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VISA Christchurch Fleet Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 5 8 13
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 10 19 29
3 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 24 9 33
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 18 17 35
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 12 29 41
6 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 38 21 59
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 34 32 66
8 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 26 44 70
9 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 42 31 73
10 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 51 44 95
11 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 51 47 98
12 Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 40 62 102
13 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 54 48 102
14 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 60 45 105
15 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 54 52 106
16 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 67 46 113
17 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 57 72 129
18 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 48 87 MRP 135 MRP
19 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 73 72 145
20 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 96 MRP 75 171 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 1 2 1 5 Bo Angus '25
Brooke Mertz '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 4 3 1 2 10 Wylder Smith '27
Adelaide Matzky '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 2 2 3 5 12 James Allgeier '27
Anna Iacobucci '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 5 5 4 4 18 Maddie Murphy '25
Emma Horton '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 3 10 8 3 24 Parker Moore '25
Daphne Ambrosino '27
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 7 6 5 8 26 Tucker Mcgrady '26 [1-4]
Madeline Ballard '25 [1-3]
Colin Moorhouse '27 [4]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 11 9 7 7 34 Simone Moss '25
Emma Ho '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 8 8 11 11 38 Chloe Shurr '25
Cindy Zhang '28
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 14 4 13 9 40 Sophia Lopez '30
Rozlyn Theriault '29
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 12 7 17 6 42 Charlie Moore '27
Patrick Bielewicz '28
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 10 12 16 10 48 Chase Duhon Kovach '29
Willow Wheeler '27
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 9 13 14 15 51 Felix Susta '27
Ezekiel Hurst '25
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 17 11 6 17 51 Nathan Libby '26
Aniyah Lang '28
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 13 15 10 16 54 Anna Lenox '28
Mollie Armentrout '28
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 18 14 9 13 54 Caleb Kyle '25
Brooklynn Maranto '28
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 16 17 12 12 57 Caspian Collett '25
Rylie Bowen '27
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 6 16 18 20 60 Margaret Poston '28 [1-2]
Grant Fernandez '27 [3-4]
Owen Peluso '26 [1-2]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 19 19 15 14 67 Hunter Walton '25 [1-4]
Meadow Page '26 [1-3]
Jackson Raymond '27 [4]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 15 20 20 18 73 Hunter Heckman '26
Brandon Skaredoff '27
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 20 18 19 19 96 MRP Nicholas Cromartie '27
Nate Isaac '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 2 3 2 8 Elliott Lipp '26
Suzie Nguyen '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 5 1 2 1 9 Leila Pfrang '25
Josie Brindley '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 9 3 1 4 17 Alex Salzberg '25
Michael Wattenbarger '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 2 5 7 5 19 Wyatt Lipp '28
Eleanor Lorenzen '28
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 7 7 4 3 21 Gp Keating '27
Olivia Wolff '27
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 3 8 5 13 29 Jack Poynter '25 [1-2]
Eliana Mopper '26 [3-4]
Amanda Wong '25 [1-2]
David Martin '26 [3-4]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 6 6 8 11 31 Will Chapman '28
Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 4 9 11 8 32 Jackson Mcgrady '26
Carly Moss '28
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 10 10 12 12 44 Emily Priest '25
Lenox Wakefield '27
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 11 13 14 6 44 Levi Stillman '25
Aline Hughes '30
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 18 14 6 7 45 Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [1-2]
Andrew Allgeier '30 [3-4]
Juliana Libby '28 [1-2]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 16 12 9 9 46 Brett Clemmey '27
Akito Leslie '26
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 12 11 10 14 47 Nathan Shaw '27
Mollie Beth Andrews '25
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 8 4 17 19 48 Angelo Bellecci '25 [1-4]
Piper Cartwright '27 [1-2]
Lillian Melzer '30 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 14 15 13 10 52 Finian Bohan '27 [1, 3]
Tucker Peltier '26 [2, 4]
Tucker Peltier '26 [1, 3]
Finian Bohan '27 [2, 4]
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 13 18 15 16 62 Raquel Theriault '26
Katherine Michael '26
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 17 20 20 15 72 Samuel Rogge '28
Genevieve Collett '25
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 19 19 16 18 72 Sebastian Rodriguez '25
Noah Webber '26
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 20 16 19 20 75 Chase Young '28 [1-4]
Ryan Stokes '28 [1-2]
Tyler Slemp '25 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 15 17 18 17 87 MRP Graham Stevens '28
Evangelia Bredologos '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders1133
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1222020
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 23355
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 34422
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 45577
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers6644
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 17799
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 28866
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors991111
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 1101088
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 211111313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 112121010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 213131515
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 114141212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 215151717
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 316161414
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms17171919
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders18181616
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Tigers191911
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons20201818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders2244
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111919
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 24466
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 33311
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 46688
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers5533
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1881010
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 27755
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors10101212
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 19977
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 212121414
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1111199
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 214141616
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 113131111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 216161818
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 315151313
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms18182020
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders17171515
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Tigers202022
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons19191717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Hunter Heckman '26 Brandon Skaredoff '27
Crusaders Sebastian Rodriguez '25 Noah Webber '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Bo Angus '25 Brooke Mertz '26
Seahorses 1 Elliott Lipp '26 Suzie Nguyen '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Wylder Smith '27 Adelaide Matzky '25
Seahorses 2 Wyatt Lipp '28 Eleanor Lorenzen '28
Christchurch School Christchurch School Chloe Shurr '25 Cindy Zhang '28
Seahorses 3 Gp Keating '27 Olivia Wolff '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Simone Moss '25 Emma Ho '25
Seahorses 4 Jackson Mcgrady '26 Carly Moss '28
Grafton High School Grafton High School Felix Susta '27 Ezekiel Hurst '25
Clippers Nathan Shaw '27 Mollie Beth Andrews '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Parker Moore '25 Daphne Ambrosino '27
Navigators 1 Leila Pfrang '25 Josie Brindley '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Charlie Moore '27 Patrick Bielewicz '28
Navigators 2 Will Chapman '28 Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Caleb Kyle '25 Brooklynn Maranto '28
Warriors Angelo Bellecci '25 [1-4] Piper Cartwright '27 [1-2]
Lillian Melzer '30 [3-4]
Maury High School Maury High School Tucker Mcgrady '26 [1-4] Madeline Ballard '25 [1-3]
Colin Moorhouse '27 [4]
Commodores 1 Emily Priest '25 Lenox Wakefield '27
Maury High School Maury High School Caspian Collett '25 Rylie Bowen '27
Commodores 2 Samuel Rogge '28 Genevieve Collett '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy James Allgeier '27 Anna Iacobucci '25
Bulldogs 1 Jack Poynter '25 [1-2]
Eliana Mopper '26 [3-4]		 Amanda Wong '25 [1-2]
David Martin '26 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Margaret Poston '28 [1-2]
Grant Fernandez '27 [3-4]		 Owen Peluso '26 [1-2]
Bulldogs 2 Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [1-2]
Andrew Allgeier '30 [3-4]		 Juliana Libby '28 [1-2]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Maddie Murphy '25 Emma Horton '25
Oaks 1 Alex Salzberg '25 Michael Wattenbarger '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Anna Lenox '28 Mollie Armentrout '28
Oaks 2 Finian Bohan '27 [1, 3]
Tucker Peltier '26 [2, 4]		 Tucker Peltier '26 [1, 3]
Finian Bohan '27 [2, 4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Chase Duhon Kovach '29 Willow Wheeler '27
Oaks 3 Graham Stevens '28 Evangelia Bredologos '27
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Nicholas Cromartie '27 Nate Isaac '28
Phantoms Chase Young '28 [1-4] Ryan Stokes '28 [1-2]
Tyler Slemp '25 [3-4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Hunter Walton '25 [1-4] Meadow Page '26 [1-3]
Jackson Raymond '27 [4]
Islanders Brett Clemmey '27 Akito Leslie '26
Tabb High School Tabb High School Sophia Lopez '30 Rozlyn Theriault '29
Tigers Raquel Theriault '26 Katherine Michael '26
The Hague School The Hague School Nathan Libby '26 Aniyah Lang '28
Tritons Levi Stillman '25 Aline Hughes '30

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.9 kn
avg  ·  max 3.5 kn
Gusts to 8.2 kn
From WSW (238°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover46% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1014.8 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christchurch: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Christchurch, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →