Christchurch School
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 3–7 (30%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 1 | 3–7 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (10 matches) the record is 3–7 against 1.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.8). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-05 | VISA Thursday Team Race Series | skipper | 2.06 | 4.14 | 3–7 | 1.2 | +2.08 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA Christchurch 2v2 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 4 | 75% | — |
| VISA Norfolk Academy JV Fleet Regatta | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA York County JV Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| VISA Christchurch Race Day | Skipper | A | 24 | 6.8 | -0.06 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA Granby Hague Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | A, B | — | — | — |
| VISA Fleet Race Championship | Skipper | A, B | — | — | — |
| VISA Christchurch Regatta 2 | Skipper | A, B | — | — | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA Maury/Granby JV/Team 2 Fleet Regatta | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA York Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | B | — | — | — |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA Thursday Team Race Series | Skipper | TR | 10 | 30% | — |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA MHS JV Fleet Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.2 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
