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Ne Freshman, Nickerson Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 57 71 128
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 63 69 132
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 60 90 150
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 83 84 167
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 109 64 173
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 112 75 187
7 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 83 113 196
8 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 100 130 230
9 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 123 108 231
10 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 126 107 233
11 Boston University Boston University Terriers 159 118 277
12 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 130 165 295
13 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 158 140 298
14 Yale University Yale University Elis 150 232 382
15 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 183 205 388
16 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 212 183 395
17 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 227 212 439
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 5 6 3 5 4 3 4 8 3 5 1 1 7 57 Alex Cook '13
Molly Clarke '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 4 4 2 8 1 6 7 1 7 3 9 4 1 60 William Hutchings '13
Madeline Luce '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 3 5 4 11 2 4 3 5 5 2 7 3 8 63 Tommy Fink '13
Ashley Noble '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 7 11 2 1 4 6 11 9 2 2 1 6 11 10 83 Atlantic Brugman '13 [1-14]
Samuel Parish '13 [1-12]
Lucy Wallace '13 [13-14]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 14 2 1 BKD 2 5 2 11 17 1 4 8 6 4 83 Alec Anderson '13
Sophie Bellacosa '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 1 13 11 3 3 1 13 11 8 15 4 10 2 100 Johnny Norfleet '13 [1-14]
Kathleen O'Brien '13 [1-4]
Katharine Brine '13 [5-14]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 11 13 11 5 7 8 9 10 6 4 9 2 8 6 109 John Renehan '13
Margaret Wilson '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 9 7 9 6 6 14 12 6 4 12 10 5 9 3 112 Andrew Sommer '13 [1-14]
Eben Freeman '13 [1-2, 5-12]
Mark Van De Loo '13 [3-4]
Steven Drapcho '13 [13-14]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 6 3 15 12 7 5 15 3 6 13 12 13 5 123 Ryan Byrne '13
Alma Lafler '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 10 8 7 9 11 14 14 7 10 6 10 7 9 126 Alexander Sutula '13
Mae Speight '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 14 10 10 1 10 13 1 13 11 12 13 2 14 130 Rian Bareuther '13
Justine Morrison '13
Yale University Yale University Elis 12 8 7 8 17 DNF DNF 12 9 14 8 3 5 11 150 Emily Billing '13 [1-14]
Grace Zimmerly '13 [1-10, 13-14]
Rafael Fernandez '13 [11-12]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 15 9 14 12 10 9 7 5 12 DSQ 7 11 17 12 158 Tommy Holmberg '13
Eve Boyce '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 15 12 9 14 12 8 2 10 13 11 15 15 13 159 Alejandro Bancalari '13
Catherine Droser '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 13 12 15 14 13 13 10 8 14 9 16 17 14 15 183 Kyle Carney '13
Molly Monarchio '13
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 16 DNF 16 13 16 15 15 17 15 15 14 14 12 16 212 Ann Sager '13
Jared Rodriguez '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 17 16 17 16 15 16 16 16 16 16 17 16 16 17 227 Lucas Campbell '13
Brittany Bridgham '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 3 3 7 2 7 7 2 3 3 10 1 6 7 64 Bo Mcclatchy '13
Sabrina Amaro '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 1 5 1 3 8 8 2 DNF 2 11 4 4 69 Colin Smith '13
Logan Shanney '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 5 6 2 3 6 11 1 1 10 3 12 1 8 71 Ryan Mullins '13
Kelly Roy '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers DNF 4 5 1 5 13 1 6 7 1 1 9 3 1 75 David Alfonso '14
Kelden Pehr '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 6 14 7 4 4 1 9 10 8 2 11 3 2 3 84 Andrew Tamblyn '13
Adrienne White '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 2 2 10 6 8 3 13 5 8 6 6 14 2 90 Andrew Meleny '13 [1-14]
Stephen Janick '13 [1-6]
Mackenzie Loy '13 [7-14]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 10 12 9 8 9 5 12 9 4 7 4 5 6 107 Katherine Doble '13 [1, 3-4, 7-14]
James Rohman '13 [2, 5-6]
Isabel Low '13 [1, 3-4, 7-14]
Zachary Fox '13 [2, 5-6]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 11 8 6 7 4 15 5 4 9 4 7 11 9 108 Sam Millham '13 [1-14]
Sarah Mccuskee '13 [1-6]
Jinyan Zang '13 [7-14]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 6 4 3 13 11 4 9 10 13 13 10 8 5 113 Timothy Clark '13
Katherine Andril '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 9 13 13 12 12 2 4 12 5 5 2 9 11 118 Joseph Ballow '13 [1-14]
Alejandra Higgins '13 [1-6]
Benjamin Li '17 [7-14]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 10 7 10 12 9 2 13 3 6 11 8 14 12 13 130 Michael Sturges '13
Christina Kvisatd '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats DNF 8 9 8 10 5 14 11 13 7 12 8 7 10 140 Connor Bair-Cucchiaro '15
Kate Carlucci '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 12 12 11 15 11 10 6 7 11 12 14 15 15 14 165 Thomas Chronert '13
Christine Case '13
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats DNF DNS 14 11 14 DNF 10 15 16 6 9 5 17 12 183 Tanya Miller '13
Elizabeth Deveau '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 11 13 DNS 14 15 15 17 14 14 16 16 17 10 15 205 Christopher Wands '13
Tate Tegtmeier '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners DNF 15 15 16 DNF 14 12 16 15 15 15 13 13 17 212 James Doller '13
Benjamin Labbe '13
Yale University Yale University Elis 13 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 16 17 17 14 17 16 16 16 232 Zachary Foreman '13
Senem Cilingiroglu '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats17172244668810101212
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles113355779911111313
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22446688101012121414
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33557799111113131515
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4466881010121214141616
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears5577991111131315151717
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels6688101012121414161611
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green7799111113131515171722
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson8810101212141416161133
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners9911111313151517172244
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers1010121214141616113355
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats141416161133557799
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1111131315151717224466
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks12121414161611335577
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos13131515171722446688
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts15151717224466881010
Yale UniversityYale University Elis161611335577991111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats113355779911111313
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22446688101012121414
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33557799111113131515
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4466881010121214141616
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears5577991111131315151717
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears6688101012121414161611
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels7799111113131515171722
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green8810101212141416161133
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson9911111313151517172244
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners1010121214141616113355
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers1111131315151717224466
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats15151717224466881010
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks12121414161611335577
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks13131515171722446688
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141416161133557799
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161611335577991111
Yale UniversityYale University Elis17172244668810101212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Tommy Holmberg '13 Eve Boyce '13
Bobcats Connor Bair-Cucchiaro '15 Kate Carlucci '13
Boston College Boston College Alex Cook '13 Molly Clarke '13
Eagles Ryan Mullins '13 Kelly Roy '13
Boston University Boston University Alejandro Bancalari '13 Catherine Droser '13
Terriers Joseph Ballow '13 [1-14] Alejandra Higgins '13 [1-6]
Benjamin Li '17 [7-14]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Alexander Sutula '13 Mae Speight '13
Polar Bears Katherine Doble '13 [1, 3-4, 7-14]
James Rohman '13 [2, 5-6]		 Isabel Low '13 [1, 3-4, 7-14]
Zachary Fox '13 [2, 5-6]
Brown University Brown University Tommy Fink '13 Ashley Noble '13
Bears Colin Smith '13 Logan Shanney '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Atlantic Brugman '13 [1-14] Samuel Parish '13 [1-12]
Lucy Wallace '13 [13-14]
Camels Timothy Clark '13 Katherine Andril '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College John Renehan '13 Margaret Wilson '13
Big Green Bo Mcclatchy '13 Sabrina Amaro '13
Harvard University Harvard University Ryan Byrne '13 Alma Lafler '14
Crimson Sam Millham '13 [1-14] Sarah Mccuskee '13 [1-6]
Jinyan Zang '13 [7-14]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Lucas Campbell '13 Brittany Bridgham '13
Mariners James Doller '13 Benjamin Labbe '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Andrew Sommer '13 [1-14] Eben Freeman '13 [1-2, 5-12]
Mark Van De Loo '13 [3-4]
Steven Drapcho '13 [13-14]
Beavers David Alfonso '14 Kelden Pehr '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Alec Anderson '13 Sophie Bellacosa '13
Hawks Andrew Tamblyn '13 Adrienne White '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Kyle Carney '13 Molly Monarchio '13
Seahawks Christopher Wands '13 Tate Tegtmeier '13
Tufts University Tufts University William Hutchings '13 Madeline Luce '13
Jumbos Andrew Meleny '13 [1-14] Stephen Janick '13 [1-6]
Mackenzie Loy '13 [7-14]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Rian Bareuther '13 Justine Morrison '13
Bears Thomas Chronert '13 Christine Case '13
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Ann Sager '13 Jared Rodriguez '13
Wildcats Tanya Miller '13 Elizabeth Deveau '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Johnny Norfleet '13 [1-14] Kathleen O'Brien '13 [1-4]
Katharine Brine '13 [5-14]
Catamounts Michael Sturges '13 Christina Kvisatd '13
Yale University Yale University Emily Billing '13 [1-14] Grace Zimmerly '13 [1-10, 13-14]
Rafael Fernandez '13 [11-12]
Elis Zachary Foreman '13 Senem Cilingiroglu '13

Conditions — 10/31/2009 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1011.3 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.1 kn
avg  ·  max 17.1 kn
Gusts to 33.0 kn
From SSW (199°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover48% Sunshine6.2 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1011.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 16 kn · NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston University: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →