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Ewenson Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 117
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 126
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 127
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 139
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 140
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 168
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 223
8 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 224
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 275
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 A 2 6 2 2 4 1 4 1 4 26 Austen Freda '21
Lindsay Powers '21
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears A 6 1 5 1 7 4 6 6 1 37 Michael Pinto '23
Jin Johnson '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 A 9 7 3 10 3 7 9 3 2 53 Charlie Hibben '22
Celia Byrne '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 1 2 1 15 6 16 1 2 12 56 Aidan Naughton '22
Taylor Borges '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 11 3 6 11 5 2 8 7 10 63 Kyle Nannig '21
Kevin Stamp '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 17 13 7 7 1 3 3 14 5 70 Parker Colantuono '22
Katie Coughlin '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 3 11 16 5 8 17 5 8 3 76 Christian Moffitt '21
Mackenzie Fraser '23
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 A 5 4 10 13 11 11 15 9 6 84 George Higham '23
Hank Bailey '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 B 7 9 8 12 9 9 2 15 13 84 Claire Siegel-Wilson '24
Katharine Benagh '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 B 4 14 13 3 16 6 10 4 17 87 Ansgar Jordan '22
Wells Drayton '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 A 8 10 11 9 2 10 7 17 16 90 John Walton '22
Grace Woodcock '23
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears B 12 5 12 4 12 12 13 12 8 90 Matthew Kickhafer '23 [1-9]
Jack Farrell '23 [1-4]
Sydney Motherway '24 [5-9]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 B 10 18 4 6 14 5 11 16 7 91 Abbie Carlson '22
Jessica Friedman '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 18 12 9 14 10 8 12 5 9 97 Peter Cronin '22
Hadley O'Sullivan '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 13 17 14 8 15 18 14 13 15 127 Caroline King '21
Garrett Moen '23
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 B 14 8 15 16 13 15 16 18 18 133 William Bailey '24
Darcy Lavoie '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 B 16 15 18 18 17 13 17 11 11 136 Miles Williams '24
Maddie Taylor '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 A 15 16 17 17 18 14 18 10 14 139 Thomas Johnson '23
Clare Laroche '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears666666666
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1777777777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2888888888
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 3999999999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1111111111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2222222222
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks333333333
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1444444444
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2555555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears151515151515151515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1161616161616161616
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2171717171717171717
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 3181818181818181818
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1101010101010101010
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2111111111111111111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121212121212121212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1131313131313131313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2141414141414141414

Conditions — 04/10/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 26.0 kn
From SW (220°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover25% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1015.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.71 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →