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Women's Regis Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 28 17 45
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 37 25 62
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 35 29 64
4 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 39 33 72
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 29 48 77
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 36 45 81
7 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 48 38 86
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 49 45 94
9 Boston University Boston University Terriers 68 66 134
10 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 75 68 143
11 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 71 72 143
12 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 69 75 144
13 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 64 87 151
14 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 112 97 209
15 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 115 MRP 115 MRP 230 MRP
16 Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs 119 119 238
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 3 4 6 3 9 1 28 Kelsey Wheeler '14
Margaret Wilson '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 6 2 1 6 3 8 29 Alexandra Arntsen '12
Kathleen O'Brien '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 5 10 4 4 9 35 Natalie Salk '13
Amelia Quinn '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 5 7 3 5 7 4 36 Jessica Claflin '13
Helen Lord '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 1 6 4 9 8 3 37 Amy Hawkins '12
Caroline Hall '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 11 7 3 2 2 12 2 39 Emily Billing '13
Anna Han '14
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 4 9 1 7 10 5 12 48 Katii Gullick '12 [1-5]
Hanna Vincent '14 [6-7]
Patricia Saylor '14 [1-5]
Grace Young '14 [6-7]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 12 8 5 7 1 6 49 Emily Mcneil '14
Charlotte Williamson '15
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 13 11 9 8 10 5 64 Caitlin Watson '14
Caroline Lowe '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers DSQ 10 13 8 11 2 7 68 Elizabeth Glivinski '14 [1-7]
Phoebe Gittelson '14 [1-5]
Emily Shepherd '15 [6-7]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 12 4 12 11 13 6 11 69 Devon Rohde '15
Justine Morrison '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 14 10 13 1 11 13 71
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 8 9 12 12 DSQ 10 75 Abby Preston '15
Bianca Rom '13
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 13 14 112 Sarah Gontarek '13
Emma Smith '14
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 11 14 14 14 14 15 115 MRP Brooke Doyon '13 [1-4]
Lyndsay Stockwell '14 [5-7]
Kelley Connolly '13 [1-4]
Kelsey Smith '13 [5-7]
Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 119
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 1 4 3 2 1 5 17 Deirdre Lambert '15
Carissa Crawford '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 2 8 8 1 2 1 25 Chanel Miller '14
Danielle Fougere '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 3 1 1 9 5 3 29 Mariel Marchand '13
Paula Grasberger '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 9 2 7 4 3 2 33 Morgan Kiss '15
Margot Benedict '12
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 2 8 3 2 7 4 12 38 Chloe Lepert '15 [1-4]
Laura Dunphy '15 [5-7]
Jacqueline Soegaard '12 [1-4]
Taylor Burfield '13 [5-7]
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 6 7 5 5 6 11 45 Sky Adams '14
Kristin Altreuter '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 5 6 10 3 7 4 45 Lizzy Hamilton '15
Isabel Low '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 4 10 4 8 9 9 48 Laura Cuccio '14
Catherine Mitchell '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 7 5 9 13 15 8 66 Erica Lush '14 [1-4]
Lindsey Kennett '15 [5-7]
Lindsey Kennett '15 [1-4]
Phoebe Gittelson '14 [5-7]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 11 13 11 12 6 8 7 68 Wendy Reuss '15
Nicole Sikowitz '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 13 11 9 11 11 11 6 72
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 8 14 13 6 10 14 10 75 Ellen Kintz '13
Jennifer Lane '15
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 14 12 12 13 12 10 14 87
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 15 10 15 14 15 13 15 97 Lilian Gong '12 [1-3]
Ann Stallings '12 [4-7]
Ann Stallings '12 [1-3]
Lilian Gong '12 [4-7]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 15 14 15 14 12 13 115 MRP Jemma O'Donnell '15
Alexandra Arendt '15
Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 119
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Lord JeffsLord Jeffs Lord Jeffs1133557
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4422161614
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221616141412
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3355779
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears55779911
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies12121010886
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66442216
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson7799111113
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers8866442
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies991111131315
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams13131515113
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks101088664
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111131315151
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1414121210108
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue151511335
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs16161414121210

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Lord JeffsLord Jeffs Lord Jeffs2244668
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3311151513
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears111515131311
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears44668810
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears6688101012
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies111199775
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green55331115
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson881010121214
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers7755331
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10101212141416
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams14141616224
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9977553
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1212141416162
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts13131111997
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue161622446
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1515131311119
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Elizabeth Glivinski '14 [1-7] Phoebe Gittelson '14 [1-5]
Emily Shepherd '15 [6-7]
Terriers Erica Lush '14 [1-4]
Lindsey Kennett '15 [5-7]		 Lindsey Kennett '15 [1-4]
Phoebe Gittelson '14 [5-7]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Emily Mcneil '14 Charlotte Williamson '15
Polar Bears Lizzy Hamilton '15 Isabel Low '13
Brown University Brown University Jessica Claflin '13 Helen Lord '14
Bears Sky Adams '14 Kristin Altreuter '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Kelsey Wheeler '14 Margaret Wilson '13
Big Green Deirdre Lambert '15 Carissa Crawford '14
Harvard University Harvard University Caitlin Watson '14 Caroline Lowe '12
Crimson
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Katii Gullick '12 [1-5]
Hanna Vincent '14 [6-7]		 Patricia Saylor '14 [1-5]
Grace Young '14 [6-7]
Beavers Chloe Lepert '15 [1-4]
Laura Dunphy '15 [5-7]		 Jacqueline Soegaard '12 [1-4]
Taylor Burfield '13 [5-7]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Abby Preston '15 Bianca Rom '13
Hawks Wendy Reuss '15 Nicole Sikowitz '15
Tufts University Tufts University Natalie Salk '13 Amelia Quinn '13
Jumbos Mariel Marchand '13 Paula Grasberger '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Devon Rohde '15 Justine Morrison '13
Bears Ellen Kintz '13 Jennifer Lane '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Brooke Doyon '13 [1-4]
Lyndsay Stockwell '14 [5-7]		 Kelley Connolly '13 [1-4]
Kelsey Smith '13 [5-7]
Huskies Jemma O'Donnell '15 Alexandra Arendt '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Amy Hawkins '12 Caroline Hall '12
Rams Chanel Miller '14 Danielle Fougere '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Alexandra Arntsen '12 Kathleen O'Brien '13
Catamounts Laura Cuccio '14 Catherine Mitchell '14
Wellesley College Wellesley College Sarah Gontarek '13 Emma Smith '14
Blue Lilian Gong '12 [1-3]
Ann Stallings '12 [4-7]		 Ann Stallings '12 [1-3]
Lilian Gong '12 [4-7]
Yale University Yale University Emily Billing '13 Anna Han '14
Bulldogs Morgan Kiss '15 Margot Benedict '12

Conditions — 09/24/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From SW (216°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine2.4 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1016.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 4 kn · NE 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston University: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →