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RWU Invite

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 21 21
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 34 34
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 42 42
4 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 53 53
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 54 54
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 61 61
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 64 64
8 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 73 73
9 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 79 79
10 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 81 81
11 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 6 83 83
12 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 87 87
13 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 89 89
14 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 92 92
15 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 98 98
16 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 103 103
17 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 116 116
18 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 143 143
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 1 1 1 3 2 3 3 7 21 Spencer Cartwright '22
Rachel Holick '22
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 2 3 3 2 5 5 2 12 34 Aidan Hoogland '24
Molly Matthews '23
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 5 4 2 4 3 6 4 14 42 Cameron Wood '22
Emily Gildea '21
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 11 7 10 17 1 1 5 1 53 Nathan Olmsted '23 [1-8]
Charles Mason '23 [1-4]
Brian Nelson '21 [5-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 9 5 5 8 4 14 7 2 54 Daniel Unangst '24
Jack Farrell '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 12 9 9 11 6 2 9 3 61 Austen Freda '21
Lindsay Powers '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 7 14 6 10 14 4 1 8 64 Alex Fasolo '22
Juliana Testa '21
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 4 2 12 12 10 8 8 17 73 Richie Gordon '21
Lauren O'Neill '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 15 13 7 15 7 7 6 9 79 John Walton '22
Jaqueline Frode '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 16 8 8 6 15 12 11 5 81 Ansgar Jordan '22
George Sidamon-Eristoff '22
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 6 10 6 17 9 11 10 14 6 83 George Higham '23
Hank Bailey '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 6 12 13 1 8 16 15 16 87 Samuel Merson '22
Ann Sheridan '22
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 18 10 4 5 16 13 10 13 89 Riley Read '22
Annika Irene '23
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 8 11 15 14 9 9 16 10 92 Michael Pinto '23
Jin Johnson '23
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 17 15 16 7 12 15 12 4 98 Matthew Kickhafer '23
Mia Quinlan '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 3 18 11 13 17 17 13 11 103 William Bailey '24
Grace Woodcock '23
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 13 17 14 16 13 11 17 15 116 Walter Gnann '21 [1-8]
Brian Nelson '21 [1-4]
Charles Mason '23 [5-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 14 16 DNS 18 DNS DNS DNS DNS 143 Michaela Odonnell '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 111111111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 233333333
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 355555555
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 477777777
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 51111111111111111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 61717171717171717
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 11818181818181818
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 21616161616161616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 31515151515151515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 41414141414141414
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 51313131313131313
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 61212121212121212
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 799999999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 822222222
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 188888888
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 21010101010101010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 344444444
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 466666666

Conditions — 05/19/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 34%  ·  Pressure 1025.0 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From NE (48°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover21% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity34% Pressure1025.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Roger Williams: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.20 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.36 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Roger Williams by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Roger Williams).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →