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Fall Dinghy PCC's 3 Div

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 49 28 17 94
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 100 62 70 232
3 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 131 89 50 270
4 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 129 92 51 272
5 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 94 124 56 274
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 123 79 170 372
7 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 116 95 165 376
8 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 80 203 125 408
9 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 68 56 308 432
10 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 165 196 107 468
11 Stanford University Stanford University Red 149 112 308 569
12 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 119 177 308 604
13 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 62 265 308 635
14 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 196 181 308 685
15 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 251 129 308 688
16 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 210 234 250 694
17 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 270 245 190 705
18 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 234 172 308 714
19 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 254 252 228 734
20 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 248 232 308 788
21 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 232 251 308 791
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 7 1 3 5 5 3 1 6 3 1 2 5 6 49 Oliver Toole '14
Haley Kirk '15
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 4 5 2 5 2 7 1 7 3 1 3 11 10 1 62 Gregory Dair '15 [1-14]
Bianca Barnes '15 [1-2, 9-14]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [3-8]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 6 1 15 4 6 1 4 2 9 6 2 7 1 4 68 Shane Young '14 [1-14]
Kristen Barca '13 [1-6]
Alex Newton '16 [7-14]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 7 3 5 6 1 2 2 4 10 8 6 1 9 16 80 Cameron Hutcheson '14
Hollis Barth '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 2 3 1 10 14 9 DNF 1 2 10 14 2 2 94 Ian Stokes '16 [1-14]
Ginger Luckey '16 [1-2, 9-14]
Grant Rickon '16 [3-8]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 9 6 6 2 3 4 5 3 8 12 7 10 14 11 100 Adam Pokras '14
Lindsay Stewart '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 10 11 7 11 12 13 14 9 2 7 4 4 7 5 116 Travis Benton '14
Sarah Adams '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 9 10 20 4 12 6 11 4 5 11 9 8 7 119 Philip Gordon '12
Jamie Wai '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 12 8 4 8 13 3 7 12 7 9 9 8 13 10 123 Casey Pruitt '13
Sarah Hanavan '13
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 11 4 8 10 9 11 11 8 19 13 8 5 3 9 129 Eric Alamillo '13 [1-14]
Jonathan Schafgans '13 [1-8]
Danielle Sams '16 [9-14]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 5 14 11 12 8 8 10 5 5 11 15 6 6 15 131 Matthew Van Rensselaer '13
Eileen Welch '15
Stanford University Stanford University Red 13 12 19 14 14 10 15 10 13 4 5 3 4 13 149 Yuki Yoshiyasu '16
Katie Riklin '13
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 8 18 9 7 7 9 8 6 14 16 13 16 17 17 165 Brian Hoover '12
Kate Andersen '15
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 14 10 14 16 11 6 12 14 11 18 21 DNF 15 12 196 Ryan Anderson '15
Noah Aldonas '13
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 15 16 DNF 9 DNF DNF 16 DNF 12 14 14 12 11 3 210 Emelia Pelliccio '13
Erica Parker '14
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos DNF 21 12 15 DNF DNF DNF DNF 15 10 16 13 12 8 232 Francesca Cappellini '16
Monica De Lazzari '15
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 17 15 13 13 15 16 13 13 21 20 18 20 21 19 234 Spenser Branch '14 [1-8]
Austin Hodges '14 [9-14]
Chad Hardgrove '15 [1-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 18 13 DNF 17 DNF DNF DNF DNF 16 17 12 15 16 14 248 Shaun Prestridge '13
Kathryn Cornella '16
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 19 20 17 19 17 17 18 16 17 19 17 19 18 18 251 Nicholas Chong '13
Rachel Mcmahon '15
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 20 17 18 18 16 15 17 15 20 21 19 18 19 21 254 Lucas Murray '15
Genevieve Puccinelli '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 16 19 16 21 DNF DNF DNF DNF 18 15 20 17 20 20 270 Mark Hurdle '13
Natalie Cardoso '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 3 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 3 6 28 Kevin Laube '14
Carolyn Ortel '14
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 5 1 10 3 3 2 3 3 6 4 2 8 4 2 56 Mark Ryan '15 [1-14]
Foya Lazare '14 [1-8]
Camille Hambly '15 [9-14]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 2 3 1 4 6 5 7 7 8 7 5 2 3 62 Madeline Kennedy '14
Hanne Nagatani '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 8 2 6 6 5 16 8 1 2 5 3 5 5 79 Peter Mcgrath '13
Carly Temple-Wareham '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 4 10 4 7 8 8 18 6 5 9 1 4 1 4 89 Scott Doyle '14
Ryan Orphan '16
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 6 9 4 7 4 8 2 3 3 6 10 16 8 92 John Olson '14 [1-8]
Nicolas Delfino '16 [9-14]
Danielle Sams '16 [1-8]
Jonathan Schafgans '13 [9-14]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 3 4 7 DNF 2 3 4 4 8 6 4 2 12 14 95 Georgie Ryan '16
Sera Alptekin '16
Stanford University Stanford University Red 21 5 8 9 10 10 1 5 9 5 11 6 11 1 112 Noelle Herring '16
Michelle Catania '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 11 9 12 8 5 7 14 12 4 7 9 7 8 11 124 Cobi Allen '16
Kimberly Sultz '13
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 10 7 5 10 9 9 7 9 10 14 8 12 10 9 129 Benjamin Kennady '13
Megan Chan Chow '13
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 8 12 6 5 14 15 10 16 13 16 10 21 19 7 172 Steven Cassingham '14 [1-14]
Austin Hodges '14 [1-8]
Marina Dallongeville '13 [9-14]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 12 13 14 13 11 12 12 10 15 13 18 17 7 10 177 Ryan Fritsen '14
Janey Lyon '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 16 14 11 11 DNF 11 6 11 14 12 12 11 13 17 181 Alex Lubben '13
Zachary Bannon '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 19 11 17 12 16 14 9 15 12 11 14 13 20 13 196 William Larsen '13 [1-4]
Samuel Heller '15 [5-14]
Daniel Diaz '15 [1-4]
Kathryn Benight '15 [5-14]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 15 15 13 16 13 13 11 14 16 19 13 14 15 16 203 John Coakley '16
Olivia Gebelein '15
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 9 19 19 15 12 16 DNF DNF 17 15 17 16 18 15 232 Grant Petersen '15
Evan Lanuza '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 13 16 16 17 17 DNF DNF DNF 18 17 15 18 9 12 234 Gabriel Monti '15
Carly Olenick '13
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 17 DNF DNF DNF 15 18 13 17 19 20 20 15 6 19 245 David Macko '14 [1-8]
Janet Rumsey '13 [9-14]
Lauren Orloff '16 [1-8]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 20 DNF 18 14 DNF DNF DNF DNF 11 18 16 9 14 21 251 Daniel Marks '14
Rachel Flanagan '14
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 14 18 15 18 18 17 15 13 21 21 21 20 21 20 252 Daniel Baldassare '15
Dan Berman '13
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 18 17 DNF DNF DNF DNF 17 DNF 20 10 19 19 17 18 265 Sierra Marangola '15 [1-12]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [13-14]
Alexa Gaddis '15 [1-12]
Claire Avery '16 [13-14]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 17 Kieran Chung '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 4 8 4 2 2 5 4 8 1 1 5 2 2 2 50 Chris Vilicich '16
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 5 2 3 4 2 3 2 4 5 2 6 5 5 51 Matthew Morris '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 4 6 5 5 3 2 4 5 2 3 5 3 4 56 Cameron Walsh '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 3 3 4 3 4 5 3 3 4 6 4 4 RAF 70 Julian Soto '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 9 9 7 6 8 6 8 7 11 8 8 8 6 6 107 Nicholas Weis '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 8 7 8 DNF 7 7 6 6 9 9 9 9 10 8 125 Brandon Yuen '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears DNF DNF DNF 7 6 8 7 5 DNF 6 10 10 11 7 165 Jacob Hiew '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 2 DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 6 7 4 3 7 3 170 Paul Foley '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 7 6 5 DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 8 10 7 7 8 DNF 190 Hanna Miller '15
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies DNF 10 DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 7 12 12 12 12 9 228 Ryan Wilkerson '14
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 10 11 11 11 9 DNF 250 Peter Bailey '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 308 Shane Young '14 [1-14]
Kristen Barca '13 [1-6]
Alex Newton '16 [7-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Red DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 308 Yuki Yoshiyasu '16
Katie Riklin '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 308 Philip Gordon '12
Jamie Wai '12
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 308 Sierra Marangola '15 [1-12]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [13-14]
Bianca Barnes '15 [1-2, 9-14]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [3-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 308 George Powell '13
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 308 Nicholas Chong '13
Rachel Mcmahon '15
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 308 Spenser Branch '14 [1-8]
Austin Hodges '14 [9-14]
Austin Hodges '14 [1-8]
Marina Dallongeville '13 [9-14]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 308 Shaun Prestridge '13
Kathryn Cornella '16
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 308 Francesca Cappellini '16
Monica De Lazzari '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.230+0.23
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devil's11111111111111
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears22222222222222
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers33333333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang1010101010101010101010101010
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins55555555555555
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers44444444444444
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1919191919191919191919191919
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters66666666666666
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats77777777777777
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks88888888888888
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos99999999999999
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans2020202020202020202020202020
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1111111111111111111111111111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Red1212121212121212121212121212
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies1313131313131313131313131313
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies1414141414141414141414141414
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters1515151515151515151515151515
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins1616161616161616161616161616
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons1818181818181818181818181818
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1717171717171717171717171717
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings2121212121212121212121212121

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devil's11111111111111
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears22222222222222
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers33333333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang1010101010101010101010101010
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins55555555555555
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers44444444444444
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1919191919191919191919191919
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters66666666666666
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats77777777777777
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks88888888888888
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos99999999999999
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans2020202020202020202020202020
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1111111111111111111111111111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Red1212121212121212121212121212
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies1313131313131313131313131313
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies1414141414141414141414141414
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters1515151515151515151515151515
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins1616161616161616161616161616
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons1818181818181818181818181818
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1717171717171717171717171717
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings2121212121212121212121212121

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C12C13C14C
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devil's11111111111111
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears22222222222222
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers33333333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang1010101010101010101010101010
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins55555555555555
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers44444444444444
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1919191919191919191919191919
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters66666666666666
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats77777777777777
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks88888888888888
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos99999999999999
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans2020202020202020202020202020
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1111111111111111111111111111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Red1212121212121212121212121212
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies1313131313131313131313131313
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies1414141414141414141414141414
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters1515151515151515151515151515
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins1616161616161616161616161616
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons1818181818181818181818181818
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1717171717171717171717171717
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings2121212121212121212121212121
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Spenser Branch '14 [1-8]
Austin Hodges '14 [9-14]		 Chad Hardgrove '15 [1-8]
Sun Devil's Steven Cassingham '14 [1-14] Austin Hodges '14 [1-8]
Marina Dallongeville '13 [9-14]
Spenser Branch '14 [1-8]
Austin Hodges '14 [9-14]		 Austin Hodges '14 [1-8]
Marina Dallongeville '13 [9-14]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Shaun Prestridge '13 Kathryn Cornella '16
Mustang Grant Petersen '15 Evan Lanuza '15
Shaun Prestridge '13 Kathryn Cornella '16
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Matthew Van Rensselaer '13 Eileen Welch '15
Keelhaulers Scott Doyle '14 Ryan Orphan '16
Chris Vilicich '16
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Gregory Dair '15 [1-14] Bianca Barnes '15 [1-2, 9-14]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [3-8]
Dolphins Sierra Marangola '15 [1-12]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [13-14]		 Alexa Gaddis '15 [1-12]
Claire Avery '16 [13-14]
Sierra Marangola '15 [1-12]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [13-14]		 Bianca Barnes '15 [1-2, 9-14]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [3-8]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Shane Young '14 [1-14] Kristen Barca '13 [1-6]
Alex Newton '16 [7-14]
49ers Mark Ryan '15 [1-14] Foya Lazare '14 [1-8]
Camille Hambly '15 [9-14]
Shane Young '14 [1-14] Kristen Barca '13 [1-6]
Alex Newton '16 [7-14]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Mark Hurdle '13 Natalie Cardoso '13
Otters David Macko '14 [1-8]
Janet Rumsey '13 [9-14]		 Lauren Orloff '16 [1-8]
Hanna Miller '15
Northwestern University Northwestern University Ryan Anderson '15 Noah Aldonas '13
Wildcats Alex Lubben '13 Zachary Bannon '14
George Powell '13
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Francesca Cappellini '16 Monica De Lazzari '15
Broncos Daniel Marks '14 Rachel Flanagan '14
Francesca Cappellini '16 Monica De Lazzari '15
Stanford University Stanford University Oliver Toole '14 Haley Kirk '15
Cardinal Kevin Laube '14 Carolyn Ortel '14
Kieran Chung '15
Stanford University Stanford University Yuki Yoshiyasu '16 Katie Riklin '13
Red Noelle Herring '16 Michelle Catania '16
Yuki Yoshiyasu '16 Katie Riklin '13
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Nicholas Chong '13 Rachel Mcmahon '15
Aggies Benjamin Kennady '13 Megan Chan Chow '13
Nicholas Chong '13 Rachel Mcmahon '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Travis Benton '14 Sarah Adams '13
Golden Bears Georgie Ryan '16 Sera Alptekin '16
Jacob Hiew '15
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Lucas Murray '15 Genevieve Puccinelli '15
Aggies Daniel Baldassare '15 Dan Berman '13
Ryan Wilkerson '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Hoover '12 Kate Andersen '15
Anteaters William Larsen '13 [1-4]
Samuel Heller '15 [5-14]		 Daniel Diaz '15 [1-4]
Kathryn Benight '15 [5-14]
Nicholas Weis '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Emelia Pelliccio '13 Erica Parker '14
Bruins Gabriel Monti '15 Carly Olenick '13
Peter Bailey '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Eric Alamillo '13 [1-14] Jonathan Schafgans '13 [1-8]
Danielle Sams '16 [9-14]
Tritons John Olson '14 [1-8]
Nicolas Delfino '16 [9-14]		 Danielle Sams '16 [1-8]
Jonathan Schafgans '13 [9-14]
Matthew Morris '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Ian Stokes '16 [1-14] Ginger Luckey '16 [1-2, 9-14]
Grant Rickon '16 [3-8]
Gauchos Cobi Allen '16 Kimberly Sultz '13
Cameron Walsh '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Adam Pokras '14 Lindsay Stewart '13
Rainbows Madeline Kennedy '14 Hanne Nagatani '13
Julian Soto '14
University of Oregon University of Oregon Philip Gordon '12 Jamie Wai '12
Ducks Ryan Fritsen '14 Janey Lyon '16
Philip Gordon '12 Jamie Wai '12
University of Southern California University of Southern California Cameron Hutcheson '14 Hollis Barth '16
Trojans John Coakley '16 Olivia Gebelein '15
Brandon Yuen '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Casey Pruitt '13 Sarah Hanavan '13
Vikings Peter Mcgrath '13 Carly Temple-Wareham '15
Paul Foley '15

Conditions — 11/10/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1018.1 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.1 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 30.9 kn
From NW (319°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover20% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1018.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 17 kn · SW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UC Santa Barbara: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at UC Santa Barbara).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →