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St. Francis Interconference

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 42 35 77
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 57 26 83
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 76 48 124
4 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 65 86 151
5 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1 78 80 158
6 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 78 100 178
7 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 79 106 185
8 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 99 101 200
9 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 108 113 221
10 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 132 97 229
11 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 139 107 246
12 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 138 126 264
13 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 107 157 264
14 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 126 148 274
15 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 130 150 MRP 280 MRP
16 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 186 125 311
17 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 143 169 312
18 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 138 188 326
19 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2 169 160 329
20 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 175 157 332
21 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 168 171 339
22 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 288 103 391
23 University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 205 202 407
24 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 101 MRP 308 MRP 409 MRP
25 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 226 192 418
26 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 211 216 427
27 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 177 252 429
28 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 236 216 452
29 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 243 258 501
30 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 276 MRP 260 MRP 536 MRP
31 Panthers Panthers Panthers 288 288 576
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 10 4 1 8 3 9 4 2 1 42 Adam Pokras '14
Cienna Patmont '12
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 8 7 3 2 10 3 1 8 15 57 Nicholas Kaschak '12
Katherine Sander '13
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 11 3 9 11 12 5 5 1 8 65 Brian Hoover '12
Christopher Huang '12
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 14 12 17 3 11 2 7 7 3 76 Bradley Milliken '14 [1-9]
Amanda Hamlet '12 [1-2, 5-9]
Michael Caballero '14 [3-4]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1 1 11 4 5 2 24 12 9 10 78 Cody Shevitz '12 [1-9]
Danielle Farrar '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Grady Pierroz '14 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 4 9 7 7 7 12 14 11 7 78 Cameron Hutcheson '14
Margaret Bobbin '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 8 10 4 1 1 25 16 12 79 Karl Haelsig '14
Sarah Redmond '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 19 14 8 15 6 23 3 5 6 99 Devon Rohde '15
Justine Morrison '13
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 9 1 2 9 22 21 9 4 4 101 MRP Gregory Dair '15 [1-9]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [1, 3-9]
Bianca Barnes '15 [2]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 15 6 5 17 9 14 11 13 17 107 John Connor Bathen '14
Lindsay Grove '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 7 2 RAF 6 8 15 10 12 16 108 Molly Mckinney '14
Rebecca King '13
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 22 19 11 19 4 26 2 14 9 126 Lily Grimshaw '15
Molly Utter '14
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 6 17 6 1 14 17 RAF 17 20 130 Matthew Van Rensselaer '13
Nevin Garcia '12
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 27 18 DNF DNF 5 4 6 6 2 132 Mark Ryan '15 [1-3]
Dustin Durant '12 [4-9]
Foya Lazare '14 [1-3]
Mark Ryan '15 [4-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 3 5 14 10 18 19 23 21 25 138 Tommy Pastalka '13
Alex Verdoia '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 21 25 12 14 20 25 13 3 5 138 Zachary Haney '11
David Macko '14
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 12 10 13 DNF 17 6 8 22 19 139 Kelsey Rupp '12
Alexis Tarakjian '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 13 16 15 12 15 11 DSQ 18 11 143 Erika Vranizan '12
Ashley Krzeszowski '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 23 13 DNF 13 13 20 17 19 18 168 Madeline Kennedy '14
Lani Johnson '12
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2 18 15 19 DNF 25 7 19 20 14 169 Lauren Amery '12
Lorraine Chu '14
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 22 DNF 18 27 10 16 23 22 175 Peter Bailey '15 [1-9]
Louise Lehman '14 [1-2, 5-9]
Nora Brackbill '13 [3-4]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 17 21 16 16 28 8 18 29 24 177 Erik Lund '14
Evan Lanuza '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons OCS 20 DNF DNF 16 16 15 10 13 186 John Olson '14 [1-9]
Jennifer Lyons '12 [1-2, 5-9]
Rachael Yao '14 [3-4]
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 26 23 18 DNF 19 28 21 15 23 205 Michael Reams '13 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Christian Caldwell '13 [3-4, 7-8]
Michael Johnson '15 [1-2]
Maxwell Greene '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Emily Sayrs '13 [5-6, 9]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 20 26 21 DNF 23 18 22 28 21 211 Leila Whitney '13
Alyssa Staples '14
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 16 24 DNF DNF 26 22 20 27 27 226 Johan Jorna '14
Breton Zyirek '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 28 DNF DNF DNF 21 13 27 25 26 236 Mike Knape '12
Ellen Ytterberg '12
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 24 28 20 DNF DNF 27 24 24 DNF 243 Ryan Wilkerson '14
Genevieve Puccinelli '15
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 25 27 OCS DNF 24 DSQ 26 26 DNF 276 MRP Taisuke Kamoshita '11
Katherine Emberley '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 288 Ian Reeves '12
Sarah Hanavan '13
Panthers Panthers Panthers DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 288
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 5 1 1 2 13 1 1 1 26 Ryan Sullivan '12 [1-9]
Krystal Treiberg '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Keely Scates '12 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 2 3 2 6 3 3 10 4 2 35 Michael Hanson '12
Taylor Nidds '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 RDG 6 3 3 6 1 11 6 7 48 Dylan Finneran '15 [1-9]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [1-8]
Michael Caballero '14 [9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1 4 16 9 13 8 10 12 3 5 80 Travis Benton '14 [1-9]
Sarah Adams '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Ethan Pawson '14 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 12 7 7 5 19 15 3 9 9 86 Samuel Heller '15
Colin Averill '12
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 7 14 19 DNF 7 5 7 2 4 97 Chase Young '12 [1-3]
Shane Young '14 [4-9]
Kristen Barca '13 [1-3]
Chase Young '12 [4-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 16 18 8 4 18 9 9 7 11 100 Daniel Kivlovitz '12 [1-9]
Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon '14 [1-2]
Erik Samuels '13 [3-9]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 9 9 16 8 12 11 14 16 6 101 Lauren Cefali '15
Jennifer Lane '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 11 1 5 2 14 7 18 25 20 103 Patrick Taylor '12
Meghan Mcdonald '12
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 14 2 4 9 11 19 20 10 17 106 Zachary Forcade '13 [1-4, 7-9]
Christopher Fuller '12 [5-6]
Caylin Cordray '13 [1-4, 7-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 DNF 11 18 11 5 4 5 5 16 107 Mallory Schluter '14
Olivia Gebelein '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 19 15 7 20 6 19 18 3 113 Max Kohrman '15
Brittany Hallawell '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 DNF 6 DNF 13 8 2 11 18 125 Tyler Wooldridge '14 [1-9]
Jonathan Schafgans '13 [1-8]
Rachael Yao '14 [9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's RDG DNF 13 18 4 16 4 13 12 126 Ian Spilman '15 [1-9]
Kimberley Cohan '14 [1-2]
Mike Mccarthy '14 [3-9]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 5 DNF 12 14 17 27 15 12 14 148 Alyce Flanagan '13 [1-9]
Ivy Gooch '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Jordan Cutter '14 [3-4, 7-9]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 22 4 11 16 16 17 21 15 8 150 MRP Eric Johnson '14 [1-9]
Andre Mercader '14 [1, 3-9]
Michael Midgley '15 [2]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 13 15 20 10 23 24 23 14 15 157 William Edwards '12
Gabriel Monti '15
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 24 10 DNF DNF 1 18 8 19 13 157 Brandon Wood '14
Rachel Flanagan '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2 15 13 DNF DNF 10 2 17 20 19 160 Megan Hayes '13
Elizabeth Felando '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 19 21 14 15 25 21 16 17 21 169 Ashley Vincent '12 [1-4, 7-9]
Debbi Kenote '13 [5-6]
Angela Gossom '13 [1-4, 7-9]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 10 DNF DNF DNF 15 12 6 8 24 171 Hanne Nagatani '13
Hanne Nagatani '13
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 26 DNF 10 DNF 22 22 13 21 10 188 Hanna Miller '15 [1-9]
Samantha Ortega '13 [1-2]
Mark Hurdle '13 [3-9]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 17 8 DNF DNF 9 14 25 23 DNF 192 Scott Van Bergen '15
Mitchell Mclean '12
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 20 12 DNF 12 21 20 26 27 DNF 202 Henry Robinson '15 [1-9]
Chris Farmelo '14 [1-4]
Annie Edinger '13 [5-9]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 18 17 DNF DNF 27 23 22 22 23 216 Aldyn Brudie '13
Brianne Busey '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 21 20 17 17 28 25 28 28 DNF 216 David Eva '12
Sarah Schuh '14
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 23 DNF DNF DNF 29 29 24 26 25 252 Macy Stout '13
Kristen Schlotman '13
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 25 22 DNF DNF 26 28 DNF 29 DNF 258 Dan Berman '13
Marnie Phillips '14
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks DNF DNF 21 DNF 24 26 27 24 22 260 MRP Ryan Fritsen '14 [1-9]
Jan Raether '15 [1, 4-9]
Tyler Lindsey '13 [2]
William Oglesby '15 [3]
Panthers Panthers Panthers DNF DNF DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 288
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 308 MRP Sierra Marangola '15 [1-2, 4-9]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [3]
Alexa Gaddis '15 [1, 4-9]
Maddie Anzivino '15 [2-3]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2242424242424242424
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins999999999
PanthersPanthers Panthers555555555
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1161616161616161616
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2777777777
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes666666666
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1363636363636363636
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2353535353535353535
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters111111111111111111
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 1787878787878787878
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 2777777777777777777
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound848484848484848484
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 1373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 2383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal212121212121212121
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons292929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos313131313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's333333333333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1878787878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2888888888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2242424242424242424
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins999999999
PanthersPanthers Panthers555555555
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1161616161616161616
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2777777777
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes666666666
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1363636363636363636
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2353535353535353535
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters111111111111111111
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 1787878787878787878
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 2777777777777777777
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound848484848484848484
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 1373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 2383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal212121212121212121
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons292929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos313131313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's333333333333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1878787878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2888888888888888888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Erik Lund '14 Evan Lanuza '15
Mustang Macy Stout '13 Kristen Schlotman '13
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Matthew Van Rensselaer '13 Nevin Garcia '12
Keelhaulers Eric Johnson '14 [1-9] Andre Mercader '14 [1, 3-9]
Michael Midgley '15 [2]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Gregory Dair '15 [1-9] Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [1, 3-9]
Bianca Barnes '15 [2]
Dolphins Sierra Marangola '15 [1-2, 4-9]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [3]		 Alexa Gaddis '15 [1, 4-9]
Maddie Anzivino '15 [2-3]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Mark Ryan '15 [1-3]
Dustin Durant '12 [4-9]		 Foya Lazare '14 [1-3]
Mark Ryan '15 [4-9]
49ers Chase Young '12 [1-3]
Shane Young '14 [4-9]		 Kristen Barca '13 [1-3]
Chase Young '12 [4-9]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Zachary Haney '11 David Macko '14
Otters Hanna Miller '15 [1-9] Samantha Ortega '13 [1-2]
Mark Hurdle '13 [3-9]
Portland State University Portland State University Johan Jorna '14 Breton Zyirek '14
Vikings 1 Scott Van Bergen '15 Mitchell Mclean '12
Portland State University Portland State University Leila Whitney '13 Alyssa Staples '14
Vikings 2 Aldyn Brudie '13 Brianne Busey '14
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University John Connor Bathen '14 Lindsay Grove '13
Broncos Brandon Wood '14 Rachel Flanagan '14
Stanford University Stanford University Molly Mckinney '14 Rebecca King '13
Cardinal Max Kohrman '15 Brittany Hallawell '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bradley Milliken '14 [1-9] Amanda Hamlet '12 [1-2, 5-9]
Michael Caballero '14 [3-4]
Bears 1 Dylan Finneran '15 [1-9] Jaimie Chicoine '14 [1-8]
Michael Caballero '14 [9]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Devon Rohde '15 Justine Morrison '13
Bears 2 Lauren Cefali '15 Jennifer Lane '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Cody Shevitz '12 [1-9] Danielle Farrar '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Grady Pierroz '14 [3-4, 7-9]
Golden Bears 1 Travis Benton '14 [1-9] Sarah Adams '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Ethan Pawson '14 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Lauren Amery '12 Lorraine Chu '14
Golden Bears 2 Megan Hayes '13 Elizabeth Felando '13
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Ryan Wilkerson '14 Genevieve Puccinelli '15
Aggies Dan Berman '13 Marnie Phillips '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Hoover '12 Christopher Huang '12
Anteaters Samuel Heller '15 Colin Averill '12
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Peter Bailey '15 [1-9] Louise Lehman '14 [1-2, 5-9]
Nora Brackbill '13 [3-4]
Bruins William Edwards '12 Gabriel Monti '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego John Olson '14 [1-9] Jennifer Lyons '12 [1-2, 5-9]
Rachael Yao '14 [3-4]
Tritons Tyler Wooldridge '14 [1-9] Jonathan Schafgans '13 [1-8]
Rachael Yao '14 [9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Nicholas Kaschak '12 Katherine Sander '13
Gauchos Ryan Sullivan '12 [1-9] Krystal Treiberg '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Keely Scates '12 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Tommy Pastalka '13 Alex Verdoia '15
Banana Slug's Ian Spilman '15 [1-9] Kimberley Cohan '14 [1-2]
Mike Mccarthy '14 [3-9]
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Michael Reams '13 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Christian Caldwell '13 [3-4, 7-8]		 Michael Johnson '15 [1-2]
Maxwell Greene '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Emily Sayrs '13 [5-6, 9]
Buffaloes Henry Robinson '15 [1-9] Chris Farmelo '14 [1-4]
Annie Edinger '13 [5-9]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Adam Pokras '14 Cienna Patmont '12
Rainbows 1 Michael Hanson '12 Taylor Nidds '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Madeline Kennedy '14 Lani Johnson '12
Rainbows 2 Hanne Nagatani '13 Hanne Nagatani '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Taisuke Kamoshita '11 Katherine Emberley '13
Ducks Ryan Fritsen '14 [1-9] Jan Raether '15 [1, 4-9]
Tyler Lindsey '13 [2]
William Oglesby '15 [3]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Mike Knape '12 Ellen Ytterberg '12
Puget Sound David Eva '12 Sarah Schuh '14
University of Southern California University of Southern California Cameron Hutcheson '14 Margaret Bobbin '13
Trojans 1 Daniel Kivlovitz '12 [1-9] Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon '14 [1-2]
Erik Samuels '13 [3-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Kelsey Rupp '12 Alexis Tarakjian '15
Trojans 2 Mallory Schluter '14 Olivia Gebelein '15
University of Washington University of Washington Karl Haelsig '14 Sarah Redmond '15
Huskies Zachary Forcade '13 [1-4, 7-9]
Christopher Fuller '12 [5-6]		 Caylin Cordray '13 [1-4, 7-9]
University of Washington University of Washington Lily Grimshaw '15 Molly Utter '14
Husky Women Alyce Flanagan '13 [1-9] Ivy Gooch '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Jordan Cutter '14 [3-4, 7-9]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Ian Reeves '12 Sarah Hanavan '13
Vikings 1 Patrick Taylor '12 Meghan Mcdonald '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Erika Vranizan '12 Ashley Krzeszowski '15
Vikings 2 Ashley Vincent '12 [1-4, 7-9]
Debbi Kenote '13 [5-6]		 Angela Gossom '13 [1-4, 7-9]

Conditions — 03/31/2012 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1011.1 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 13.6 kn
Gusts to 38.1 kn
From SSW (212°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover68% Sunshine5.3 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1011.1 hPa Rain0.34 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 22 kn · NW 20 kn · NW 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stanford: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.27 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →