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2022 Womens PCCs

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 23 12 35
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 33 24 57
3 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 36 50 86
4 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 42 45 87
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 44 57 101
6 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 50 58 108
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 72 63 135
8 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 86 62 148
9 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 73 79 152
10 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 94 100 194
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 2 4 1 6 5 1 1 1 1 23 Stephanie Houck '21
Gwendolyn Donahue '24
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 4 5 2 6 1 2 5 3 2 3 33 Mercy Tangredi '25 [1-10]
Kelsie Grant '23 [1-9]
Anna Kalabukhova '24 [10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 1 3 5 4 7 3 4 4 2 36 Marianna Shand '24
Emma Worthington '23
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 8 4 1 4 7 1 2 5 6 4 42 Kingsley Ehrich '23
Lindsea Hayes '22
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 6 5 2 5 3 4 6 5 6 44 Erin Pamplin '24 [1-10]
Maya Outhred '24 [1-8]
Grace Smith '24 [9-10]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 9 3 6 8 3 6 6 2 3 BKD 50 Molly Coghlin '25
Kaitlin Chan '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 7 8 3 8 4 8 9 9 9 72 Kira Blumhagen '24
Ella Barnard '24
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 10 10 7 7 2 8 7 7 8 7 73 Svenja Leonard '24
Elizaveta Pertseva '23
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 6 9 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 8 86 Macy Rowe '23
Maura Darby '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 5 8 9 9 9 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS 94 Althea White '25
Lola Rao '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 12 Hannah Freeman '24 [1-8]
Grace Austin '24 [9-10]
Abigail Tindall '23 [1-6, 8-10]
Grace Austin '24 [7]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 2 2 2 2 3 4 1 2 2 4 24 Vivian Bonsager '25 [1-8]
Hayden Lahr '22 [9-10]
Sophia Shaeffer '25 [1-8]
Jemma Baird '22 [9-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 5 5 8 3 2 7 5 4 4 2 45 Katherine Olsen '25 [1-10]
Mackenzie Berwick '22 [1-6, 9-10]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 6 7 7 4 1 3 3 8 7 50 Mary Jane Howland '22
Teresa Dang '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 3 4 8 6 3 8 7 9 6 57 Emily Smith '25 [1-10]
Amelia Kau '23 [1-2, 5-10]
Grace Smith '24 [3-4]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 8 8 9 5 5 5 7 5 3 3 58 Harriet Jessup '22
Kate Gallagher '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 6 7 5 6 7 8 6 6 6 5 62 Florence Duff '25
Chloe Schofield '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 4 3 4 8 6 9 8 5 9 63 Caroline Hurley '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Claire Jablonski '23 [5-6, 9-10]
Allison Sasaki '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Anna Stensland '22 [5-6, 9-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 9 9 6 9 9 9 4 9 7 8 79 Amanda Brooks '23
Nina Folz '23
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 100 Kathryn Lewis '22 [1-4]
Lola Rao '24 [5-10]
Irene Abfalterer '25 [1-2, 5-10]
Sophie Smith '23 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears3355779911
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs1133557799
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine881010224466
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal224466881010
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins446688101022
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons5577991133
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos668810102244
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs7799113355
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies9911335577
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings101022446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears446688101022
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs224466881010
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine9911335577
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal3355779911
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins5577991133
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons668810102244
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos7799113355
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs881010224466
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies101022446688
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Macy Rowe '23 Maura Darby '25
Mustangs Florence Duff '25 Chloe Schofield '23
Stanford University Stanford University Stephanie Houck '21 Gwendolyn Donahue '24
Cardinal Hannah Freeman '24 [1-8]
Grace Austin '24 [9-10]		 Abigail Tindall '23 [1-6, 8-10]
Grace Austin '24 [7]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Kingsley Ehrich '23 Lindsea Hayes '22
Bears Katherine Olsen '25 [1-10] Mackenzie Berwick '22 [1-6, 9-10]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Marianna Shand '24 Emma Worthington '23
Bruins Mary Jane Howland '22 Teresa Dang '24
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Svenja Leonard '24 Elizaveta Pertseva '23
Tritons Amanda Brooks '23 Nina Folz '23
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Molly Coghlin '25 Kaitlin Chan '23
Gauchos Harriet Jessup '22 Kate Gallagher '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Althea White '25 Lola Rao '24
Banana Slugs Kathryn Lewis '22 [1-4]
Lola Rao '24 [5-10]		 Irene Abfalterer '25 [1-2, 5-10]
Sophie Smith '23 [3-4]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Mercy Tangredi '25 [1-10] Kelsie Grant '23 [1-9]
Anna Kalabukhova '24 [10]
Rainbow Wahine Vivian Bonsager '25 [1-8]
Hayden Lahr '22 [9-10]		 Sophia Shaeffer '25 [1-8]
Jemma Baird '22 [9-10]
University of Washington University of Washington Erin Pamplin '24 [1-10] Maya Outhred '24 [1-8]
Grace Smith '24 [9-10]
Huskies Emily Smith '25 [1-10] Amelia Kau '23 [1-2, 5-10]
Grace Smith '24 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Kira Blumhagen '24 Ella Barnard '24
Vikings Caroline Hurley '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Claire Jablonski '23 [5-6, 9-10]		 Allison Sasaki '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Anna Stensland '22 [5-6, 9-10]

Conditions — 04/16/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.9 kn
avg  ·  max 14.5 kn
Gusts to 28.4 kn
From ENE (61°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1017.5 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 14 kn · NE 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.16)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.16 means a rating gap counts about 14% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →