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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 33 37 70
2 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 57 60 117
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 35 115 150
4 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 58 94 152
5 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 96 69 165
6 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 112 84 196
7 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 179 36 215
8 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 140 80 220
9 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 109 123 232
10 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 113 130 243
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 125 125 250
12 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 124 143 267
13 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 146 149 295
14 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 103 193 296
15 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 103 259 362
16 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 129 242 371
17 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 246 158 404
18 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 211 197 408
19 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 273 135 408
20 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 198 221 419
21 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 255 167 422
22 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 241 200 441
23 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 192 255 447
24 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 187 304 491
25 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 273 256 529
26 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 5 273 265 538
27 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1 264 284 548
28 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 280 284 564
29 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 3 287 294 581
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 3 2 7 4 4 1 1 1 5 1 4 33 Johannes Mcelvain '18 [1-11]
Kian Patrick '20 [1-6]
Lucas Earley '19 [7-11]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 3 1 5 2 3 4 1 6 3 35 Dylan Finestone '19
Margaret Adams '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 1 3 6 11 3 4 2 10 6 5 6 57 Liam Hood '20
Rachel Hunter '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 7 4 1 3 2 8 4 6 2 2 19 58 Andrew Solomon '18
Tyler Hogan '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 4 1 10 8 10 3 13 12 8 9 18 96 Abraham Dearden '20
Zoe Hessler '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 12 8 2 12 19 7 7 11 13 4 8 103 Brett Farrell '17 [1-11]
Jerod Flores '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Chieko Imai '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Alexander Bittner '19 [9-10]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 18 14 4 2 9 10 11 14 3 16 2 103 Alexis Miller '20
David Gann '19
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 6 7 14 21 12 5 16 2 7 10 9 109 Robbie Culkin '19 [1-11]
Elizabeth Keenan '17 [1-10]
Jacqueline Rasch Castillo '18 [11]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 5 9 11 6 13 16 15 7 14 11 5 112 Laura Roudebush '18
Maddy Kuhn '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 9 16 18 13 1 14 6 8 9 8 11 113 Alex Demmler '19
Kaela Riha '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 10 6 20 7 7 6 14 3 17 17 17 124 Julian Weiswasser '19
Kiara Broudy '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 8 10 15 20 11 11 9 9 12 13 7 125 Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-11]
Meagan Montalto '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Daniel Vick '18 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 22 11 13 5 6 25 10 5 10 7 15 129 Jayden Potter '21 [1-11]
Jackie Shaff '19 [1-6, 9-11]
Anthony El-Sokkary '20 [7-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 14 17 8 10 20 15 8 13 11 12 12 140 Whitney Ziesing '19
Olivia Macdonald '19
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 19 19 16 9 22 20 18 15 4 3 1 146 Newt Cutcliffe '17
Gillian Dean '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 13 21 17 17 14 19 5 16 DNF 14 13 179 Dallas Butler '17 [1-6]
Belle Lemoine '19 [7-11]
Hunter Helfgott '20 [1-6]
Dallas Butler '17 [7-11]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 11 12 5 16 8 17 23 22 19 24 DNS 187 Charles Winter '17
Kenneth Migliardi '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 15 18 19 24 15 13 17 18 18 19 16 192 Jason Barr '17 [1-6]
Grant Lin '17 [7-11]
Rachel Zhao '19 [1-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 20 13 12 19 24 26 20 19 16 15 14 198 James Letchinger '20
Olga Brevnova '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 21 25 27 18 18 18 22 17 15 20 10 211 Ben Gerber '19
Grace Phillips '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 24 24 24 14 25 9 25 26 25 23 22 241 Nick Bonafede '17
Nolan King '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 16 22 23 26 23 21 27 25 24 18 21 246 Thomas Garcia '19
Ryan Messick '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 23 15 21 22 21 12 21 DNF DNS DNS DNS 255 Sarah Macpherson '18
Susan Bean '18
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1 25 26 26 25 27 22 12 20 21 DNF DNS 264 Andrew Clements '17
Kinsey Cohen '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 17 20 22 23 17 24 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 273 Liam Chaffey '19
Jacob Butler '19
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 27 23 29 28 28 27 26 21 20 21 23 273 Jesse Campbell '19
Brian Newcomer '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 5 DNS DNS 9 15 16 23 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 273 Benjamin Blumenberg '18
Nathan Dryer '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 26 27 25 27 29 29 19 23 23 22 DNS 280 Sebastian Guerra '20
Jesus Viramontes '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 3 28 28 28 29 26 28 24 24 22 DNF 20 287 Joseph Naro '18
Brianna Pinto '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 3 2 3 4 2 2 2 2 3 10 3 36 Joseph Lausten '18
Helen Payne '19
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 1 1 1 22 3 1 1 1 1 4 37 Benjamin Rohr '19 [1-11]
Logan Allen '19 [1-8]
Nolan Van Dine '20 [9-11]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 2 5 2 3 8 6 9 9 4 11 1 60 Alyson Crowley '20 [1-11]
Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19 [1-8]
Andrew Lozovoy '17 [9-11]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 5 4 5 16 1 5 7 6 6 8 6 69 Leah Ford '19
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 11 7 4 7 5 21 3 8 7 5 2 80 Eric Witte '17
Megan Grosspietsch '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 6 6 15 5 10 4 12 4 5 2 15 84 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19
Mingyi Chen '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 20 11 8 11 7 14 5 3 2 6 7 94 Nicolai Sponholtz '19
Cameron Juybari '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 10 3 20 9 3 19 4 18 8 3 18 115 Sean Jawetz '20
Olivia Montiano '18
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 21 13 19 13 12 1 15 7 10 4 8 123 Bobby Schloth '19
Jeffrey Kampfe '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 7 15 12 2 26 13 8 5 15 9 13 125 Samuel Rohrbach '17 [1-6]
Erika Barth '16 [7-11]
Christopher Steefel '18 [1-6]
Jerod Flores '19 [7-11]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 9 12 10 10 20 7 21 11 12 7 11 130 Chad Farrell '20 [1-11]
Valentina Avincola '18 [1-4, 7-11]
Annie Thompson '19 [5-6]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 8 9 11 17 18 24 10 12 9 12 5 135 Egemen Gok '18
Madeline Bachus '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 12 22 7 21 9 12 13 13 11 13 10 143 James Melvin '19
Tanya Van Renesse '18
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 17 18 16 22 14 9 6 10 13 15 9 149 Thomas Rall '18
Nathan Dove '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 14 8 6 20 4 15 DNF 16 17 16 12 158 Cullen Quine '18
Georgia Potter '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 13 14 13 15 25 16 11 14 16 14 16 167 Ankit Rastogi '19
Madeline Offerman '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 4 16 9 8 13 22 16 15 DNS DNS DNS 193 Natalie Hopper '19
Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 16 20 21 26 11 17 18 17 14 20 17 197 Hallie Muller '20
Arjun Boddu '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 24 17 23 25 6 11 17 20 19 18 20 200 Liam Russell '17
James Kerman '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 27 26 25 14 19 26 14 19 20 17 14 221 Burak Kocal '18
Catherine Canfield '20
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 25 21 14 6 16 20 20 DNS DNS DNS DNS 242 Picasso Vasquez '20
Jenna Rutledge '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 28 28 24 27 23 18 DNF 21 18 19 19 255 Chase Verstuyft '17 [1-11]
Jeremy Jaquinod '20 [1-6]
Alexander Bittner '19 [7-11]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 18 24 22 19 15 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 256 Andrew Lozovoy '17
Kevin Zhang '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 19 19 17 23 21 10 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 259 Gabrielle Lange '18
Francine Brownell '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 5 15 10 18 12 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 265 Geoffrey Brelsford '18
Anthony Absy '19
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1 22 25 27 18 17 25 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 284 Joshua Steward '17
Jasiri Carmichael '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 26 DNF 26 24 24 23 19 22 DNS DNS DNS 284 John Lisenby '17
Sheyenn Temple '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 3 23 23 28 29 28 28 22 23 DNS DNS DNS 294 Bradyn O'Connor '19
Sierra Madden '19
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 29 27 29 28 27 27 23 24 DNS DNS DNS 304
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1231231231231231231231231231231231
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 22424242424242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers11111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 133333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 244444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3103103103103103103103103103103103
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4104104104104104104104104104104104
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 511841184118411841184118411841184118411841184
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 199999999999
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2109109109109109109109109109109109
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 177777777777
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919191919
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 24848484848484848484848
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 3471471471471471471471471471471471
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12828282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 222222222222
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3282282282282282282282282282282282
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 42727272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5271271271271271271271271271271271
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 23030303030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3295295295295295295295295295295295
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos3131313131313232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 13333333333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 23434343434343434343434

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1231231231231231231231231231231231
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 22424242424242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers11111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 133333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 244444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3103103103103103103103103103103103
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4104104104104104104104104104104104
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 511841184118411841184118411841184118411841184
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 199999999999
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2109109109109109109109109109109109
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 177777777777
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919191919
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 24848484848484848484848
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 3471471471471471471471471471471471
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12828282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 222222222222
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3282282282282282282282282282282282
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 42727272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5271271271271271271271271271271271
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 23030303030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3295295295295295295295295295295295
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos3131313131313232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 13333333333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 23434343434343434343434
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Hood '20 Rachel Hunter '19
Mustang 1 Alyson Crowley '20 [1-11] Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19 [1-8]
Andrew Lozovoy '17 [9-11]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Dallas Butler '17 [1-6]
Belle Lemoine '19 [7-11]		 Hunter Helfgott '20 [1-6]
Dallas Butler '17 [7-11]
Mustang 2 Joseph Lausten '18 Helen Payne '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Nick Bonafede '17 Nolan King '19
Mustang 3 Liam Russell '17 James Kerman '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Chaffey '19 Jacob Butler '19
Mustang 4 Andrew Lozovoy '17 Kevin Zhang '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Benjamin Blumenberg '18 Nathan Dryer '20
Mustang 5 Geoffrey Brelsford '18 Anthony Absy '19
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Johannes Mcelvain '18 [1-11] Kian Patrick '20 [1-6]
Lucas Earley '19 [7-11]
Keelhaulers Benjamin Rohr '19 [1-11] Logan Allen '19 [1-8]
Nolan Van Dine '20 [9-11]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Andrew Clements '17 Kinsey Cohen '17
Dolphins 1 Joshua Steward '17 Jasiri Carmichael '20
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Charles Winter '17 Kenneth Migliardi '18
Dolphins 2
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Alex Demmler '19 Kaela Riha '19
49ers 1 Chad Farrell '20 [1-11] Valentina Avincola '18 [1-4, 7-11]
Annie Thompson '19 [5-6]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Sebastian Guerra '20 Jesus Viramontes '19
49ers 2 John Lisenby '17 Sheyenn Temple '19
San Diego State University San Diego State University Newt Cutcliffe '17 Gillian Dean '19
Aztecs Thomas Rall '18 Nathan Dove '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Robbie Culkin '19 [1-11] Elizabeth Keenan '17 [1-10]
Jacqueline Rasch Castillo '18 [11]
Broncos Bobby Schloth '19 Jeffrey Kampfe '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Whitney Ziesing '19 Olivia Macdonald '19
Bears 1 Eric Witte '17 Megan Grosspietsch '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Andrew Solomon '18 Tyler Hogan '17
Bears 2 Nicolai Sponholtz '19 Cameron Juybari '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Jayden Potter '21 [1-11] Jackie Shaff '19 [1-6, 9-11]
Anthony El-Sokkary '20 [7-8]
Aggies 1 Picasso Vasquez '20 Jenna Rutledge '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis James Letchinger '20 Olga Brevnova '20
Aggies 2 Burak Kocal '18 Catherine Canfield '20
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Joseph Naro '18 Brianna Pinto '20
Aggies 3 Bradyn O'Connor '19 Sierra Madden '19
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Jesse Campbell '19 Brian Newcomer '19
Anteaters Egemen Gok '18 Madeline Bachus '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Abraham Dearden '20 Zoe Hessler '18
Bruins 1 Leah Ford '19 Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Laura Roudebush '18 Maddy Kuhn '20
Bruins 2 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 Mingyi Chen '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Ben Gerber '19 Grace Phillips '18
Bruins 3 Hallie Muller '20 Arjun Boddu '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Thomas Garcia '19 Ryan Messick '20
Bruins 4 Cullen Quine '18 Georgia Potter '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Sarah Macpherson '18 Susan Bean '18
Bruins 5 Ankit Rastogi '19 Madeline Offerman '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-11] Meagan Montalto '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Daniel Vick '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Tritons 1 Samuel Rohrbach '17 [1-6]
Erika Barth '16 [7-11]		 Christopher Steefel '18 [1-6]
Jerod Flores '19 [7-11]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Brett Farrell '17 [1-11] Jerod Flores '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Chieko Imai '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Alexander Bittner '19 [9-10]
Tritons 2 Natalie Hopper '19 Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Jason Barr '17 [1-6]
Grant Lin '17 [7-11]		 Rachel Zhao '19 [1-6]
Tritons 3 Chase Verstuyft '17 [1-11] Jeremy Jaquinod '20 [1-6]
Alexander Bittner '19 [7-11]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Dylan Finestone '19 Margaret Adams '20
Gauchos Sean Jawetz '20 Olivia Montiano '18
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Alexis Miller '20 David Gann '19
Banana Slug's 1 Gabrielle Lange '18 Francine Brownell '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Julian Weiswasser '19 Kiara Broudy '18
Banana Slug's 2 James Melvin '19 Tanya Van Renesse '18

Conditions — 03/04/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From SW (216°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1016.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cal Poly: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cal Poly by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Cal Poly, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →