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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 22 26 48
2 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 22 28 50
3 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 27 27 54
4 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 23 49 72
5 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 43 30 73
6 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 48 49 97
7 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 63 55 118
8 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 59 61 120
9 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 80 65 145
10 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 81 MRP 82 MRP 163 MRP
11 University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 104 MRP 104 MRP 208 MRP
12 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 114 MRP 119 MRP 233 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 4 1 1 1 1 2 4 8 22 Connor Mraz '23 [1-8]
Skylor Wong '26 [1-3]
Isabel Kim '24 [4-8]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 2 3 3 3 1 2 3 22 Toby Sullivan '24
Lillian Cardonne '23
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 4 5 4 2 3 3 1 23 Stewart Gurnell '23 [1-8]
Rachel Morgen '26 [1-3, 7-8]
Kennedy Jones '24 [4-6]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 8 3 2 2 4 5 1 2 27 Brian Fox '23
Sebastian Beavers '26
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 5 6 5 7 6 7 5 43 Valerio Palamara '24 [1-8]
Can Dilikoglu '23 [1-6]
Jose Chapa '26 [7-8]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 7 6 8 6 5 7 5 4 48 Andrew Montague '25
Luca Bonanno '25
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 6 9 4 8 9 8 6 9 59 Pearce Bragaw '23
Ian Kaplan '25
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 9 8 7 7 8 10 8 6 63 Brendan Strein '23
Margaret Myers-Aldous '25
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 3 11 10 10 11 9 DNS DNS 80 Elizabeth Van Der Voort '25
Daniel Shpigel '25
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 10 7 9 9 6 4 9 7 81 MRP Alexa Whitman '26
Alec Wyers '23
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 11 10 11 11 10 11 10 10 104 MRP Kasym Qazi '24
Matthew Deweese '23
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 114 MRP Raymond Shattuck '24
Alecsander Imig '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 4 3 3 10 1 1 3 1 26 Asher Green '24 [1-3, 7-8]
Ossian Kamal '26 [4-6]
Virginia Cobbs '25 [1-3, 7-8]
Skylor Wong '26 [4-6]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 1 4 3 6 6 4 2 27 Joshua Bendura '26
Gail Schneider '25
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 4 2 1 3 2 8 6 28 Iain Shand '24
Charlotte Shaw '26
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 3 2 1 2 2 7 5 8 30 Stefano Palamara '25
Tommaso Ciaglia '24
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 7 8 5 7 4 8 7 3 49 Joseph Bonacci '25
Emma Macturk '23
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 6 9 5 5 5 1 9 49 Maxwell Penders '25 [1-8]
Brooke Davi '25 [1-3]
Laura Rhodes '24 [4-8]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 6 7 8 9 7 9 2 7 55 Jessica Schaefer '23
Morgan Bittmann '24
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 10 10 7 8 8 4 10 4 61 Ethan Deutsch '25 [1-3, 7-8]
David Berson '26 [4-6]
Quinn Joy '25 [1-3, 7-8]
John Fulkerson '26 [4-6]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 5 5 6 4 9 10 DNS DNS 65 Sam Dutilly '24 [1-8]
Alexa Bodor '26 [1-3, 7-8]
Charlotte-Emilie Pirnik '24 [4-6]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 8 9 10 6 10 3 6 10 82 MRP Collin Ross '25 [1-3, 7-8]
Shay Gualdoni '25 [4-6]
Shay Gualdoni '25 [1-3]
Henry Ihle '25 [4-8]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets DNF DNF 11 11 11 11 9 5 104 MRP Kasym Qazi '24
Matthew Deweese '23
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights DNF DSQ DNF 12 12 12 DNF 11 119 MRP Gabriel Kunze '25
Liam Fitzgerald '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights7779991111
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11133355
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens8881010101212
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons22244466
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates33355577
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers44466688
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets99911111111
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves55577799
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange6668881010
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos10101012121222
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen11111111133
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe12121222244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights8881010101212
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains22244466
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens99911111111
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons33355577
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates44466688
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers55577799
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets10101012121222
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves6668881010
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange7779991111
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos11111111133
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen12121222244
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe11133355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Brian Fox '23 Sebastian Beavers '26
Captains Joshua Bendura '26 Gail Schneider '25
Drexel University Drexel University Toby Sullivan '24 Lillian Cardonne '23
Dragons Iain Shand '24 Charlotte Shaw '26
Hampton University Hampton University Valerio Palamara '24 [1-8] Can Dilikoglu '23 [1-6]
Jose Chapa '26 [7-8]
Pirates Stefano Palamara '25 Tommaso Ciaglia '24
Princeton University Princeton University Connor Mraz '23 [1-8] Skylor Wong '26 [1-3]
Isabel Kim '24 [4-8]
Tigers Asher Green '24 [1-3, 7-8]
Ossian Kamal '26 [4-6]		 Virginia Cobbs '25 [1-3, 7-8]
Skylor Wong '26 [4-6]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Brendan Strein '23 Margaret Myers-Aldous '25
Seawolves Jessica Schaefer '23 Morgan Bittmann '24
Syracuse University Syracuse University Alexa Whitman '26 Alec Wyers '23
Orange Collin Ross '25 [1-3, 7-8]
Shay Gualdoni '25 [4-6]		 Shay Gualdoni '25 [1-3]
Henry Ihle '25 [4-8]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Raymond Shattuck '24 Alecsander Imig '24
Black Knights Gabriel Kunze '25 Liam Fitzgerald '25
University of Delaware University of Delaware Pearce Bragaw '23 Ian Kaplan '25
Blue Hens Ethan Deutsch '25 [1-3, 7-8]
David Berson '26 [4-6]		 Quinn Joy '25 [1-3, 7-8]
John Fulkerson '26 [4-6]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Kasym Qazi '24 Matthew Deweese '23
Yellowjackets Kasym Qazi '24 Matthew Deweese '23
University of Virginia University of Virginia Andrew Montague '25 Luca Bonanno '25
Wahoos Maxwell Penders '25 [1-8] Brooke Davi '25 [1-3]
Laura Rhodes '24 [4-8]
Washington College Washington College Stewart Gurnell '23 [1-8] Rachel Morgen '26 [1-3, 7-8]
Kennedy Jones '24 [4-6]
Shoremen Joseph Bonacci '25 Emma Macturk '23
William and Mary William and Mary Elizabeth Van Der Voort '25 Daniel Shpigel '25
Tribe Sam Dutilly '24 [1-8] Alexa Bodor '26 [1-3, 7-8]
Charlotte-Emilie Pirnik '24 [4-6]

Conditions — 04/15/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From SSE (167°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine6.5 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1013.4 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn* · NE 6 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stony Brook: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stony Brook by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Stony Brook).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →