VISA CCS Fleet Regatta 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 26 25 51
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 48 43 91
3 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 59 46 105
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 65 50 115
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 30 103 133
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 79 59 138
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 64 109 173
8 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 124 68 192
9 York High School York High School Falcons 119 86 205
10 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 82 MRP 133 MRP 215 MRP
11 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 128 99 227
12 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 94 135 229
13 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 133 145 278
14 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 110 181 291
15 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 155 157 312
16 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 130 MRP 189 MRP 319 MRP
17 Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA 200 156 356
18 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 156 MRP 202 MRP 358 MRP
19 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 187 191 378
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 3 3 1 3 1 4 1 5 2 3 26 Parker Moore '25 [1-10]
Daphne Ambrosino '27 [1-4]
Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [5-10]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 1 9 2 1 3 1 4 3 4 2 30 James Allgeier '27 [1-10]
Sabrina Casagrande '25 [1-4]
Owen Peluso '26 [5-10]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 2 8 3 4 7 2 12 2 3 5 48 Bo Angus '25
Bennett Moss '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 4 7 5 5 2 DSQ 3 6 1 6 59 Sam De Los Reyes '26
Adelaide Matzky '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 7 4 6 6 6 9 6 8 5 7 64 Duncan Hardy '27
Millicent Branflick '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 6 1 10 9 5 OCS 2 1 10 1 65 Wylder Smith '27
Wyatt Lipp '28
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 5 2 4 8 13 7 11 12 6 11 79 Maddie Murphy '25
Emma Horton '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 9 5 7 2 4 6 5 11 9 4 82 MRP Tucker Mcgrady '26
Lenox Wakefield '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 18 6 8 7 11 8 10 9 8 9 94 Chase Duhon-Kovach '29
Tucker Peltier '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 13 12 15 DSQ 8 11 7 7 7 10 110 Gp Keating '27
Olivia Wolff '27
York High School York High School Falcons 8 13 14 15 14 10 9 4 BKD DNS 119 Liam Burke '27
Tyler Compton '28
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 11 11 12 13 10 13 14 13 12 15 124 Charlie Moore '27 [1-4]
Sarah Moore '29 [5-10]
Sarah Moore '29 [1-4]
Jackson Mcgrady '26 [5-10]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 10 16 9 12 15 5 16 15 16 14 128 Mady Mcgee '27 [1-4]
Grant Fernandez '27 [5-10]
Amanda Wong '25 [1-4]
Addie Lesley '26 [5-10]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 14 10 11 14 12 3 13 10 11 12 130 MRP Emily Priest '25 [1-10]
Rylie Bowen '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Genevieve Collett '25 [7-8]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 12 DNF 16 10 9 12 15 16 15 8 133 Kieran Mason '26
Tyler Slemp '25
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 16 15 17 11 17 15 17 17 14 16 155 Hunter Walton '25 [1-10]
Luke Harrell '27 [1-4]
Aiden Westcott '25 [5-10]
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 15 14 13 16 16 14 8 14 13 13 156 MRP Nathan Libby '26
Aniyah Lang '28
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 17 17 18 17 18 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 187 Pierson Teer '27
Ayden Claussen '28
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 200 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 5 1 3 1 2 4 4 1 3 1 25 Leila Pfrang '25 [1-10]
Josie Brindley '26 [1-3]
Patrick Bielewicz '28 [4-10]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 7 6 1 9 3 1 3 10 1 2 43 Madeline Janzen '25
Chloe Shurr '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 2 4 6 8 4 9 2 3 4 4 46 Aaron Griffith '27
Cherry Phan '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 3 7 4 2 1 6 1 4 2 DSQ 50 Elliott Lipp '26
Suzie Nguyen '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 1 9 7 10 9 2 8 5 5 3 59 Alex Salzberg '25
Michael Wattenbarger '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 11 3 2 3 6 3 6 7 7 DNS 68 Will Chapman '28
Madeline Monteith '29
York High School York High School Falcons 10 11 5 6 8 5 9 2 10 DNS 86 Grayson Kelley '27
Dylan Thomas '28
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 12 5 12 11 10 7 7 6 9 DNS 99 Margaret Poston '28 [1-6]
Vera Hartz '26 [7-10]
Will Poynter '27 [1-2]
David Martin '26 [3-10]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 OCS 8 8 5 5 10 10 11 6 DNF 103 Eliana Mopper '26 [1-3, 6-10]
Jack Poynter '25 [4-5]
Anna Iacobucci '25 [1-3, 6-10]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 4 2 15 4 11 8 12 13 DNS DNS 109 Brooke Mertz '26
Carlos Ruiz Ibanez '27
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 8 10 9 7 12 DNF 11 8 8 DNF 133 MRP Lillian Rippel '25
Annika Fox '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 14 17 13 13 13 12 13 9 11 DNF 135 Anna Lenox '28
Finian Bohan '27
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 13 16 11 14 15 11 5 DNF DNS DNS 145 Caleb Kyle '25
Chase Young '28
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA 15 12 10 12 7 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 156 Angelo Bellecci '25
Piper Cartwright '27
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 17 18 16 15 14 13 DNF 12 12 DNF 157 Brett Clemmey '27 [1-5]
Jackson Raymond '27 [6-10]
Wyatt Raymond '30 [1-2, 6-10]
Jackson Raymond '27 [3-5]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 6 19 18 DNF 18 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 181 Malia Deane '25
Graham Friesner '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 9 13 14 17 16 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 189 MRP Elias Bowes '27 [1-10]
Genevieve Collett '25 [1-3]
Ryan Mouak '28 [4-5]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 16 15 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 191 Kaia Deane '28
Olivia Wolff '27
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 18 14 17 16 17 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 202 MRP Caspian Collett '25 [1-10]
Aline Hughes '30 [1-5]
Ryan Mouak '28 [6-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 11111222233
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 22222333344
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 33333444455
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 44444555566
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 55555666677
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 618181818111122
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 16666777788
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 27777888899
Heritage High School - VAHeritage High School - VA Heritage - VA19191919191919191919
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors888899991010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 19999101010101111
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 210101010111111111212
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 111111111121212121313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 212121212131313131414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 113131313141414141515
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 214141414151515151616
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders15151515161616161717
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons16161616171717171818
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons171717171818181811

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 11111222233
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 22222333344
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 33333444455
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 44444555566
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 55555666677
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 619191919191919191919
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 16666777788
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 27777888899
Heritage High School - VAHeritage High School - VA Heritage - VA18181818111122
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors888899991010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 19999101010101111
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 210101010111111111212
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 111111111121212121313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 212121212131313131414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 113131313141414141515
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 214141414151515151616
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders15151515161616161717
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons16161616171717171818
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons171717171818181811
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Bo Angus '25 Bennett Moss '26
Seahorses 1 Madeline Janzen '25 Chloe Shurr '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Wylder Smith '27 Wyatt Lipp '28
Seahorses 2 Elliott Lipp '26 Suzie Nguyen '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Sam De Los Reyes '26 Adelaide Matzky '25
Seahorses 3 Aaron Griffith '27 Cherry Phan '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Gp Keating '27 Olivia Wolff '27
Seahorses 4 Malia Deane '25 Graham Friesner '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Duncan Hardy '27 Millicent Branflick '26
Seahorses 5 Brooke Mertz '26 Carlos Ruiz Ibanez '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Pierson Teer '27 Ayden Claussen '28
Seahorses 6 Kaia Deane '28 Olivia Wolff '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Parker Moore '25 [1-10] Daphne Ambrosino '27 [1-4]
Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [5-10]
Navigators 1 Leila Pfrang '25 [1-10] Josie Brindley '26 [1-3]
Patrick Bielewicz '28 [4-10]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Charlie Moore '27 [1-4]
Sarah Moore '29 [5-10]
Sarah Moore '29 [1-4]
Jackson Mcgrady '26 [5-10]
Navigators 2 Will Chapman '28 Madeline Monteith '29
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA No Show No Show
Heritage - VA Angelo Bellecci '25 Piper Cartwright '27
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Kieran Mason '26 Tyler Slemp '25
Warriors Caleb Kyle '25 Chase Young '28
Maury High School Maury High School Tucker Mcgrady '26 Lenox Wakefield '27
Commodores 1 Lillian Rippel '25 Annika Fox '27
Maury High School Maury High School Emily Priest '25 [1-10] Rylie Bowen '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Genevieve Collett '25 [7-8]
Commodores 2 Elias Bowes '27 [1-10] Genevieve Collett '25 [1-3]
Ryan Mouak '28 [4-5]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy James Allgeier '27 [1-10] Sabrina Casagrande '25 [1-4]
Owen Peluso '26 [5-10]
Bulldogs 1 Eliana Mopper '26 [1-3, 6-10]
Jack Poynter '25 [4-5]
Anna Iacobucci '25 [1-3, 6-10]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Mady Mcgee '27 [1-4]
Grant Fernandez '27 [5-10]
Amanda Wong '25 [1-4]
Addie Lesley '26 [5-10]
Bulldogs 2 Margaret Poston '28 [1-6]
Vera Hartz '26 [7-10]
Will Poynter '27 [1-2]
David Martin '26 [3-10]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Maddie Murphy '25 Emma Horton '25
Oaks 1 Alex Salzberg '25 Michael Wattenbarger '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Chase Duhon-Kovach '29 Tucker Peltier '26
Oaks 2 Anna Lenox '28 Finian Bohan '27
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Hunter Walton '25 [1-10] Luke Harrell '27 [1-4]
Aiden Westcott '25 [5-10]
Islanders Brett Clemmey '27 [1-5]
Jackson Raymond '27 [6-10]
Wyatt Raymond '30 [1-2, 6-10]
Jackson Raymond '27 [3-5]
The Hague School The Hague School Nathan Libby '26 Aniyah Lang '28
Tritons Caspian Collett '25 [1-10] Aline Hughes '30 [1-5]
Ryan Mouak '28 [6-10]
York High School York High School Liam Burke '27 Tyler Compton '28
Falcons Grayson Kelley '27 Dylan Thomas '28

Conditions — 03/22/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 35%  ·  Pressure 1009.8 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.6 kn
avg  ·  max 15.3 kn
Gusts to 33.4 kn
From WSW (244°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity35% Pressure1009.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christchurch School: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.20 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Christchurch School).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →