Southern 5 at URI

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 162
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 200
3 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 230
4 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 232
5 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 254
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 300 MRP
7 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 409 MRP
8 Camels Camels Camels 584 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears A 4 11 5 1 11 2 4 3 4 3 2 10 1 7 7 3 78 Gabriel Hannon '20
Catherine Mcclenahan '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B DNS 4 7 9 9 3 1 4 6 1 1 3 2 3 6 2 78 Matthew Schryver '20 [1-10]
Michael O'Flaherty '21 [11-16]
Samantha Hamilton '19 [1-10]
Alyssa Hall '20 [11-16]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 3 8 3 3 2 5 3 1 1 2 DNS 11 9 6 4 6 84 Christopher Pearson '20 [1-10]
Peter Gunn '20 [11-16]
Alyssa Hall '20 [1-10]
Emerson Campbell '21 [11-16]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 1 5 1 10 1 4 6 6 2 5 11 8 DSQ 10 3 4 94 Sean Beaulieu '18 [1-9]
Joey Lark '21 [10-16]
Grace Benzal '21 [1-9]
Jennifer Ryan '19 [10-16]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 7 9 10 5 4 7 7 5 9 6 12 1 3 5 1 8 99 Claire Havig '21
Eliza Jevon '21
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs A 6 1 6 13 5 1 2 2 3 7 9 14 12 9 11 13 114 Nicholas Marwell '21 [1-10]
Patrick Buehler '18 [11-16]
Becca Rose '22 [1-10]
Kathleen Wells '21 [11-16]
Brown University Brown University Bears B 12 6 11 2 6 12 11 9 10 8 4 4 5 2 9 11 122 Aryaman Dutta '22 [1-16]
Juan Briano '21 [1-10]
Justin Chiang '21 [11-16]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 8 12 13 8 12 11 12 7 5 9 6 7 10 4 8 1 133 Kelsey Slack '21
Isabelle Austin-Green '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 5 7 9 11 13 6 5 10 11 4 8 9 8 13 12 5 136 Grace Vincens '20 [1-9]
Lucie Ford '20 [10-16]
Jennifer Ryan '19 [1-9]
Alexa Percell '20 [10-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 11 10 8 12 7 10 8 8 8 10 5 2 4 1 5 9 138 MRP Charlotte Lenz '20
Elena Gonick '20
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs B 9 3 4 7 8 8 10 12 7 11 13 12 7 8 14 7 140 Martin Tipton '21 [1-10]
Emery Wallace '21 [11-16]
Mina Cezairli '21 [1-10]
Kathryn Clulo '21 [11-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 2 2 2 4 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 3 5 6 11 2 10 162 MRP Matthew Keller '21 [1-16]
Marley Hillman '21 [1-10]
Anna Robling '19 [11-16]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals B 10 13 12 6 3 9 9 11 12 12 7 6 11 12 10 12 175 MRP Nathaniel Barton '18 [1-16]
Mae Davis '21 [1-10]
Jenny Chelmow '19 [11-16]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals A 13 14 DSQ 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 10 13 13 14 13 14 234 MRP Simon Rothman '21
Courtney Robinson '18
Camels Camels Camels A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 292 MRP
Camels Camels Camels B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 292 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears17171717171717171717171717171717
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2222222222222222
CamelsCamels Camels3333333333333333
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams6666666666666666
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks4444444444444444
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos5555555555555555
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals7777777777777777
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs8888888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears9999999999999999
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears10101010101010101010101010101010
CamelsCamels Camels11111111111111111111111111111111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams14141414141414141414141414141414
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks12121212121212121212121212121212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos13131313131313131313131313131313
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals15151515151515151515151515151515
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs16161616161616161616161616161616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Claire Havig '21 Eliza Jevon '21
Polar Bears Kelsey Slack '21 Isabelle Austin-Green '19
Brown University Brown University Gabriel Hannon '20 Catherine Mcclenahan '21
Bears Aryaman Dutta '22 [1-16] Juan Briano '21 [1-10]
Justin Chiang '21 [11-16]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Sean Beaulieu '18 [1-9]
Joey Lark '21 [10-16]
Grace Benzal '21 [1-9]
Jennifer Ryan '19 [10-16]
Seahawks Grace Vincens '20 [1-9]
Lucie Ford '20 [10-16]
Jennifer Ryan '19 [1-9]
Alexa Percell '20 [10-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Matthew Keller '21 [1-16] Marley Hillman '21 [1-10]
Anna Robling '19 [11-16]
Jumbos Charlotte Lenz '20 Elena Gonick '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Christopher Pearson '20 [1-10]
Peter Gunn '20 [11-16]
Alyssa Hall '20 [1-10]
Emerson Campbell '21 [11-16]
Rams Matthew Schryver '20 [1-10]
Michael O'Flaherty '21 [11-16]
Samantha Hamilton '19 [1-10]
Alyssa Hall '20 [11-16]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Simon Rothman '21 Courtney Robinson '18
Cardinals Nathaniel Barton '18 [1-16] Mae Davis '21 [1-10]
Jenny Chelmow '19 [11-16]
Yale University Yale University Nicholas Marwell '21 [1-10]
Patrick Buehler '18 [11-16]
Becca Rose '22 [1-10]
Kathleen Wells '21 [11-16]
Bulldogs Martin Tipton '21 [1-10]
Emery Wallace '21 [11-16]
Mina Cezairli '21 [1-10]
Kathryn Clulo '21 [11-16]

Conditions — 04/07/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1010.0 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From WNW (284°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1010.0 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · N 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →