Hobart and William Smith Colleges '26
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.95 | 151 of 251 | 132 | Fall 2024 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.39 (fleet 1.81) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.07 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 13–14 (48%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 1–11 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 12–3 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (27 matches) the record is 13–14 against 6.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+6.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 13 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | Navy Team Race Invitiational | skipper | 1.49 | 0.79 | 1–11 | 1.8 | −0.70 | 0.4 | 87% |
| 2024-03-02 | Navy Team Race Invite | skipper | 1.44 | 4.14 | 12–3 | 5.0 | +2.71 | 12.8 | <1% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Navy Team Race Invitiational | Skipper | TR | 12 | 8% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Laser North Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 6.0 | 2.15 |
| Carl Van Duyne MAISA Open Singles Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 13.6 | 1.25 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Navy Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 15 | 80% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Seneca Showdown | Skipper | A | 6 | 14.3 | 0.89 |
| MAISA Men's Singlehanded's - Carl Van Duyne Trophy Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 12.5 | 1.63 |
| Laser North Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.5 | 1.95 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Seneca Showdown | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.0 | 2.47 |
| Laser North Qualifier Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 8.5 | 2.03 |
| Carl Van Duyne MAISA Singles Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 15.5 | 1.27 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Owen Harrod |  Mahtomedi |
'22 |
| ISSA | Owen Harrod |  Mounds Park Academy |
'22 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
