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URI Spring Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 108
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 123
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 124
4 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 126
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 142
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 193
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 217
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 253
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 256
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 A 4 1 9 2 7 2 1 2 1 29 John Walton '22
Jaqueline Frode '22
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 B 8 3 5 14 4 6 3 1 11 55 Matthew Kickhafer '23
Lauren O'Neill '24
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 B 1 OCS 10 6 1 5 5 10 3 60 Daniel Unangst '24 [1-9]
Jack Farrell '23 [1-6]
Mia Quinlan '24 [7-9]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 B 6 10 3 3 11 1 9 9 9 61 George Higham '23
Hank Bailey '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 A 3 OCS 2 4 3 12 2 11 6 62 Riley Read '22
Annika Irene '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 2 6 13 15 6 11 4 3 5 65 Parker Colantuono '22
Katie Coughlin '24
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 A 7 2 4 9 13 4 13 6 8 66 Nathan Olmsted '23
Charles Mason '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 13 8 1 1 9 10 8 7 10 67 Peter Cronin '22
Frances Donahoe '24
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 A 5 5 8 10 2 8 7 12 12 69 Michael Pinto '23
Jin Johnson '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 A 12 9 7 12 12 7 6 8 2 75 Connor Sheridan '22
Harper Mckerrow '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 9 4 14 16 8 3 15 4 4 77 Aidan Naughton '22
Taylor Borges '22
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 B 14 7 6 5 5 9 14 5 14 79 William Bailey '24
Darcy Lavoie '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 11 13 15 8 18 16 10 13 7 111 Henry Lee '24
Halle Peterlin '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 A 10 11 11 11 15 15 12 14 13 112 Matthew Galbraith '21
Caroline Kelly '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 B 16 12 12 7 10 13 16 15 17 118 Wells Drayton '21
Devin Hart '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 B 18 16 18 18 14 14 11 16 16 141 Evan Robison '21
Jacob Whitney '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 15 15 16 17 16 17 17 17 15 145 Anthony Purcell '24
Ava Wilson '24
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 17 14 17 13 17 18 18 18 18 150 Gregory Dillon '23
Hadley O'Sullivan '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1666666666
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2777777777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1888888888
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2999999999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1111111111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2222222222
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks333333333
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1444444444
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2555555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1151515151515151515
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2161616161616161616
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1171717171717171717
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2181818181818181818
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1101010101010101010
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2111111111111111111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121212121212121212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1131313131313131313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2141414141414141414

Conditions — 04/17/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1006.9 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 24.1 kn
From NNW (338°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine2.7 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1006.9 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →