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MISSA Mallory Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 49 33 82
2 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 43 74 117
3 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 49 106 MRP 155 MRP
4 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 93 64 157
5 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 100 58 158
6 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 74 87 161
7 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 66 126 MRP 192 MRP
8 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 73 126 199
9 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 134 73 207
10 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 99 130 229
11 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 109 121 230
12 Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 146 MRP 86 MRP 232 MRP
13 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 143 90 233
14 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue 121 126 247
15 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 110 149 259
16 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 134 129 263
17 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 150 125 275
18 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 102 182 284
19 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 166 126 292
20 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 184 MRP 171 MRP 355 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 3 5 1 4 1 1 14 9 2 3 43 Ian Moran '18 [1-10]
Joey Bonacci '21 [1-2]
Margot Dugan '20 [3-10]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 8 3 1 3 6 6 4 11 6 49 Lolly Vasilion '18
Quinn Keenan '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 6 1 6 2 2 4 1 10 6 11 49 Nate Olmsted '19 [1-10]
Lexie Baker '19 [1-4]
Michael Dowson '19 [5-10]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 4 15 9 8 5 5 7 3 3 7 66 Marleigh Belsley '19
James Nappo '20
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 11 3 8 3 11 15 8 11 1 2 73 Aisling Sullivan '18
Cristina Dombrowski '19
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 18 4 2 7 6 12 2 6 4 13 74 Owen Patterson '19
Asha Baddi '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 10 9 12 6 20 2 12 1 9 12 93 Blake Stackpoole '18 [1-10]
Taft Peck '18 [1-3]
Dominic Dulac '20 [4-8]
Christiana Scheibner '19 [9-10]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 8 2 5 13 4 19 15 8 16 9 99 Lillian Nemeth '18
Emerson Wright '19
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 6 15 DSQ 7 17 5 5 8 14 100 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Megan Schoenzeit '21
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 9 17 10 11 14 16 3 7 7 8 102 Walker Mullin '19
Ananya Yogarajah '21
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 14 14 13 10 8 3 10 2 20 15 109 Austin Suvari '19
Lucy Mulvihill '18
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 17 20 11 16 13 7 4 12 5 5 110 Spencer Barnes '20
Jp Wynn '20
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue 7 13 18 12 19 9 13 17 12 1 121 Henry Gonzalez '21 [1-10]
Madison Fan '21 [1-4, 9-10]
Susanna Wu '19 [5-8]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 5 11 4 DSQ 10 14 20 18 15 16 134 Lily Wojcik '18
Abbey Walls '19
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 12 16 7 5 17 OCS 11 14 10 DSQ 134 Connor Sheridan '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Zach Biela '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Gabe Kobza '20 [1-4, 7-8]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 15 18 17 18 12 8 18 20 13 4 143 Jack Bull '19
Bryce Vandenavond '19
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 13 7 14 17 9 11 9 15 14 17 146 MRP Kate Higgins '18 [1-10]
Reilly Hannula '19 [1-4]
Grace Drought '19 [5-10]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 16 12 19 9 18 18 17 13 18 10 150 Harrison George '18 [1-10]
Ethan Lee '19 [1-2]
Alexandra Soo '18 [3-10]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 20 10 20 15 15 10 19 19 19 19 166 Clark Davis '20
Natalie Skiest '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 19 19 16 14 16 13 16 16 17 18 184 MRP Genna Viggiano '18 [1-10]
Anika Liner '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cole Barre '21 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 4 1 1 2 4 1 5 3 11 33 Matthew Kickhafer '19 [1-4]
Graham Ness '19 [5-10]
Rowan O'Connell '20 [1-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 10 3 8 12 8 2 3 1 5 6 58 Rachel Bartel '20 [1-10]
Chase Blum '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Louise Rosenbaum '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 6 2 2 2 13 8 6 3 10 12 64 John Walton '18
Drew Clutterbuck '19
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 11 9 5 10 14 1 12 2 7 2 73 Nicholas Elsasser '18 [1-10]
Casey Murray '20 [1-2]
William Porter '18 [3-8]
Michael Janowics '21 [9-10]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 2 6 10 17 3 15 5 10 2 4 74 Maggie Swasey '19
Natalie Dugan '18
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 4 1 9 9 17 13 7 4 1 1 86 MRP George Moore '19 [1-10]
Grace Drought '19 [1-4]
Reilly Hannula '19 [5-10]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 9 12 3 7 4 5 2 8 19 18 87 Wyatt Harley '21
Aviva Kaplan '20
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 13 18 6 3 5 9 8 11 8 9 90 Nicole Millerman '19
Isabel Dziuba '19
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 3 17 4 4 1 3 17 6 16 15 106 MRP Dylan Cotter '18 [1-8]
Noah Barton '19 [9-10]
Ben Spring '18 [1-2]
Nathan Whisner '19 [3-10]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 12 13 15 6 7 16 10 15 13 14 121 Will Robinson '18 [1-10]
Lily Allen '19 [1, 3, 5, 9-10]
Elias Henke '19 [2, 4, 6-8]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 8 15 18 15 19 7 9 14 4 16 125 Ethan Lee '19 [1-2, 6-8]
Connagh Rowley '18 [3]
Nate Marsden '19 [4, 9-10]
Brian Liu '18 [5]
Lukas Denner '18 [1-2]
Nate Marsden '19 [3, 5-6]
Connagh Rowley '18 [4, 7-8]
Ethan Lee '19 [9-10]
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 5 8 11 5 16 17 14 13 17 20 126 Caroline Sandoval '19
Nicholas Alfano '18
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 15 5 13 19 6 14 13 19 12 10 126 John Hultquist '20
Zachary Ozga '21
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue 16 11 12 8 20 18 18 9 9 5 126 Matthew Tan '19 [1-5, 7, 9-10]
Adrian Stone '20 [6, 8]
Bonnie Zhu '19 [1-5, 7, 9-10]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans OCS 7 DSQ 14 10 6 11 7 6 3 126 MRP Nikolas Chambers '19 [1-10]
Julia Fairbank '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Cj Ricci '20 [5-6]
Will Davies '18 [7-8]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 18 16 14 13 9 10 15 12 15 7 129 Sam Wojcik '19 [1-10]
Isabel Drobny '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Jack O'Brien '19 [3-6, 9-10]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 14 10 7 16 18 12 4 18 18 13 130 Sam Morin '18 [1-10]
Alec Wyers '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Philip Lengyel '21 [7-8]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 17 20 19 18 12 11 16 17 11 8 149 Will Carroll '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jp Starck '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Will Thorton '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ben Slater '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 7 19 17 11 11 20 19 16 14 17 171 MRP Clara Brown '18
Kristen Geib '20
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 19 14 16 20 15 19 20 20 20 19 182 Alex Saffert '20 [1-2, 9-10]
Clare Leeper '19 [3-8]
Clare Leeper '19 [1-2, 9-10]
Alex Saffert '20 [3-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red1133557799
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons18182020224466
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue224466881010
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity335577991111
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity44668810101212
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits55779911111313
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars6688101012121414
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils7799111113131515
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts881010121214141616
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans991111131315151717
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions10101212141416161818
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs11111313151517171919
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers12121414161618182020
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian131315151717191911
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet141416161818202022
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates1515171719191133
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack1616181820202244
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats17171919113355
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies191911335577
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity202022446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red224466881010
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons191911335577
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue335577991111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity44668810101212
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity55779911111313
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits6688101012121414
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars7799111113131515
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils881010121214141616
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts991111131315151717
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans10101212141416161818
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions11111313151517171919
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs12121414161618182020
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers131315151717191911
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian141416161818202022
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet1515171719191133
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates1616181820202244
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack17171919113355
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats18182020224466
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies202022446688
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Walker Mullin '19 Ananya Yogarajah '21
Red Alex Saffert '20 [1-2, 9-10]
Clare Leeper '19 [3-8]		 Clare Leeper '19 [1-2, 9-10]
Alex Saffert '20 [3-8]
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Henry Gonzalez '21 [1-10] Madison Fan '21 [1-4, 9-10]
Susanna Wu '19 [5-8]
Cranbrook Blue Matthew Tan '19 [1-5, 7, 9-10]
Adrian Stone '20 [6, 8]		 Bonnie Zhu '19 [1-5, 7, 9-10]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Harrison George '18 [1-10] Ethan Lee '19 [1-2]
Alexandra Soo '18 [3-10]
Varsity Ethan Lee '19 [1-2, 6-8]
Connagh Rowley '18 [3]
Nate Marsden '19 [4, 9-10]
Brian Liu '18 [5]		 Lukas Denner '18 [1-2]
Nate Marsden '19 [3, 5-6]
Connagh Rowley '18 [4, 7-8]
Ethan Lee '19 [9-10]
Edina High School Edina High School Kate Higgins '18 [1-10] Reilly Hannula '19 [1-4]
Grace Drought '19 [5-10]
Varsity George Moore '19 [1-10] Grace Drought '19 [1-4]
Reilly Hannula '19 [5-10]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Austin Suvari '19 Lucy Mulvihill '18
Wildkits Will Robinson '18 [1-10] Lily Allen '19 [1, 3, 5, 9-10]
Elias Henke '19 [2, 4, 6-8]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Clark Davis '20 Natalie Skiest '19
Friars John Hultquist '20 Zachary Ozga '21
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blake Stackpoole '18 [1-10] Taft Peck '18 [1-3]
Dominic Dulac '20 [4-8]
Christiana Scheibner '19 [9-10]
Blue Devils John Walton '18 Drew Clutterbuck '19
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Connor Sheridan '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Zach Biela '20 [5-6, 9-10]		 Gabe Kobza '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Scouts Nicholas Elsasser '18 [1-10] Casey Murray '20 [1-2]
William Porter '18 [3-8]
Michael Janowics '21 [9-10]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Marleigh Belsley '19 James Nappo '20
Romans Nikolas Chambers '19 [1-10] Julia Fairbank '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Cj Ricci '20 [5-6]
Will Davies '18 [7-8]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lily Wojcik '18 Abbey Walls '19
Lions Sam Wojcik '19 [1-10] Isabel Drobny '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Jack O'Brien '19 [3-6, 9-10]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Genna Viggiano '18 [1-10] Anika Liner '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cole Barre '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Zephyrs Clara Brown '18 Kristen Geib '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Nate Olmsted '19 [1-10] Lexie Baker '19 [1-4]
Michael Dowson '19 [5-10]
Skippers Matthew Kickhafer '19 [1-4]
Graham Ness '19 [5-10]		 Rowan O'Connell '20 [1-4]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Lolly Vasilion '18 Quinn Keenan '19
Trevian Dylan Cotter '18 [1-8]
Noah Barton '19 [9-10]		 Ben Spring '18 [1-2]
Nathan Whisner '19 [3-10]
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 Megan Schoenzeit '21
Scarlet Rachel Bartel '20 [1-10] Chase Blum '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Louise Rosenbaum '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Ian Moran '18 [1-10] Joey Bonacci '21 [1-2]
Margot Dugan '20 [3-10]
Pirates Maggie Swasey '19 Natalie Dugan '18
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Aisling Sullivan '18 Cristina Dombrowski '19
Wolfpack Caroline Sandoval '19 Nicholas Alfano '18
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Spencer Barnes '20 Jp Wynn '20
Wildcats Will Carroll '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jp Starck '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Will Thorton '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ben Slater '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Lillian Nemeth '18 Emerson Wright '19
Maroons Sam Morin '18 [1-10] Alec Wyers '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Philip Lengyel '21 [7-8]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Owen Patterson '19 Asha Baddi '20
Grizzlies Wyatt Harley '21 Aviva Kaplan '20
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Jack Bull '19 Bryce Vandenavond '19
Lakers Varsity Nicole Millerman '19 Isabel Dziuba '19

Conditions — 04/28/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1022.0 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From NNW (348°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1022.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn · NE 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Arrowhead: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.16
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.27 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Arrowhead by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Arrowhead, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →