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Great Herring Pond Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 43 50 93
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 50 72 122
3 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 64 59 123
4 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 73 50 123
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 101 41 142
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 59 93 152
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 67 92 159
8 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 100 59 159
9 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 111 68 179
10 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 58 129 187
11 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 86 119 205
12 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 130 95 225
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 7 3 1 6 1 1 8 2 5 2 2 43 Brendan Read '19
Sarah Morin '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 6 6 8 DNS 3 3 2 5 1 1 1 50 Taylor Nathanson '18
Taylor Fasolo '18
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 2 5 5 2 6 11 7 3 6 4 4 58 John Cappetta '16
Camille Cushman '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 9 4 2 9 4 2 4 6 3 6 8 59 Kurran Singh '19
John Hughes '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 11 11 7 1 2 9 5 1 2 8 3 64 Jan Kite-Powell '19
Emma Janson '19
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 6 3 8 3 10 7 5 3 10 4 3 5 67 Ben Brown '18
Alden Cowap '17
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 10 7 9 3 5 4 1 9 7 5 6 73 Jennifer Lee '17
George Williams '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 8 2 6 5 8 10 9 4 10 7 9 86 James Amaral '19
Trevor Lounsbury '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 9 1 1 4 4 10 6 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 100 Sam Shannon '19
Jennifer Killian '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 5 12 10 8 11 8 6 7 8 9 7 101 Samuel Campbell '17
Hannah Callahan '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 4 10 11 7 9 7 11 8 11 11 11 111 George Luber '17 [1-12]
Mckenna Jarvis '19 [1-6]
Catherine Haines '19 [7-12]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 12 12 9 12 11 12 12 10 11 9 10 10 130 Kyle Thomas '18 [1-2, 7-12]
Nathaniel Douglass '18 [3-6]
Dillan Morey '19 [1-2, 11-12]
Alison Mitchell '16 [3-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 5 4 4 4 2 5 3 2 5 2 2 41 Lydia Grasberger '18 [1-12]
Alex Moreno '19 [1-6]
Meredith Harrington '18 [7-12]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 1 5 1 8 3 7 9 1 4 5 5 50 Sarah Fuller '16
Julia Fuller '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 3 3 7 1 8 6 1 3 RDG 1 6 50 Peter Girard '18
Jack Hurley '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 2 8 5 2 7 3 7 7 3 4 9 59 Sean Beaulieu '18
Emily Conaton '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 8 1 2 3 9 2 4 8 7 3 7 59 Lindsay Doyle '18 [1-12]
Victoria Pyne Mercier '19 [1-6]
Tijani Marou '18 [7-12]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 6 11 2 3 7 1 9 DNF 5 1 6 4 68 Christopher Dawson '18
Sergio Gratta '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 4 7 6 5 6 1 8 11 10 7 3 72 Julien Guiot '18
Ryan Epprecht '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 8 9 11 9 6 11 10 2 9 8 8 1 92 Peter Kerby-Miller '17
Rebecca Freeman '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 7 6 11 9 12 4 5 4 6 11 8 93 Peter Christensen '18
Anne Wieland '19
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 9 6 9 8 11 10 8 6 6 2 9 11 95 Graham Roeber '19
Annika Zayac '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats RDG 10 10 10 12 4 11 11 10 9 12 10 119 Judas Taylor '18
Jamison Cwiak '19
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 12 12 12 10 5 12 10 12 11 10 12 129 Amy Macdonald '18
Mary Ferguson '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11335577991111
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2244668810101212
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies99111111335577
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners33557799111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers4466881010121222
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers55779911111133
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1010121222446688
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies6688101012122244
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams11111133557799
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks77991111113355
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos8810101212224466
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1212224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244668810101212
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33557799111111
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1010121222446688
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners4466881010121222
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers55779911111133
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers6688101012122244
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats11111133557799
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies77991111113355
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1212224466881010
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8810101212224466
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos99111111335577
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts11335577991111

Conditions — 10/17/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1015.4 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 11.9 kn
Gusts to 21.6 kn
From WNW (286°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1015.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn · N 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →