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Fall Fury

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gopher Gold 20 16 36
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 14 27 41
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 21 21 42
4 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 65 22 87
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 55 57 112
6 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 53 66 119
7 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gopher Maroon 54 71 125
8 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 89 49 138
9 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 43 114 157
10 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 93 69 162
11 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 72 96 168
12 University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 96 82 178
13 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 81 122 203
14 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 115 90 205
15 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 116 97 213
16 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 114 114 228
17 St. Olaf College St. Olaf College Lions 124 112 236
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 3 1 3 3 1 1 1 14 Paul Perry '15
Mary Guidi '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gopher Gold 3 1 2 5 1 2 3 3 20 Emily Oltrogge '15
Emily Johnson '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 2 5 1 2 3 4 2 21 Charles Bocklet '18
Jennifer Burke '16
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 8 4 4 2 4 7 7 7 43 Joel Florek '15
Jacob Henley '17
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 9 10 8 8 5 5 2 6 53 Charles Diamond '15
Paul Detrempe '18
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gopher Maroon 7 5 3 10 11 4 9 5 54 Isabella Hamilton '17
Michael Capper '15
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 15 55 Jacob Bruce '16
Aislinn Mcmillan '17
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 4 9 12 11 7 8 6 8 65 Christian Koerwer '16
Michael Maas-Hull '17
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 6 8 9 7 8 12 13 9 72 David Gates '16
No Show
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 10 7 7 4 13 16 14 10 81 Evelyn Ritter '15
Hayley Schultz '17
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 12 11 11 13 9 9 8 16 89 Mason Chrabaszcz '18 [1-8]
Alexander Duffy '19 [1-4]
Augustine Coultrip '18 [5-8]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 11 13 15 12 10 11 10 11 93 Isak Peterson '15
Hannah Girard '18
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 13 15 13 15 12 13 11 4 96 Olivia Zwierski-Moran '16 [1-8]
Shannon Yates '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Kimberly Hu '15 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 14 12 17 17 14 10 DNS 12 114 Rebecca Jegier '15 [1-8]
Claire Lupo '15 [1-4, 7-8]
Lissa Stachnik '16 [5-6]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 17 17 10 9 16 17 16 13 115 Mitchell Roesler '17 [1-8]
Kathryn Hiolski '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Magdalena Franze-Soeln '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 15 14 14 16 17 14 12 14 116 Courtney Kronschnabel '15
Lucienne Allen '15
St. Olaf College St. Olaf College Lions 16 16 16 14 15 15 15 17 124 Emily Adamson '16
David Kirkhoff '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gopher Gold 3 2 2 3 2 1 1 2 16 Alison Kent '16
Cailin Oakes '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 4 5 4 1 1 2 3 1 21 Kate Klement '17 [1-6]
Soren Walljasper '17 [7-8]
Katie Hall '16 [1-6]
Virginia Debbink '16 [7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 1 3 3 4 3 3 2 3 22 Mike Flanigan '15 [1-8]
Skyler Hughes '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Colleen King '16 [3-4, 7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 1 1 2 4 5 7 5 27 No Show
Lizette Arnold '17
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 7 8 6 5 6 6 5 6 49 Ryan Clulo '18
Andre Demarinis '17
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 5 7 8 7 DNF 4 4 4 57 Travis Cottle '15 [1-8]
Caroline Spiezio '17 [1-6]
Medina Krevans '16 [7-8]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 6 4 12 9 10 8 8 9 66 Melinda Lee '16 [1-2]
Noor Willemsen '17 [3-8]
Noor Willemsen '17 [1-2]
Paul Detrempe '18 [3-8]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 8 9 9 8 12 7 9 7 69 Hannah Noll '15 [1-8]
Anthony Tieso '17 [1-4]
Cole Meller '17 [5-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gopher Maroon 11 11 10 6 5 12 6 10 71 Eric Villadsen '17
Ethan Holdahl '16
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 9 6 13 14 9 9 14 8 82 Brenden Jacobs '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Taylor Valentor '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Brian Waddell '16 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 14 13 7 10 11 10 13 12 90 Eric Hansen '17
Kyle Williams '15
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 16 17 5 12 7 13 10 16 96 Cortney Kingsley '18
Emma Trueblood '17
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 10 15 15 11 8 16 11 11 97 Kathleen O'Shea '18 [1-8]
Abigail Zeman '18 [1-4]
Blaire Schrick '16 [5-8]
St. Olaf College St. Olaf College Lions 17 16 14 15 14 11 12 13 112 Erin Peters '16
Grace White '17
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 12 10 11 16 15 17 16 17 114 Adrienne Huschke '16
Patricia Morrow '17
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 15 12 16 13 13 15 15 15 114 Maggie Kloote '15
Ian Boettner '17
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 13 14 17 17 16 14 17 14 122 Katie Brudos '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Jared Miller '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Jacob Pledger '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Buck '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen11335577
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini88101012121414
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames141416161133
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes1010121214141616
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 122446688
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 233557799
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One4466881010
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gopher Gold1111131315151717
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gopher Maroon668810101212
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats5577991111
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1616113355
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 113131515171722
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 299111113131515
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1717224466
St. Olaf CollegeSt. Olaf College Lions779911111313
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers151517172244
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers12121414161611

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen22446688
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini99111113131515
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames151517172244
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes1111131315151717
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 133557799
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 24466881010
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One5577991111
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gopher Gold12121414161611
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gopher Maroon779911111313
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats668810101212
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1717224466
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1141416161133
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 21010121214141616
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls11335577
St. Olaf CollegeSt. Olaf College Lions88101012121414
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers1616113355
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers13131515171722
School / Team SkipperCrew
Hope College Hope College Evelyn Ritter '15 Hayley Schultz '17
Flying Dutchmen Katie Brudos '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Jared Miller '17 [3-4, 7-8]		 Jacob Pledger '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Buck '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Mason Chrabaszcz '18 [1-8] Alexander Duffy '19 [1-4]
Augustine Coultrip '18 [5-8]
Golden Eagles 1 Ryan Clulo '18 Andre Demarinis '17
Marquette University Marquette University Courtney Kronschnabel '15 Lucienne Allen '15
Golden Eagles 2 Kathleen O'Shea '18 [1-8] Abigail Zeman '18 [1-4]
Blaire Schrick '16 [5-8]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Joel Florek '15 Jacob Henley '17
Husky One Maggie Kloote '15 Ian Boettner '17
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University David Gates '16 No Show
Wildcats Cortney Kingsley '18 Emma Trueblood '17
Northwestern University Northwestern University Jacob Bruce '16 Aislinn Mcmillan '17
Wildcats Travis Cottle '15 [1-8] Caroline Spiezio '17 [1-6]
Medina Krevans '16 [7-8]
St. Olaf College St. Olaf College Emily Adamson '16 David Kirkhoff '15
Lions Erin Peters '16 Grace White '17
University of Illinois University of Illinois Charles Diamond '15 Paul Detrempe '18
Illini Melinda Lee '16 [1-2]
Noor Willemsen '17 [3-8]		 Noor Willemsen '17 [1-2]
Paul Detrempe '18 [3-8]
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Olivia Zwierski-Moran '16 [1-8] Shannon Yates '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Kimberly Hu '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Flames Brenden Jacobs '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Taylor Valentor '16 [3-4, 7-8]		 Brian Waddell '16 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Mitchell Roesler '17 [1-8] Kathryn Hiolski '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Magdalena Franze-Soeln '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Hawkeyes Eric Hansen '17 Kyle Williams '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Emily Oltrogge '15 Emily Johnson '16
Gopher Gold Alison Kent '16 Cailin Oakes '18
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Isabella Hamilton '17 Michael Capper '15
Gopher Maroon Eric Villadsen '17 Ethan Holdahl '16
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Christian Koerwer '16 Michael Maas-Hull '17
Fighting Irish 1 Mike Flanigan '15 [1-8] Skyler Hughes '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Colleen King '16 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Rebecca Jegier '15 [1-8] Claire Lupo '15 [1-4, 7-8]
Lissa Stachnik '16 [5-6]
Fighting Irish 2 Adrienne Huschke '16 Patricia Morrow '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Paul Perry '15 Mary Guidi '15
Bulls No Show Lizette Arnold '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Charles Bocklet '18 Jennifer Burke '16
Badgers Kate Klement '17 [1-6]
Soren Walljasper '17 [7-8]		 Katie Hall '16 [1-6]
Virginia Debbink '16 [7-8]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Isak Peterson '15 Hannah Girard '18
Panthers Hannah Noll '15 [1-8] Anthony Tieso '17 [1-4]
Cole Meller '17 [5-8]

Conditions — 09/13/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1028.2 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From NNW (331°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1028.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn · S 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.47 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →