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VISA Fall Fleet Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 36 39 75
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 23 68 91
3 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 48 44 92
4 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 34 59 93
5 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 57 37 94
6 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 43 55 98
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 54 56 110
8 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 76 35 111
9 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 84 60 144
10 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 132 37 169
11 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 87 89 176
12 York High School York High School Varsity 50 128 178
13 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 85 119 204
14 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 101 128 229
15 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 139 106 245
16 The Hague School The Hague School The Tritons 107 141 248
17 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 176 82 258
18 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 101 170 271
19 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 176 95 271
20 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 130 149 279
21 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 7 176 134 310
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 2 2 4 5 1 6 2 1 23 Carlos Bermudez De Castro Castro '22
Emilie Janzen '22
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 1 7 1 7 12 1 3 2 34 Henry Allgeier '23
Audrey Permenter '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 4 1 5 6 3 7 1 9 36 Maggie Campbell '22
Clara Murphy '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 3 13 3 4 5 3 7 5 43 William "Bo" Angus '25
John "Peyton" Mcdonald '23
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 7 3 8 9 7 2 8 4 48 Pierce Brindley '24
Madeline Amthore '22
York High School York High School Varsity 8 4 9 1 8 9 4 7 50 Justin Kelly '25
Liam Burke '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 6 6 6 3 9 8 5 11 54 Maison Koepke '23
Marina Dryer '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 12 8 2 2 2 4 13 14 57 Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Ellie Hasbrouck '24
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 10 14 7 10 4 5 14 12 76 Leila Pfrang '25 [1-8]
Charlie Joseph '24 [1-2]
Bennett Parker '24 [3-8]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 11 5 12 13 11 13 11 8 84 Kiana Beachy '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Mary Archer Connors '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Mary Archer Connors '24 [1-2, 5]
Kiana Beachy '24 [3-4]
Alex Salzberg '25 [6, 8]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [7]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 9 11 16 11 16 10 6 6 85 Eleanor Patterson '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Chase Brewer '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Emery Hill '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Eleanor Patterson '22 [3-4]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity RDG 12 15 8 10 12 9 10 87 Blake Goodwin '23
Nathan Shaw '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 5 16 13 14 13 11 12 17 101 Paul Trudell '22
Rachael Buchanan '24
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 13 15 14 15 14 17 10 3 101 Katherine Anna Hamner '22 [1-8]
Corbin Bergert '27 [1-6]
Bryce Mchose '24 [7-8]
The Hague School The Hague School The Tritons DNS 10 11 16 6 14 15 13 107 Charlotte Stillman '23
Justina Reynolds '24
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores DNF 9 10 12 18 15 DSQ DSQ 130 Emily Priest '25 [1-8]
Lillian Rippel '25 [1-6]
Reagan Evans '23 [7-8]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 14 18 18 18 15 18 16 15 132 Jack Herritage '24 [1-2]
Collin Mcpherson '24 [3-8]
Collin Mcpherson '24 [1-2]
Jack Herritage '24 [3-8]
Granby High School Granby High School Comets DNF 17 17 17 17 16 17 16 139 Davis Mann '23
Aliyah Oakley '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 176
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 176
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 7 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 176
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 6 1 1 9 5 4 4 5 35 Kyle Pfrang '22
Kevin Li '23
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 4 2 3 7 4 2 8 7 37 Tyler Brown '23
Chloe Anderson '24
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 RDG RDG 4 3 2 9 5 4 37 Owen Grainger '24
Tobias Poder-Witzke '24
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 5 5 2 8 6 5 6 2 39 Robert Chase '22
Brylie Schaubach '22
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 3 3 8 4 8 3 1 14 44 Parker Moore '25
Olivia Slider '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 1 7 DSQ 2 1 7 7 8 55 Jordan Vieira '24
Jaxon Parker Searcy '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 9 6 5 1 10 13 2 10 56 Julius Poder-Witzke '24
Aidan Iaconis '22
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 10 12 9 5 11 8 3 1 59 Rebecca Schill '23 [1-5]
Sean Trudell '24 [6-8]
Marin Soderberg '24 [1-5]
Emily Britt '23 [6-8]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 7 4 13 11 7 6 9 3 60 Maddie Murphy '25
Jackson Delanty '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 11 8 10 10 9 1 10 9 68 Jj Klempen '23
Pj Rodrigues Jr '24
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 2 11 7 6 15 12 14 15 82 Benjamin Fauda Trettel '24
Simone Moss '25
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 8 13 11 15 3 10 18 11 89 Luke Manternach '22
Helen Schmuck '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 12 9 6 12 17 11 DSQ 6 95 Nathaniel Bonham '24
Miles Wilkin '23
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 15 10 14 13 13 14 11 16 106 Huaqiu "Cho-Cho" Williams '22
Gabby Cloe '24
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 13 15 16 16 12 17 13 17 119 Grace Watlington '22
Ava Michel '22
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 14 19 12 18 16 19 12 18 128 Jack Poynter '25
Hunter Wheary '24
York High School York High School Varsity 17 14 19 14 14 15 16 19 128 Grif Mahan '25 [1-8]
Nick Fogt '23 [1-3, 7]
Jake Marmon '24 [4-6, 8]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 7 16 17 15 19 18 20 17 12 134 Mosley Davidson '23
Cameron Nealon '23
The Hague School The Hague School The Tritons DNF 16 18 20 19 18 15 13 141 Nicholas Davis '24
Thomas Bloys '24
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores DNF 18 17 17 20 16 19 20 149 Reagan Evans '23 [1]
Madeline Ballard '25 [2, 7-8]
Tucker Mcgrady '26 [3-6]
Madeline Ballard '25 [1]
Reagan Evans '23 [2]
Gianna Dunn '23 [3-6]
Lillian Rippel '25 [7-8]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans DNF DNF DNF 21 21 21 20 21 170 Jack Popov '24 [1-8]
Bryce Mchose '24 [1-6]
Corbin Bergert '27 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 111111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 222222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 333333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 444444444
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 51919191919191919
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 62020202020202020
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 72121212121212121
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity55555555
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets77777777
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators1010101010101010
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors1212121212121212
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores88888888
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints1111111111111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 11313131313131313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 21414141414141414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 11515151515151515
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 21616161616161616
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1717171717171717
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School The Tritons99999999
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans1818181818181818
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity66666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 111111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 222222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 333333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 444444444
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 51919191919191919
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 62020202020202020
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 72121212121212121
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity55555555
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets77777777
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators1010101010101010
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors1212121212121212
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores88888888
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints1111111111111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 11313131313131313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 21414141414141414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 11515151515151515
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 21616161616161616
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1717171717171717
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School The Tritons99999999
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans1818181818181818
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity66666666
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Carlos Bermudez De Castro Castro '22 Emilie Janzen '22
Seahorses 1 Jj Klempen '23 Pj Rodrigues Jr '24
Christchurch School Christchurch School Maison Koepke '23 Marina Dryer '22
Seahorses 2 Julius Poder-Witzke '24 Aidan Iaconis '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School William "Bo" Angus '25 John "Peyton" Mcdonald '23
Seahorses 3 Jordan Vieira '24 Jaxon Parker Searcy '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25 Ellie Hasbrouck '24
Seahorses 4 Owen Grainger '24 Tobias Poder-Witzke '24
Christchurch School Christchurch School
Seahorses 5 Nathaniel Bonham '24 Miles Wilkin '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School
Seahorses 6 Benjamin Fauda Trettel '24 Simone Moss '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School
Seahorses 7 Mosley Davidson '23 Cameron Nealon '23
Grafton High School Grafton High School Blake Goodwin '23 Nathan Shaw '25
Varsity Luke Manternach '22 Helen Schmuck '23
Granby High School Granby High School Davis Mann '23 Aliyah Oakley '23
Comets Huaqiu "Cho-Cho" Williams '22 Gabby Cloe '24
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Pierce Brindley '24 Madeline Amthore '22
Navigators Parker Moore '25 Olivia Slider '22
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Jack Herritage '24 [1-2]
Collin Mcpherson '24 [3-8]		 Collin Mcpherson '24 [1-2]
Jack Herritage '24 [3-8]
Warriors Tyler Brown '23 Chloe Anderson '24
Maury High School Maury High School Emily Priest '25 [1-8] Lillian Rippel '25 [1-6]
Reagan Evans '23 [7-8]
Commodores Reagan Evans '23 [1]
Madeline Ballard '25 [2, 7-8]
Tucker Mcgrady '26 [3-6]		 Madeline Ballard '25 [1]
Reagan Evans '23 [2]
Gianna Dunn '23 [3-6]
Lillian Rippel '25 [7-8]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Leila Pfrang '25 [1-8] Charlie Joseph '24 [1-2]
Bennett Parker '24 [3-8]
Saints Kyle Pfrang '22 Kevin Li '23
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Henry Allgeier '23 Audrey Permenter '23
Bulldogs 1 Rebecca Schill '23 [1-5]
Sean Trudell '24 [6-8]		 Marin Soderberg '24 [1-5]
Emily Britt '23 [6-8]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Paul Trudell '22 Rachael Buchanan '24
Bulldogs 2 Jack Poynter '25 Hunter Wheary '24
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Maggie Campbell '22 Clara Murphy '23
Oaks 1 Robert Chase '22 Brylie Schaubach '22
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Kiana Beachy '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Mary Archer Connors '24 [3-4, 7-8]		 Mary Archer Connors '24 [1-2, 5]
Kiana Beachy '24 [3-4]
Alex Salzberg '25 [6, 8]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [7]
Oaks 2 Maddie Murphy '25 Jackson Delanty '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Eleanor Patterson '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Chase Brewer '22 [3-4, 7-8]		 Emery Hill '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Eleanor Patterson '22 [3-4]
Islanders Grace Watlington '22 Ava Michel '22
The Hague School The Hague School Charlotte Stillman '23 Justina Reynolds '24
The Tritons Nicholas Davis '24 Thomas Bloys '24
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Katherine Anna Hamner '22 [1-8] Corbin Bergert '27 [1-6]
Bryce Mchose '24 [7-8]
Trojans Jack Popov '24 [1-8] Bryce Mchose '24 [1-6]
Corbin Bergert '27 [7-8]
York High School York High School Justin Kelly '25 Liam Burke '27
Varsity Grif Mahan '25 [1-8] Nick Fogt '23 [1-3, 7]
Jake Marmon '24 [4-6, 8]

Conditions — 10/30/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1001.5 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From SSW (210°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine8.3 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1001.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christchurch: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Christchurch, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →