U. S. Coast Guard Academy '23
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keelboat | 1.51 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 18 | Fall 2022 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.65 (fleet 3.66) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 50–32 (61%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 3 | 17–15 | — |
| Spring 2021 | 4 | 33–17 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 6 graded regattas (81 matches) the record is 50–31 against 44.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+5.7). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 7 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-19 | The Ivan Geiger Team Race Regatta | skipper | 3.06 | 4.01 | 12–9 | 8.1 | +0.94 | 2.7 | 4% |
| 2022-03-05 | Bob Bavier Team Race | skipper | 3.05 | 2.27 | 5–5 | 6.5 | −0.78 | 0.8 | 93% |
| 2021-04-25 | NEISA Team Race Championship for Fowle Trophy | skipper | 2.97 | 2.79 | 7–5 | 7.4 | −0.19 | 0.1 | 73% |
| 2021-04-02 | BC Team Race | skipper | 2.71 | 3.99 | 11–4 | 7.6 | +1.29 | 3.1 | 4% |
| 2021-03-20 | Southern New England Team Race | skipper | 2.69 | 2.62 | 5–4 | 5.1 | −0.07 | 0.0 | 70% |
| 2021-03-13 | Hap Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.83 | 3.01 | 10–4 | 9.6 | +0.19 | 0.0 | 54% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Collegiate Offshore Regatta - PHRF A Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 2.8 | — |
| Port of LA Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 6.5 | — |
| 2023 CGA J70 Invite #3 Keelboat | Crew | A | 14 | 2.6 | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Shields Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 3.2 | — |
| NEISA Match Race Championship Keelboat | Skipper | A | 3 | 3.0 | 2.50 |
| 2022 Pine Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 3.0 | — |
| 2022 McMillan Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 4 | 6.0 | — |
| 2022 Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 2.0 | — |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| The Ivan Geiger Team Race Regatta | Skipper | TR | 21 | 57% | — |
| Bob Bavier Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 44% | — |
| The 39th Lynne Marchiando Regatta | Skipper | TR | 15 | 47% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Pine Trophy Keelboat | Skipper | A | 13 | 3.4 | 2.09 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 8.2 | 3.58 |
| Larry White Trophy Keelboat | Skipper | A | 2 | 2.0 | 3.38 |
| ICSA Match Race National Championship | Skipper | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 4.1 | 4.03 |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | C | 5 | 11.2 | 2.88 |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| URI Spring Invite | Skipper | A | 9 | 7.3 | 1.94 |
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.2 | 4.63 |
| Southern New England Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 56% | — |
| RWU Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.6 | 4.21 |
| NEISA Team Race Championship for Fowle Trophy | Skipper | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| Hap Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 71% | — |
| CGA Invite | Skipper | A | 7 | 8.1 | 3.89 |
| BC Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 73% | — |
| Fall 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Superintendents' Trophy - Dinghy | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.0 | 3.47 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.5 | 3.31 |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.1 | 2.42 |
| NEISA Showcase Qualifier | Skipper | B | 14 | 5.9 | 3.18 |
| Mt. Hope Invite | Skipper | B | 7 | 3.9 | 3.41 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 6.2 | 3.98 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.9 | 2.80 |
| Hatch Brown Memorial Trophy | Crew | B | 7 | 13.6 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Nathan Olmsted |  Minnetonka High School |
'19 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
