates '27 Michael Thompson '21
Dolphins Olivia Feito '22 Kaylena Mann '22
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Brandon Barker '21 Dane Williams '23
49ers Sebastian Guerra '20 [1-12] Samantha Ho '21 [1-6]
Connor Kobel '19 [7-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Richard Chui '22 [1-12] Arul Ruthwik Duggimpudi '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Joshua Gole '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Scarlet Knights Ian Martin '23 Alexander Sananes '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Francesco Olivero '21 Caroline Sobek '20
Bears Sarah Paulsen '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kingsley Ehrich '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Paris Sato '21 [1-2]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [3-12]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Thomas Samuels '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jayden Potter '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Lauren Lee '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sidney Faust '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Aggies James Letchinger '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jonah Brees '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Jodie Jacobs '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kasey Stoudt '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Gideon Burnes Heath '23 Maddy Kuhn '20
Bruins Cassandra Shand '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ian Marshall '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Hallie Muller '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Marie-Laure Golier '21 [1-8]
Nicholas Dorn '22 [9-12]		 Keiran Hadley '21 [1-8]
Shea Goodner '21 [9-12]
Tritons Canyon Breyer '20 [1-6]
Fisher Price '20 [7-12]		 Jessica Dally '22 [1-6]
Blair Caccam '21 [7-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Lucas Pierce '21 Samantha Obel '21
Gauchos Mary Toomey '22 Pyper Atkin '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Samuel Patton '22 [1-8]
Jack Lugliani '23 [9-12]		 Jemma Baird '22 [1-8]
Kyra Leon '23 [9-12]
Rainbow Black Tanner Gee '22 [1-12] Laura Woltjer '22 [1-6]
Kelsie Grant '23 [7-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Patrick Wilkinson '20 Frances Tarpey-Schwed '23
Rainbow Green Bastien Rasse '23 [1-12] Devon Stapleton '22 [1-8, 11-12]
Katherine Shofran '23 [9-10]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Hayden Lahr '22 Isabelle Anderson '20
Rainbow Wahine Kahala Novak-Furukawa '22 Olivia Klotz '23
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Owen Lahr '23 Megan Lucas '20
Rainbow White Pelle Bergstrom '23 Chloe Long '23
University of Oregon University of Oregon Arthur Bruce '00 [1-12] Keevan Tallon '21 [1-6]
Marelie Vorster '20 [7-10]
Katy Priest '22 [11-12]
Ducks Tillie Morris '22 [1-10]
Marelie Vorster '20 [11-12]		 Katy Priest '22 [1-6]
Keevan Tallon '21 [7-10]
Tillie Morris '22 [11-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Karl Skeel '20 [1-12] Amelia Kau '23 [1-8, 11-12]
Blake Winner '20 [9-10]
Huskies Emilia Garcia Bompadre '23 [1-12] Maddie Tutton '21 [1-2, 5-12]
Blake Winner '20 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Harrison Saliba '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Wyatt Keysor '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Cece Nielsen '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Maxwell Dodd '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Vikings Emily Tan '20 Reilly Berkshire '20

Conditions — 01/18/2020 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.8 kn
avg  ·  max 14.2 kn
Gusts to 26.2 kn
From NE (46°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 18 kn · E 22 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hawaii: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.32)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.30
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.29 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.32 means a rating gap counts about 28% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →