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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 39 24 63
2 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 34 33 67
3 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 35 39 74
4 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 26 66 92
5 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 55 57 112
6 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 88 44 132
7 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 66 83 149
8 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 101 62 163
9 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 107 64 171
10 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 95 85 180
11 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 83 115 198
12 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 90 115 205
13 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 105 141 246
14 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 128 129 257
15 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 150 144 294
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 2 1 3 1 1 4 4 3 1 6 26 Griffin Orr '15 [1-10]
Jessica Abriss '18 [1-6]
Cem Ayanoglu '15 [7-10]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 6 2 2 2 6 5 5 2 3 34 Charles Lomax '18 [1-10]
Clara Ashton '18 [1-8]
Matthew Staats '18 [9-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 3 3 6 3 6 1 1 2 5 5 35 Christopher Craven '16 [1-10]
Colleen Roney '18 [1-5]
Julia Gowell '18 [6-10]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 10 7 1 4 3 3 3 4 3 1 39 Daniel Lochner '15 [1-8]
Joseph David '16 [9-10]
Carter Little '18 [1-8]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 6 2 10 9 5 8 6 1 6 2 55 Austin Powers '17
Nina Heatfield '17
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 5 5 11 6 8 2 7 6 7 9 66 Nicholas Price '17
Rose Peterson '16
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 7 11 13 11 4 7 2 7 10 11 83 Robert Whitaker '18
Andrew Grasso '15
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 12 8 5 14 11 5 13 12 4 4 88 Casey Brown '16 [1-10]
Erin Hub '16 [1-6]
Zachary Backas '16 [7-10]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 4 14 8 12 9 9 10 8 8 8 90 Nicholas Pardini '16
Hannah Harrison '18
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 9 9 7 5 12 11 9 9 12 12 95 Mary Margaret Meehan '15 [1-10]
Catherine Duggan '15 [1-6]
Anna Quincy '15 [7-10]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 14 4 4 8 13 13 11 10 11 13 101 Zachary Thomas '18
Conor Waller '16
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 8 10 14 13 7 12 8 13 13 7 105 John Shanahan '16
Mackenzie Nelson '15
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 13 13 9 10 10 10 12 11 9 10 107 Matthew Sherar '17
Katie Combaluzier '16
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 11 12 12 7 15 14 14 14 14 15 128 Ian Berke '16
Martha Diezemann '18
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks DNS 15 15 15 14 15 DNS 15 15 14 150 Aidan Racaniello '17
Nicholas Fletcher '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 5 1 4 1 3 2 3 2 1 24 Andrew Baird '18
Travis Carlisle '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 4 6 6 4 1 4 1 4 2 33 Max Neubelt '17 [1-6]
Andrew Bates '15 [7-10]
Gabrielle Neubelt '17 [1-6]
Cara Halm '16 [7-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 3 6 7 2 5 5 5 2 1 3 39 Samuel Patterson '16
Eliza Schuett '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 4 3 3 1 2 7 9 6 3 6 44 Taylor Reiss '18
Christopher Johnson '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 6 7 2 3 6 6 7 5 10 5 57 Xander Van Beurden '18 [1-10]
Kaitlin Welker '17 [1-8]
Julia Davis '16 [9-10]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 8 2 8 9 3 2 8 7 8 7 62 Andrew Bobbitt '18
Liam Shaughnessy '18
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 5 11 4 8 10 8 1 4 5 8 64 Brendan Aulthouse '17
Sean Magee-Saxton '16
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 10 9 5 5 8 4 3 9 9 4 66 Rory Mess '16 [1-10]
Emily Hann '17 [1-8]
Alexander Kaiser '18 [9-10]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 7 1 10 7 11 10 11 11 6 9 83 Mckay Hanna '17
Ashley Black '17
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 9 8 9 10 7 9 6 10 7 10 85 Paolo Bertolotti '16
Michael Fagundo '18
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 11 13 12 11 9 11 12 12 12 12 115 Lucy Hayes '16
Bennett Alvaro '16
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 13 12 13 12 12 13 10 8 11 11 115 Elliot Greenwald '16
Allie Jones '18
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 12 10 11 13 13 14 13 14 13 DNF 129 Calyn O'Connell '17
Tyler Roberts '18
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 14 15 14 14 14 15 14 13 14 14 141 Jessie Miller '17
Margot Harvath '18
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 15 14 15 15 15 12 15 15 15 13 144 Chris Oczeretko '15
Eric Cherin '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls101088664422
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1133557799
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions221616141412121010
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens1111131315151133
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners9911111313151511
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps12121010886644
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs335577991111
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions4422161614141212
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers55779911111313
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels66442216161414
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks7799111113131515
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange886644221616
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos13131515113355
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1414121210108866
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers151511335577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls9977553311
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains224466881010
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions1115151313111199
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens1212141416162244
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners101012121414161622
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps111199775533
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs44668810101212
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions3311151513131111
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers6688101012121414
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels55331115151313
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks881010121214141616
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange775533111515
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos14141616224466
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies13131111997755
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers161622446688
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Austin Powers '17 Nina Heatfield '17
Captains Xander Van Beurden '18 [1-10] Kaitlin Welker '17 [1-8]
Julia Davis '16 [9-10]
Columbia University Columbia University Mary Margaret Meehan '15 [1-10] Catherine Duggan '15 [1-6]
Anna Quincy '15 [7-10]
Lions Paolo Bertolotti '16 Michael Fagundo '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Daniel Lochner '15 [1-8]
Joseph David '16 [9-10]		 Carter Little '18 [1-8]
Monarchs Andrew Baird '18 Travis Carlisle '17
Penn State University Penn State University John Shanahan '16 Mackenzie Nelson '15
Nittany Lions Jessie Miller '17 Margot Harvath '18
Princeton University Princeton University Robert Whitaker '18 Andrew Grasso '15
Tigers Lucy Hayes '16 Bennett Alvaro '16
Queen's University Queen's University Matthew Sherar '17 Katie Combaluzier '16
Gaels Brendan Aulthouse '17 Sean Magee-Saxton '16
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Aidan Racaniello '17 Nicholas Fletcher '16
Ducks Chris Oczeretko '15 Eric Cherin '15
Syracuse University Syracuse University Nicholas Pardini '16 Hannah Harrison '18
Orange Elliot Greenwald '16 Allie Jones '18
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Charles Lomax '18 [1-10] Clara Ashton '18 [1-8]
Matthew Staats '18 [9-10]
Mariners Max Neubelt '17 [1-6]
Andrew Bates '15 [7-10]		 Gabrielle Neubelt '17 [1-6]
Cara Halm '16 [7-10]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Griffin Orr '15 [1-10] Jessica Abriss '18 [1-6]
Cem Ayanoglu '15 [7-10]
Bulls Rory Mess '16 [1-10] Emily Hann '17 [1-8]
Alexander Kaiser '18 [9-10]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Ian Berke '16 Martha Diezemann '18
Blue Hens Calyn O'Connell '17 Tyler Roberts '18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Zachary Thomas '18 Conor Waller '16
Terps Andrew Bobbitt '18 Liam Shaughnessy '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Craven '16 [1-10] Colleen Roney '18 [1-5]
Julia Gowell '18 [6-10]
Wahoos Samuel Patterson '16 Eliza Schuett '17
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Nicholas Price '17 Rose Peterson '16
Hokies Mckay Hanna '17 Ashley Black '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Casey Brown '16 [1-10] Erin Hub '16 [1-6]
Zachary Backas '16 [7-10]
Clippers Taylor Reiss '18 Christopher Johnson '18

Conditions — 10/18/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1002.0 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From W (259°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover34% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1002.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · N 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.22 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →