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Harvard Invitational 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 16 18 34
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 27 20 47
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 31 16 47
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 28 24 52
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 30 26 56
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 35 31 66
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 42 37 79
8 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 36 50 86
9 Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 49 57 106
10 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 49 65 114
11 University of Southern Maine University of Southern Maine U Southern Maine 65 61 126
12 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 65 72 137
13 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 75 71 146
14 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 90 90 180
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 5 2 2 2 2 16 James Beatty '17
Caroline Ambros '17
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 1 1 3 13 5 27 Hannah Lynn '17
Fiona Walsh '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 6 3 4 1 4 28 Joseph Benoit '16
Nicole Lukas '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 3 4 8 12 1 30 Kyle Joba-Woodruff '17
Pavlina Karafillis '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 4 6 1 11 3 31 Chester Jacobs '17
Nora Cullen '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 7 8 7 5 7 35 Luke Orchardo '16
Alexandra Zhmakina '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 2 7 6 4 9 36 Adam Brodheim '16
Cara Kennedy Cuomo '17
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 9 5 9 3 11 42 Alexandra Swanson '16
Elizabeth Sturr '15
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 7 8 10 12 6 6 49 John Zupkud '16
Kiley Burke '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 9 11 9 5 7 8 49 Francis Guiton '16
Tatiana Golden '17
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 11 10 12 10 10 12 65 Jennifer Lee '17
Kyle Hall '16
University of Southern Maine University of Southern Maine U Southern Maine 12 12 11 11 9 10 65 No Show
No Show
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 13 13 13 DNS 8 13 75 Lauren Javaly '15
Caroline King '18
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 2 4 5 3 1 16 Louis Frumer '18
Emily Kushner Salitan '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 5 5 1 2 2 18 Sam Gates '17
Pilar Bancalari '18
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 1 2 6 1 5 20 Drake Lyon '18
Megan Bamford '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 4 6 4 4 4 24 Zachary Vickerson '16
Danielle Stonely '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 7 7 1 2 6 3 26 Zachary Hall '18
Yu-Na Lee '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 3 3 8 5 8 31 Stephen Fletcher '17
Tara Kane '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 6 7 3 9 6 37 Emma Davis '17
Eric Xiao '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 8 10 10 7 7 50 Daniel Leichus '16
Kirstin Anderson '18
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 10 9 9 9 10 10 57 Josh Mandelbaum '17
Samuel Shucher '16
University of Southern Maine University of Southern Maine U Southern Maine 13 10 8 11 8 11 61 No Show
No Show
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 9 DNS 13 7 12 9 65 Alexandre Pagã© '16
Marshall Case '18
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 11 12 12 12 11 13 71 Henry Bushnell '17
Kevin Winnie '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 11 11 13 13 12 72 Martin Hooker '18
Lauren Kovacs '15
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons112233
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22111414
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers334455
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears443322
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears556677
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies121211111010
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway665544
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson778899
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds9910101111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers887766
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10109988
University of Southern MaineUniversity of Southern Maine U Southern Maine1313141411
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111112121313
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals141413131212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons112233
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22111414
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers334455
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears443322
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears556677
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies121211111010
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway665544
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson778899
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds9910101111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers887766
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10109988
University of Southern MaineUniversity of Southern Maine U Southern Maine1313141411
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111112121313
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals141413131212

Conditions — 10/05/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1007.6 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From W (266°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1007.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Harvard: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →