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VISA State Fleet Race Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 22 25 47
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 49 23 72
3 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 42 35 77
4 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 50 37 87
5 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 33 62 95
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 61 64 125
7 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 63 125 188
8 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 58 133 191
9 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 110 85 195
10 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 103 109 212
11 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 107 109 216
12 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 88 136 224
13 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 1 89 145 234
14 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 118 118 236
15 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 112 127 239
16 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 158 81 239
17 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 207 58 265
18 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 184 97 281
19 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 2 169 147 316
20 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 141 187 328
21 Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA 207 182 389
22 Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 171 MRP 227 MRP 398 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 4 2 1 2 4 2 5 1 22 Owen Grainger '24
Reid Nelson '24
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 4 2 4 7 1 1 1 6 7 33 Parker Moore '25
Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 6 3 3 5 5 5 4 9 2 42 Maison Koepke '23
John "Peyton" Mcdonald '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 3 5 1 2 10 7 3 3 15 49 Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Simone Moss '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 DSQ 1 5 3 3 2 6 1 6 50 Henry Allgeier '23 [1-9]
Emily Britt '23 [1-3, 7-9]
Jack Poynter '25 [4-6]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 2 DSQ 10 6 4 3 5 2 3 58 Blake Goodwin '23
Helen Schmuck '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 7 8 8 4 7 8 7 4 8 61 Maddie Murphy '25
Jackson Delanty '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 5 7 6 8 6 6 8 13 4 63 Olivia Gilmore '23
Evan Harris '24
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 9 6 13 12 13 12 10 8 5 88 Kieran Mason '26
Molly Hanson '23
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 1 12 10 7 10 12 10 9 7 12 89 Charlotte Stillman '23 [1-9]
Justina Reynolds '24 [1-3, 5-9]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 11 12 11 9 8 13 16 14 9 103 Alex Salzberg '25
Jessa Rousch '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 14 14 15 14 9 9 11 11 10 107 Charlie Moore '27 [1-9]
Liam Ambrosino '23 [1-3]
Ryan Foretich '25 [4-9]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 10 11 9 11 16 15 12 12 14 110 Charlotte Shumate '24 [1-9]
Gabby Cloe '24 [1-4]
Lillian Bowes '24 [5-9]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 8 9 12 13 11 14 14 15 16 112 Emily Priest '25 [1-9]
Reagan Evans '23 [1-3, 8-9]
Lillian Rippel '25 [4-7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 15 13 14 15 14 11 13 10 13 118 Hunter Wheary '24
Rachael Buchanan '24
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 13 15 16 DNS 15 17 15 16 11 141 Madison Bivins '25
Aidan Murphy '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 17 16 18 17 18 18 18 18 18 158 Mare Barasik '26
Jacob Carey '26
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 2 18 17 19 19 19 20 19 19 19 169 Thomas Bloys '24
Austin Sadler '26
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 16 18 17 16 17 16 17 17 17 171 MRP No Show
No Show
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 19 19 20 18 20 19 DNS DNS DNS 184 Marco Capallera Granja '24
Graham Friesner '25
Granby High School Granby High School Comets DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 207 No Show
No Show
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 207 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 2 3 1 3 3 4 1 4 2 23 William &Quot;Bo&Quot; Angus '25
Bennet Moss '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 1 4 4 2 1 6 5 1 25 Rafael "Rafa" De Tomas Pereda '25
Maria Del Rosario De Tomas Perello '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 3 4 6 7 4 3 4 1 3 35 Jordan Viera '24 [1-9]
Cameron Kinnear '24 [1-4]
Lane Turton '25 [5-9]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 5 6 2 2 10 2 2 3 5 37 Rebecca Schill '23
Marin Soderberg '24
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 9 8 3 1 9 11 3 8 6 58 James Allgeier '27 [1-9]
Aliyah Oakley '23 [1-4]
Caspian Collett '25 [5-9]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 4 2 11 6 5 6 11 13 4 62 Pierce Brindley '24
Gianna Dewey '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 6 5 8 9 8 7 7 7 7 64 Kiana Beachy '24
Clara Murphy '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 10 7 5 10 16 10 13 2 8 81 Elliott Lipp '26 [1-9]
Ellie Hasbrauch '24 [1-5]
Han Phan '25 [6-9]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 7 9 16 12 6 8 5 10 12 85 Tucker Mcgrady '26 [1-9]
Madeline Ballard '25 [1-4]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [5-9]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 11 13 9 5 15 5 10 6 DSQ 97 Guillem Balaguer Soler '26
Nikolas "Niko" Salas '23
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 8 17 17 11 1 18 15 9 13 109 Stone Dewey '26 [1-9]
Joe Rosati '24 [1-6]
Josie Brindley '26 [7-9]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 12 12 7 8 13 13 12 17 15 109 Cal King '27 [1-9]
Tucker Peltier '26 [1-5]
Catlin Schoonen '24 [6-9]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 14 11 10 19 12 9 16 11 16 118 James Savage '23 [1-5]
Pablo Tartiere-Martinez '23 [6-8]
Eliana Mopper '26 [9]
Sabrina Casagrande '25 [1-2]
Amanda Wong '25 [3-5]
Anna Iacobucci '25 [6-9]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 18 10 13 15 18 16 9 16 10 125 Aubrey Walton '23 [1-4, 6-9]
Barrett Wise '23 [5]
Barrett Wise '23 [1-4]
Aubrey Walton '23 [5]
Mackenzie Haynes '24 [6-9]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 16 18 18 17 14 15 8 12 9 127 Jackson Mcgrady '26
Gianna Dunn '23
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 13 14 12 16 11 14 18 18 17 133 Nick Fogt '23
Ezekiel Hurst '25
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 19 19 14 14 19 12 14 14 11 136 Caleb Kyle '25
Chloe Anderson '24
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 1 15 15 15 18 7 17 20 19 19 145 Nicholas Davis '24
Keelin Hogan '23
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 2 17 16 19 13 17 19 17 15 14 147 Ryan Sullivan '23
Nathan Libby '26
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA 20 20 20 21 DNS 21 19 20 18 182 Angelo Bellecci '25
Aisha Elrahhal '28
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights DSQ 21 21 20 20 20 21 21 20 187 Tancrede Paris '23
Wandrille Paris '26
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 227 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2222222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3333333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 4181181181181181181181181181
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 5212121212121212121
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers444444444
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets191919191919191919
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1555555555
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2666666666
Heritage High School - VAHeritage High School - VA Heritage - VA202020202020202020
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors777777777
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 1888888888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2999999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1101010101010101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2111111111111111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1121212121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2131313131313131313
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights141414141414141414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders151515151515151515
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons 1161616161616161616
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons 2171717171717171717
Williamsburg Classical AcademyWilliamsburg Classical Academy Owls181818181818181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2222222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3333333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 4181181181181181181181181181
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 5212121212121212121
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers444444444
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets191919191919191919
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1555555555
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2666666666
Heritage High School - VAHeritage High School - VA Heritage - VA202020202020202020
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors777777777
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 1888888888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2999999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1101010101010101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2111111111111111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1121212121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2131313131313131313
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights141414141414141414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders151515151515151515
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons 1161616161616161616
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons 2171717171717171717
Williamsburg Classical AcademyWilliamsburg Classical Academy Owls181818181818181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Owen Grainger '24 Reid Nelson '24
Seahorses 1 Rafael "Rafa" De Tomas Pereda '25 Maria Del Rosario De Tomas Perello '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Maison Koepke '23 John "Peyton" Mcdonald '23
Seahorses 2 Jordan Viera '24 [1-9] Cameron Kinnear '24 [1-4]
Lane Turton '25 [5-9]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25 Simone Moss '25
Seahorses 3 William &Quot;Bo&Quot; Angus '25 Bennet Moss '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Mare Barasik '26 Jacob Carey '26
Seahorses 4 Elliott Lipp '26 [1-9] Ellie Hasbrauch '24 [1-5]
Han Phan '25 [6-9]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Marco Capallera Granja '24 Graham Friesner '25
Seahorses 5 Guillem Balaguer Soler '26 Nikolas "Niko" Salas '23
Grafton High School Grafton High School Blake Goodwin '23 Helen Schmuck '23
Clippers Nick Fogt '23 Ezekiel Hurst '25
Granby High School Granby High School No Show No Show
Comets James Allgeier '27 [1-9] Aliyah Oakley '23 [1-4]
Caspian Collett '25 [5-9]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Parker Moore '25 Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Navigators 1 Pierce Brindley '24 Gianna Dewey '23
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Charlie Moore '27 [1-9] Liam Ambrosino '23 [1-3]
Ryan Foretich '25 [4-9]
Navigators 2 Stone Dewey '26 [1-9] Joe Rosati '24 [1-6]
Josie Brindley '26 [7-9]
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA No Show No Show
Heritage - VA Angelo Bellecci '25 Aisha Elrahhal '28
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Kieran Mason '26 Molly Hanson '23
Warriors Caleb Kyle '25 Chloe Anderson '24
Maury High School Maury High School Emily Priest '25 [1-9] Reagan Evans '23 [1-3, 8-9]
Lillian Rippel '25 [4-7]
Commodores 1 Jackson Mcgrady '26 Gianna Dunn '23
Maury High School Maury High School Charlotte Shumate '24 [1-9] Gabby Cloe '24 [1-4]
Lillian Bowes '24 [5-9]
Commodores 2 Tucker Mcgrady '26 [1-9] Madeline Ballard '25 [1-4]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [5-9]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Henry Allgeier '23 [1-9] Emily Britt '23 [1-3, 7-9]
Jack Poynter '25 [4-6]
Bulldogs 1 Rebecca Schill '23 Marin Soderberg '24
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Hunter Wheary '24 Rachael Buchanan '24
Bulldogs 2 James Savage '23 [1-5]
Pablo Tartiere-Martinez '23 [6-8]
Eliana Mopper '26 [9]		 Sabrina Casagrande '25 [1-2]
Amanda Wong '25 [3-5]
Anna Iacobucci '25 [6-9]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Maddie Murphy '25 Jackson Delanty '23
Oaks 1 Kiana Beachy '24 Clara Murphy '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Alex Salzberg '25 Jessa Rousch '27
Oaks 2 Cal King '27 [1-9] Tucker Peltier '26 [1-5]
Catlin Schoonen '24 [6-9]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Madison Bivins '25 Aidan Murphy '25
Knights Tancrede Paris '23 Wandrille Paris '26
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Olivia Gilmore '23 Evan Harris '24
Islanders Aubrey Walton '23 [1-4, 6-9]
Barrett Wise '23 [5]		 Barrett Wise '23 [1-4]
Aubrey Walton '23 [5]
Mackenzie Haynes '24 [6-9]
The Hague School The Hague School Charlotte Stillman '23 [1-9] Justina Reynolds '24 [1-3, 5-9]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [4]
Tritons 1 Nicholas Davis '24 Keelin Hogan '23
The Hague School The Hague School Thomas Bloys '24 Austin Sadler '26
Tritons 2 Ryan Sullivan '23 Nathan Libby '26
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy No Show No Show
Owls No Show No Show

Conditions — 10/29/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1029.2 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From NNE (31°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover54% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1029.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christchurch School: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.21 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Christchurch School).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →