Gorge Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking White 15 11 26
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 16 24 40
3 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 42 34 76
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 22 57 79
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 46 37 83
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Blue 45 40 85
7 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 52 43 95
8 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 45 60 105
9 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 56 67 123
10 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 78 58 136
11 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Grey 72 72 144
12 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 76 73 149
13 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 82 74 156
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking White 1 3 1 3 2 2 3 15 Dalton Lovett '25
Eric Newell '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 1 2 1 7 1 1 16 Maxwell Miller '25
Amelia Kau '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 4 4 5 2 1 4 2 22 Samuel Delasanta '24 [1-7]
Maya Outhred '24 [1-4, 7]
Mason Pirner '25 [5-6]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 5 7 3 8 3 8 8 42 Emily Avey '25
Aidan Clark '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Blue 8 5 7 6 5 10 4 45 Malcolm Duncan Graves '24
Ella Barnard '24
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 10 11 8 4 4 3 5 45 Liam Brinton '22
Stella Doehring '25
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 6 8 4 9 6 7 6 46 Jaden Unruh '26
Julia Oglevie '26
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 7 2 6 5 11 12 9 52 Lauren Mcclintock '25 [1-4, 7]
Sarah Kahle '22 [5-6]
Sarah Kahle '22 [1-4, 7]
Lauren Mcclintock '25 [5-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 2 9 9 11 10 5 10 56 Anna Morrow '23
Carolyn Harmon '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Grey 11 10 11 DNF 9 6 11 72 Zoe Plattner '23
Julia Grams '24
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 DNS 12 DNS 7 13 9 7 76 Molly Mcleod '25
Ethan Heckman '24
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 DNS 13 10 10 8 11 12 78 Cassius Tossavainen '26
Elisabeth Grace Diemer '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 9 6 DNF DNS 12 13 DNF 82 John Kish '23
Haley (Mae) Lohf '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking White 2 4 1 1 1 1 1 11 Nathan Gerber '26
Matthew Lindburg '25
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 2 2 2 7 6 4 24 Erin Pamplin '24 [1-7]
Mckinley Seecof '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Duncan Weiner '24 [3-4]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 9 1 4 7 2 4 7 34 Dylan Murphy '26
Audrey Lillie '26
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 6 10 3 4 6 3 5 37 Peter Kelleher '26
Ethan Eschbach '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Blue 4 5 8 6 3 5 9 40 Maxwell Dodd '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Soren Althoff '26 [3-4, 7]
Lucas Schadewitz '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Calvin Blaser '25 [3-4, 7]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 5 7 6 11 4 7 3 43 Henry Stier '23
Grace Smith '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 3 13 9 5 11 8 8 57 Jaxon Gordon '25
Samyel Macray '26
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 8 9 DNS DNF 9 2 2 58 Marty Weigel '25 [1-3]
No Show [4-7]
Aaron Heard '25 [1-3]
Austin Victer '25 [4-7]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 10 6 DNF 3 8 9 10 60 Paul Schreiner '22 [1-3]
Quincy Spurlock '24 [4-7]
Ethan Wickman '25 [1-3]
Khalia Mork '26 [4-7]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 7 11 DNF DNS 5 10 6 67 Caroline Hurley '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Piper Easton '26 [3-4]
Aliyah Dodge '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Sophie Shafer '26 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Grey 12 12 7 9 10 11 11 72 Kurtis Johnston '26
Kathryn Drennan '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 11 8 5 8 13 DNS DNS 73 Sadie Creemer '25
Kate Ryan '25
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 13 3 10 10 12 12 DNS 74 No Show [1-7]
Elisabeth Schreiner '25 [1-2]
John Kish '23 [3-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 175757575757575
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 276767676767676
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Blue87878787878787

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 175757575757575
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 276767676767676
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Blue87878787878787
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oregon State University Oregon State University Liam Brinton '22 Stella Doehring '25
Beavers 1 Paul Schreiner '22 [1-3]
Quincy Spurlock '24 [4-7]
Ethan Wickman '25 [1-3]
Khalia Mork '26 [4-7]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Cassius Tossavainen '26 Elisabeth Grace Diemer '26
Beavers 2 Marty Weigel '25 [1-3]
No Show [4-7]
Aaron Heard '25 [1-3]
Austin Victer '25 [4-7]
University of Oregon University of Oregon John Kish '23 Haley (Mae) Lohf '26
Ducks 1 No Show [1-7] Elisabeth Schreiner '25 [1-2]
John Kish '23 [3-7]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Emily Avey '25 Aidan Clark '24
Ducks 2 Dylan Murphy '26 Audrey Lillie '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Molly Mcleod '25 Ethan Heckman '24
Ducks 3 Sadie Creemer '25 Kate Ryan '25
University of Washington University of Washington Maxwell Miller '25 Amelia Kau '23
Huskies 1 Erin Pamplin '24 [1-7] Mckinley Seecof '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Duncan Weiner '24 [3-4]
University of Washington University of Washington Jaden Unruh '26 Julia Oglevie '26
Huskies 2 Peter Kelleher '26 Ethan Eschbach '25
University of Washington University of Washington Lauren Mcclintock '25 [1-4, 7]
Sarah Kahle '22 [5-6]
Sarah Kahle '22 [1-4, 7]
Lauren Mcclintock '25 [5-6]
Huskies 3 Henry Stier '23 Grace Smith '24
University of Washington University of Washington Samuel Delasanta '24 [1-7] Maya Outhred '24 [1-4, 7]
Mason Pirner '25 [5-6]
Huskies 4 Jaxon Gordon '25 Samyel Macray '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Malcolm Duncan Graves '24 Ella Barnard '24
Viking Blue Maxwell Dodd '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Soren Althoff '26 [3-4, 7]
Lucas Schadewitz '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Calvin Blaser '25 [3-4, 7]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Zoe Plattner '23 Julia Grams '24
Viking Grey Kurtis Johnston '26 Kathryn Drennan '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Dalton Lovett '25 Eric Newell '24
Viking White Nathan Gerber '26 Matthew Lindburg '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Anna Morrow '23 Carolyn Harmon '26
Viking Women Caroline Hurley '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Piper Easton '26 [3-4]
Aliyah Dodge '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Sophie Shafer '26 [3-4]

Conditions — 05/13/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1023.8 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From NNW (327°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover28% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1023.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 15 kn · E 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Western Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →