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Boston Harbor Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 14 18 32
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 41 35 76
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 69 20 89
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 46 44 90
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 36 78 114
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 53 65 118
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 65 58 123
8 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 82 53 135
9 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 71 72 143
10 Boston University Boston University Terriers 102 57 159
11 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 60 102 162
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 84 100 184
13 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 79 111 190
14 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 87 106 193
15 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 86 119 205
16 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 123 88 211
17 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 129 98 227
18 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 141 144 285
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 2 1 2 1 4 2 1 14 Genoa Warner '12
Stephanie Schuyler '12
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 3 4 6 2 1 4 14 36 Conor Lodge '14
Becker Awqatty '14
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 4 7 3 5 2 12 4 41 Ryan Mullins '13
Kelly Roy '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 5 6 16 3 3 7 3 46 Andrew Meleny '13 [1-4]
Albert Nichols '13 [5-8]
Mackenzie Loy '13 [1-4]
Charlotte Welbourn '13 [5-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 6 2 1 11 8 3 13 53 Jordan Factor '14
Amanda Donohue '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 1 3 8 6 12 14 11 60 Lyle Fielding '12
William Snyder '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 9 8 4 15 9 6 7 65 Connor Needham '14 [1-4]
Andrew Tamblyn '13 [5-8]
Josh Gershuny '14 [1-4]
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 7 5 10 10 5 11 9 69 Jessica Claflin '13
Kristin Altreuter '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 15 10 14 9 9 7 5 2 71 Phoebe Sprague '11 [1-4]
Peter Edmunds '14 [5-8]
Isabel Low '13 [1-4]
Kimberly Dempsey '14 [5-8]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 11 12 12 7 14 10 1 12 79 Emerson Krock '12
Isabella Killion '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 13 13 5 7 15 13 10 82 Stephen Sweriduk '12
Sarah Price '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 10 14 15 12 4 11 10 8 84 Christopher Edwards '11 [1-8]
Alyssa Reetz '13 [1-4]
Emily Donnery '13 [5-8]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 13 8 9 14 13 16 8 5 86 Richard Graef '14
Edward Tamulevich '14
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 8 16 10 15 8 6 9 15 87 Christopher Hulse '12
Christopher Carter '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 16 17 11 11 12 13 16 6 102 Alejandro Bancalari '13
Catherine Droser '13
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 14 15 17 13 17 14 17 16 123 Nick Waldo '13
Jinyan Zang '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 17 11 18 17 16 18 15 17 129 Ryan Lovering '12
Julia Elizabeth Murphy '11
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 18 18 16 18 18 17 18 18 141 Steven Apperle '12
Emily Greagori '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 4 2 3 2 1 2 3 18 Max Nickbarg '14
Anna Han '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 3 5 2 1 2 1 2 20 Sky Adams '14
Helen Lord '14
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 7 1 6 3 7 3 6 35 Carolyn Naughton '14
Isabelle Salvaterra '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 1 8 1 15 5 5 4 44 T. Max Bulger '13 [1-4]
Daniel Slate '11 [5-8]
Madeline Luce '13 [1-4]
Victoria Eastman '11 [5-8]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 10 6 9 5 5 3 8 7 53 Timothy Clark '13
David Rex '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 2 7 7 6 9 6 11 57 Joseph Ballow '13
Samantha Sawan '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 8 6 10 16 10 4 1 58 Campbell Duffy '13
Alex Miller '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 11 5 4 9 4 4 14 14 65 Alden Winder '12
Courtney Crowley '12
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 13 11 3 8 14 6 7 10 72 Emily Mcneil '14 [1-4]
Sarah Fiske '13 [5-8]
Leah Hughes '11 [1-4]
Ruth Bodell '13 [5-8]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 14 12 4 9 12 12 8 78 Vincent Marchetto '12
Angela Lukstein '11
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 14 12 17 11 7 8 10 9 88 Ben Lamont '14 [1-4]
Sam Millham '13 [5-8]
Margaret Fulham '14 [1-4]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 17 9 10 12 8 14 16 12 98 Rachel Pedersen '14
Sarah Moore '11
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 10 11 15 11 16 13 16 100 Whit Durant '12
Rachel Pisa '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 12 15 13 16 13 11 9 13 102 Douglas Young '12
Catherine Coupland '12
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 16 17 14 13 17 13 11 5 106 Cameron Murphy '14
Nicholas Cabral '15
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 6 16 16 14 12 15 17 15 111 Stephanie Clement '12
Emma Millson-Taylor '13
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 15 13 15 17 10 17 15 17 119 Santiago Enrique '13
David Afienko '13
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 144 Alexa Giovanis '17
Gregory Henkelman '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11335577
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22181816161414
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33557799
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears442218181616
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears5577991111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels6644221818
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson779911112323
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats88664422
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners99111123231515
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1010886644
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds1111232315151717
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats121210108866
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies23231515171711
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams14141212101088
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks151517171133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1616141412121010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717113355
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818161614141212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats22446688
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11171715152323
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4466881010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears331117171515
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears668810101212
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels5533111717
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson88101012121414
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats77553311
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners1010121214141616
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers99775533
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds1212141416161818
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1111997755
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies14141616181822
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams232311119977
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks161618182244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15152323111199
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818224466
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1717151523231111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Ryan Lovering '12 Julia Elizabeth Murphy '11
Bobcats Rachel Pedersen '14 Sarah Moore '11
Boston College Boston College Ryan Mullins '13 Kelly Roy '13
Eagles Carolyn Naughton '14 Isabelle Salvaterra '14
Boston University Boston University Alejandro Bancalari '13 Catherine Droser '13
Terriers Joseph Ballow '13 Samantha Sawan '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Phoebe Sprague '11 [1-4]
Peter Edmunds '14 [5-8]		 Isabel Low '13 [1-4]
Kimberly Dempsey '14 [5-8]
Polar Bears Emily Mcneil '14 [1-4]
Sarah Fiske '13 [5-8]		 Leah Hughes '11 [1-4]
Ruth Bodell '13 [5-8]
Brown University Brown University Jessica Claflin '13 Kristin Altreuter '14
Bears Sky Adams '14 Helen Lord '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Stephen Sweriduk '12 Sarah Price '14
Camels Timothy Clark '13 David Rex '14
Harvard University Harvard University Nick Waldo '13 Jinyan Zang '13
Crimson Ben Lamont '14 [1-4]
Sam Millham '13 [5-8]		 Margaret Fulham '14 [1-4]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Steven Apperle '12 Emily Greagori '13
Wildcats Alexa Giovanis '17 Gregory Henkelman '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Christopher Hulse '12 Christopher Carter '14
Mariners Cameron Murphy '14 Nicholas Cabral '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Richard Graef '14 Edward Tamulevich '14
Buccaneers Santiago Enrique '13 David Afienko '13
McGill University McGill University Emerson Krock '12 Isabella Killion '13
Redbirds Stephanie Clement '12 Emma Millson-Taylor '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Conor Lodge '14 Becker Awqatty '14
Huskies Vincent Marchetto '12 Angela Lukstein '11
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Connor Needham '14 [1-4]
Andrew Tamblyn '13 [5-8]		 Josh Gershuny '14 [1-4]
Hawks Campbell Duffy '13 Alex Miller '14
Tufts University Tufts University Andrew Meleny '13 [1-4]
Albert Nichols '13 [5-8]		 Mackenzie Loy '13 [1-4]
Charlotte Welbourn '13 [5-8]
Jumbos T. Max Bulger '13 [1-4]
Daniel Slate '11 [5-8]		 Madeline Luce '13 [1-4]
Victoria Eastman '11 [5-8]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Christopher Edwards '11 [1-8] Alyssa Reetz '13 [1-4]
Emily Donnery '13 [5-8]
Wildcats Whit Durant '12 Rachel Pisa '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Lyle Fielding '12 William Snyder '13
Rams Douglas Young '12 Catherine Coupland '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Jordan Factor '14 Amanda Donohue '13
Catamounts Alden Winder '12 Courtney Crowley '12
Yale University Yale University Genoa Warner '12 Stephanie Schuyler '12
Bulldogs Max Nickbarg '14 Anna Han '14

Conditions — 09/18/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1023.1 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From E (88°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1023.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · SE 5 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston College: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →