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The Moody Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 79 52 131
2 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 57 100 157
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 79 114 193
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 96 106 202
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 126 98 224
6 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 162 64 226
7 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 95 134 229
8 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 129 105 234
9 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 124 112 236
10 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 145 93 238
11 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 90 149 239
12 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 146 109 255
13 Brown University Brown University Bears 120 143 263
14 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 123 150 273
15 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 169 136 305
16 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 121 191 312
17 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 188 151 339
18 Providence College Providence College Friars 176 224 400
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 5 5 2 2 2 2 4 12 2 1 9 8 57 Tedd Himler '11
Quincy Bock '11
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 5 8 4 1 12 1 15 3 8 11 4 6 1 79 Joseph Morris '12
Amanda Salvesen '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 2 12 7 9 6 5 2 4 4 6 7 7 79 Victor Diaz De Leon '14
Kelley Merryman '14
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 3 16 15 4 17 6 9 2 1 5 8 3 90 Peter Pellegrini '12
Karafaye Buffa '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 14 1 18 3 6 10 4 12 1 18 2 2 4 95 Erik Bowers '12
Corinna Decollibus '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 9 6 1 4 7 3 7 7 13 12 8 4 15 96 David Thompson '11
Holly Huffine '11
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 4 11 8 16 7 16 15 5 3 9 12 2 120 Nikolas Osvalds '11 [1-13]
Molly Bernstein '13 [1-12]
Michael Yanagisawa '13 [13]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 16 2 12 13 14 1 17 11 14 3 10 6 121 Oliver Toole '14
Yuri Namikawa '14
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 7 9 10 10 10 12 10 5 7 5 17 3 18 123 Michael Whitford '12 [1-13]
Caroline Hill '11 [1-10]
Karl Kurland '11 [11-13]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 17 9 13 8 5 11 6 17 6 7 1 11 124 Cameron Pimentel '13 [1-13]
Kelly Stannard '12 [1-10]
Tyler Wilson '12 [11-13]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 4 13 7 11 5 16 13 8 10 7 10 13 9 126 Andrew Sommer '13 [1-13]
Stephanie Tong '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Reguli Granger '12 [5-6, 9-12]
Mark Van De Loo '13 [13]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 11 14 16 1 4 14 1 14 15 18 5 10 129 Coleman Bowen '11 [1-13]
Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12 [1-10]
Max Taylor '11 [11-13]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 12 15 14 3 13 12 18 3 13 11 16 5 145 Ryan Hughes '13 [1-4, 13]
James Simmons '13 [5-12]
Caroline Hall '12 [1-4, 11-13]
Lindsey Leclair '11 [5-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 7 3 6 11 15 9 13 18 9 13 OCS 12 146 Massimo Soriano '12
Margaret Rew '11
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 15 18 6 17 17 11 8 11 6 8 14 15 16 162 John Renehan '13
Jenna Musco '11
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 17 15 8 9 15 8 18 14 15 10 15 11 14 169 Daniel Liberty '12
Francois Conde-Jahn '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 18 10 13 18 14 9 3 16 9 16 16 17 17 176 Mike Bloomstine '13
Julie Antonovich '11
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 16 14 17 5 OCS 18 17 10 16 17 12 14 13 188 Devin Laviano '13
Julie Digiovanni '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 1 3 5 7 9 1 1 8 2 1 3 5 52 Christopher Segerblom '14
Elizabeth Brim '11
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 7 1 8 2 1 11 4 3 6 6 1 11 64 Matthew Wefer '14
Alexandra Hiller '11
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 9 4 4 16 11 4 5 5 7 5 7 4 12 93 Matthew Carmody '11
Kelly Shea '11
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 12 10 17 9 1 3 6 2 OCS 10 5 2 2 98 Eamon Glackin '12
Elizabeth Hass '10
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 14 6 2 OCS 3 6 3 3 15 13 2 11 3 100 Brendan Kopp '12
William White '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 16 12 4 10 7 4 12 OCS 1 10 5 1 105 Johnny Norfleet '13 [1-13]
Ellie O'Brien '12 [1-10, 13]
Emily Augello '12 [11-12]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 13 5 6 1 9 8 2 16 2 DSQ 12 9 4 106 Patrick Kana '12
Hannah Littell '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 3 8 2 12 14 7 6 10 7 OCS 8 6 109 William Haeger '14
Sally Levinson '11
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 2 9 13 16 16 9 7 1 12 3 14 9 112 Josh Saltmarsh '11
Alyssa Seifert '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 10 14 5 3 5 13 15 9 5 3 4 15 13 114 Frederick Whitman '11
Kayla Mccomb '13
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 9 10 15 4 15 8 14 4 14 OCS 10 7 134 Ben Spector '13
Alexis Scott '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 8 11 14 12 6 2 14 18 6 11 9 17 8 136 Ian Holtzworth '13
Eleanor Rogers '11
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 12 13 11 17 12 12 10 9 15 13 7 10 143 Tyler Rice '14 [1-6]
Drew Shea '14 [7-13]
Ashley Noble '13 [1-10]
Brandon Kaufmann '12 [11-13]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 16 15 11 10 13 10 10 8 12 8 8 13 15 149 Robert Lippincott '14
Sarah Muzyka '12
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 8 15 6 15 5 17 13 14 9 15 6 16 150 Mildred Conroy '12 [1-13]
Sam Fitzgerald '14 [1-2, 9-13]
Matt Lawler '13 [3-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 15 18 7 7 8 11 13 15 13 4 11 12 17 151 Nathaniel Sabatt '11
Glenn Mckenna '14
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 17 13 18 14 14 17 16 11 11 16 14 16 14 191 Eliza Richartz '13 [1-13]
Helena Scutt '14 [1-4, 7-13]
Iris Clayter '13 [5-6]
Providence College Providence College Friars 18 17 16 17 18 18 18 17 16 17 16 18 18 224 Alexandra Zweig '13 [1-6]
Brigitte Spillane '12 [7-13]
Brigitte Spillane '12 [1-6]
Alexandra Zweig '13 [7-13]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears1133557799111113
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22181816161414121210108
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green335577991111131315
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson4422181816161414121210
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55779911111313151517
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners66442218181616141412
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers779911111313151517171
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen886644221818161614
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars991111131315151717113
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams101088664422181816
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111113131515171711335
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121210108866442218
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1313151517171133557
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1414121210108866442
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151717113355779
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161614141212101088664
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717113355779911
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs18181616141412121010886

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears224466881010121214
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars111717151513131111997
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green44668810101212141416
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson331117171515131311119
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6688101012121414161618
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners55331117171515131311
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers88101012121414161618182
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen775533111717151513
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars10101212141416161818224
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams9977553311171715
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121214141616181822446
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111997755331117
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1414161618182244668
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal13131111997755331
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos161618182244668810
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1515131311119977553
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen181822446688101012
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs171715151313111199775
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brown University Brown University Nikolas Osvalds '11 [1-13] Molly Bernstein '13 [1-12]
Michael Yanagisawa '13 [13]
Bears Tyler Rice '14 [1-6]
Drew Shea '14 [7-13]		 Ashley Noble '13 [1-10]
Brandon Kaufmann '12 [11-13]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Erik Bowers '12 Corinna Decollibus '13
Cougars Ben Spector '13 Alexis Scott '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College John Renehan '13 Jenna Musco '11
Big Green Matthew Wefer '14 Alexandra Hiller '11
Harvard University Harvard University Tedd Himler '11 Quincy Bock '11
Crimson Brendan Kopp '12 William White '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges David Thompson '11 Holly Huffine '11
Statesmen Patrick Kana '12 Hannah Littell '11
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Andrew Sommer '13 [1-13] Stephanie Tong '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Reguli Granger '12 [5-6, 9-12]
Mark Van De Loo '13 [13]
Beavers Eamon Glackin '12 Elizabeth Hass '10
Providence College Providence College Mike Bloomstine '13 Julie Antonovich '11
Friars Alexandra Zweig '13 [1-6]
Brigitte Spillane '12 [7-13]		 Brigitte Spillane '12 [1-6]
Alexandra Zweig '13 [7-13]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Cameron Pimentel '13 [1-13] Kelly Stannard '12 [1-10]
Tyler Wilson '12 [11-13]
Hawks Josh Saltmarsh '11 Alyssa Seifert '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Peter Pellegrini '12 Karafaye Buffa '12
Seahawks Robert Lippincott '14 Sarah Muzyka '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Victor Diaz De Leon '14 Kelley Merryman '14
Seahawks Frederick Whitman '11 Kayla Mccomb '13
Stanford University Stanford University Oliver Toole '14 Yuri Namikawa '14
Cardinal Eliza Richartz '13 [1-13] Helena Scutt '14 [1-4, 7-13]
Iris Clayter '13 [5-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Massimo Soriano '12 Margaret Rew '11
Jumbos William Haeger '14 Sally Levinson '11
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Daniel Liberty '12 Francois Conde-Jahn '13
Mariners Ian Holtzworth '13 Eleanor Rogers '11
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Devin Laviano '13 Julie Digiovanni '13
Midshipmen Nathaniel Sabatt '11 Glenn Mckenna '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Ryan Hughes '13 [1-4, 13]
James Simmons '13 [5-12]		 Caroline Hall '12 [1-4, 11-13]
Lindsey Leclair '11 [5-10]
Rams Matthew Carmody '11 Kelly Shea '11
University of Vermont University of Vermont Coleman Bowen '11 [1-13] Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12 [1-10]
Max Taylor '11 [11-13]
Catamounts Johnny Norfleet '13 [1-13] Ellie O'Brien '12 [1-10, 13]
Emily Augello '12 [11-12]
Washington College Washington College Michael Whitford '12 [1-13] Caroline Hill '11 [1-10]
Karl Kurland '11 [11-13]
Shoremen Mildred Conroy '12 [1-13] Sam Fitzgerald '14 [1-2, 9-13]
Matt Lawler '13 [3-8]
Yale University Yale University Joseph Morris '12 Amanda Salvesen '14
Bulldogs Christopher Segerblom '14 Elizabeth Brim '11

Conditions — 10/09/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1011.2 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From NW (322°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1011.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · W 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →