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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 99 57 156
2 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 119 43 162
3 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 78 85 163
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 87 86 173
5 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 84 105 189
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 108 120 228
7 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 174 82 256
8 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 103 163 266
9 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 139 140 279
10 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 143 157 300
11 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 155 217 372
12 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 201 184 385
13 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 156 234 390
14 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 241 177 418
15 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI 210 214 424
16 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 187 238 425
17 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 301 217 518
18 Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 229 296 525
19 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 307 227 534
20 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 253 296 549
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 1 8 5 9 3 3 5 13 9 6 3 1 6 1 2 78 Elliott Morrill '15
Adele Huffine '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 4 3 4 3 7 6 9 2 8 6 2 12 2 3 3 10 84 Gordon Wolcott '13 [1-16]
Hannah Varden '15 [1-6, 10-16]
Ellen Hubbard '14 [7-9]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 4 1 6 1 4 2 1 1 11 1 5 12 15 11 3 87 George Prieto '13
Karen Vargas '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 2 3 8 2 17 6 10 3 1 8 9 8 11 5 4 99 Don Hause Iii '14 [1-16]
Kaitlyn Noreen '16 [1-5, 9-14]
Natasha Skaalrud '16 [6-8, 15-16]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 12 8 13 2 12 7 8 4 6 4 4 1 5 9 2 6 103 Michael Russom '13 [1-16]
Patricia Andrade '15 [1-6, 8-15]
Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [7, 16]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 14 7 17 4 4 2 1 6 11 5 3 11 3 5 6 9 108 Daniel Lochner '15
Carly Peterson '16
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 14 12 1 5 1 5 DSQ 7 2 17 7 7 4 10 1 119 Olin Paine '16 [1-12, 16]
Connor Godfrey '16 [13-15]
Jacqueline Cappellini '16 [1-12, 16]
Jennifer Irwin '15 [13-15]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 12 9 7 13 9 7 9 5 7 7 10 11 14 8 5 139 Julia Paxton '14 [1-16]
Jamileh Soueidan '15 [1-5, 10-15]
Christopher Knizewski '14 [6-9, 16]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 RAF 16 5 13 3 8 13 3 2 3 11 2 14 2 14 13 143 Robert Boger '13
Cara Halm '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 10 5 6 12 6 14 4 8 4 10 9 6 15 17 17 12 155 Ian Connors '13 [1-16]
Rebecca Engel '13 [1-5, 10-12]
Skye Kussman '13 [6-9, 13-16]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 7 15 7 14 11 10 12 11 10 13 5 4 6 1 16 14 156 Conor Cashel '14
Nicolas Leeper '14
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 9 10 16 8 11 11 7 9 8 OCS 8 4 13 OCS 17 174 Thomas Heist '15 [1-16]
Margaret Smith '13 [1-5]
Blair Towers '15 [6-14]
Eleanor Conroy '15 [15-16]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 8 11 2 11 OCS 5 18 DNF DNS 12 12 14 9 7 7 8 187 Christian Geary '14
Lara Paul '15
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 13 10 11 10 10 13 14 12 14 16 13 13 10 18 9 15 201 Colin Keil '15 [1-16]
Della Bradt '13 [1-10]
Rebecca Macies '14 [11-16]
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI 16 6 18 18 15 12 15 13 12 15 15 16 16 12 4 7 210 Eddie Einhaus '13
Catalina Sposato '15
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 11 17 16 9 14 16 10 14 16 17 10 15 20 16 12 16 229 Courtney Williams '14
Daniel Klarnet '16
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 17 19 14 15 16 15 16 15 15 14 14 17 13 8 15 18 241 Thomas Greathouse '14
Anthony Blair '16
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 15 13 19 17 17 18 17 16 17 18 16 18 18 10 13 11 253 Adrija Navarro '15 [1-16]
Summer Shaw '16 [1-9]
Daniel Ebanks '15 [10-12]
Olivia Watson '15 [13-16]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 18 18 20 20 18 19 20 17 19 19 19 DNF 17 19 18 19 301 Jonah Burke-Kleinman '16
Rhianna Henderson '16
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 19 20 15 19 OCS 20 19 OCS 18 20 18 19 19 20 19 20 307 Michael Suchernick '13
Anthony Ploumitskos '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 4 3 7 1 5 2 3 2 3 1 1 4 2 1 1 43 Alex Jacob '16
Emma Pfohman '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 10 14 2 2 2 2 1 7 3 2 2 3 1 1 3 2 57 Nicholas Clemence '15 [1-16]
Rachel Ryan '15 [1-4, 9-13]
John Boot '15 [5-8, 14-16]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 4 6 7 8 9 4 4 5 1 8 4 BKD 3 5 5 4 82 Eric Siegel '16 [1-16]
Richard Grouser Iii '16 [1-4, 7-8, 10]
Eleanor Conroy '15 [5-6, 9]
Margaret Smith '13 [11-12]
Jacquelyn Desoto '16 [13-16]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 8 1 1 3 8 11 3 4 4 1 5 13 7 11 2 3 85 Brendan O'Leary '16
Marnie Merrill '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 2 4 1 4 6 9 6 5 10 3 2 6 4 17 6 86 Lukas Edegran '13
Samantha Rosales '16
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 10 13 9 3 9 5 2 12 4 8 4 5 3 4 5 105 Domenic Re '15 [1-16]
Caitlin Grumbling '16 [1-6, 10-16]
Samuel Patterson '16 [7-9]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 11 5 10 5 1 8 1 6 9 11 5 8 12 12 10 120 Mark Miedama '14
Kaylie Gallagher '16
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 7 7 6 12 10 7 6 12 7 7 14 7 10 9 11 8 140 Matthew Nilsen '14
Lauren Albano '16
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 5 5 8 6 15 16 13 8 11 15 7 6 15 8 BKD 9 157 Francois Conde-Jahn '13 [1-16]
Alison Griffith '15 [1-6]
Padraig Loughlin '15 [7-16]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 13 13 15 4 7 8 7 15 10 12 12 15 9 6 6 11 163 Christina Johns '13
Meaghan Harding '16
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 19 12 12 16 6 13 16 14 16 14 6 10 2 7 7 7 177 James Gardner '16 [1-8]
Austin Neuman '16 [9-16]
Peter Heinbockel '16 [1-8]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 15 16 11 13 11 3 14 9 8 16 17 9 12 10 8 12 184 Bradley Barth '16 [1-16]
Rebecca Macies '14 [1-10]
Della Bradt '13 [11-16]
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI 2 8 9 5 12 19 18 16 18 13 15 17 17 19 9 17 214 Peter Hudson '16
Kenneth Lush '14
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 12 17 18 11 17 15 10 11 14 5 16 14 14 15 13 15 217 Taylor Stubbins '15
Isabella Mira '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 14 3 10 18 16 10 12 13 15 17 10 18 11 14 18 18 217 Jay Spector '16 [1-16]
Henry Young '16 [1-5, 8-15]
Richard Sant '13 [6-7, 16]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 16 20 14 17 14 12 11 10 9 18 18 12 16 13 14 13 227 Ted Wingender '14
Kyle Johnstone '13
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 18 9 16 19 18 14 15 17 17 11 9 11 19 17 10 14 234 John Koehler '13
Laura Maranto '14
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 17 19 17 15 13 20 17 18 13 6 13 8 13 18 15 16 238 Matthew Guenther '14
Anne Ryan '14
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 11 18 19 14 19 17 19 19 20 20 19 19 20 20 DNF DNF 296 Elizabeth Smith '14 [1-8]
Colby Morris '16 [9-16]
Colby Morris '16 [1-8]
Arthur Imperatore '16 [9-12]
Michael Moorin '16 [13-16]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 20 15 20 20 20 18 20 20 19 19 20 16 18 16 16 19 296 Mary Morgan '15
Artem Titoulenko '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions1122334455667788
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red2211202019191818171716161515
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams334455667788991010
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials443322112020191918181717
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen5566778899101011111212
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 166554433221120201919
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 277889910101111121213131414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8877665544332211
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers991010111112121313141415151616
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings101099887766554433
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs11111212131314141515161617171818
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers18181717161615151414131312121111
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1212111110109988776655
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels13131414151516161717181819192020
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI14141313121211111010998877
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers1515161617171818191920201122
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks161615151414131312121111101099
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Stevens171718181919202011223344
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos19192020112233445566
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen20201919181817171616151514141313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions1122334455667788
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red2211202019191818171716161515
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams334455667788991010
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials443322112020191918181717
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen5566778899101011111212
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 166554433221120201919
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 277889910101111121213131414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8877665544332211
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers991010111112121313141415151616
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings101099887766554433
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs11111212131314141515161617171818
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers18181717161615151414131312121111
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1212111110109988776655
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels13131414151516161717181819192020
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI14141313121211111010998877
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers1515161617171818191920201122
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks161615151414131312121111101099
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Stevens171718181919202011223344
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos19192020112233445566
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen20201919181817171616151514141313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Conor Cashel '14 Nicolas Leeper '14
Lions John Koehler '13 Laura Maranto '14
Cornell University Cornell University Colin Keil '15 [1-16] Della Bradt '13 [1-10]
Rebecca Macies '14 [11-16]
Big Red Bradley Barth '16 [1-16] Rebecca Macies '14 [1-10]
Della Bradt '13 [11-16]
Fordham University Fordham University Olin Paine '16 [1-12, 16]
Connor Godfrey '16 [13-15]		 Jacqueline Cappellini '16 [1-12, 16]
Jennifer Irwin '15 [13-15]
Rams Alex Jacob '16 Emma Pfohman '13
George Washington University George Washington University Ian Connors '13 [1-16] Rebecca Engel '13 [1-5, 10-12]
Skye Kussman '13 [6-9, 13-16]
Colonials Jay Spector '16 [1-16] Henry Young '16 [1-5, 8-15]
Richard Sant '13 [6-7, 16]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Elliott Morrill '15 Adele Huffine '14
Statesmen Brendan O'Leary '16 Marnie Merrill '15
Ocean County College Ocean County College Michael Suchernick '13 Anthony Ploumitskos '16
Vikings Ted Wingender '14 Kyle Johnstone '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Daniel Lochner '15 Carly Peterson '16
Monarchs Mark Miedama '14 Kaylie Gallagher '16
Princeton University Princeton University Adrija Navarro '15 [1-16] Summer Shaw '16 [1-9]
Daniel Ebanks '15 [10-12]
Olivia Watson '15 [13-16]
Tigers Elizabeth Smith '14 [1-8]
Colby Morris '16 [9-16]		 Colby Morris '16 [1-8]
Arthur Imperatore '16 [9-12]
Michael Moorin '16 [13-16]
Queen's University Queen's University Jonah Burke-Kleinman '16 Rhianna Henderson '16
Gaels Taylor Stubbins '15 Isabella Mira '16
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Eddie Einhaus '13 Catalina Sposato '15
RPI Peter Hudson '16 Kenneth Lush '14
Rutgers University Rutgers University Courtney Williams '14 Daniel Klarnet '16
Rutgers Mary Morgan '15 Artem Titoulenko '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Julia Paxton '14 [1-16] Jamileh Soueidan '15 [1-5, 10-15]
Christopher Knizewski '14 [6-9, 16]
Privateers Matthew Nilsen '14 Lauren Albano '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Don Hause Iii '14 [1-16] Kaitlyn Noreen '16 [1-5, 9-14]
Natasha Skaalrud '16 [6-8, 15-16]
Seahawks Nicholas Clemence '15 [1-16] Rachel Ryan '15 [1-4, 9-13]
John Boot '15 [5-8, 14-16]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Christian Geary '14 Lara Paul '15
Stevens Matthew Guenther '14 Anne Ryan '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Robert Boger '13 Cara Halm '16
Mariners 1 Francois Conde-Jahn '13 [1-16] Alison Griffith '15 [1-6]
Padraig Loughlin '15 [7-16]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Thomas Greathouse '14 Anthony Blair '16
Mariners 2 James Gardner '16 [1-8]
Austin Neuman '16 [9-16]		 Peter Heinbockel '16 [1-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy George Prieto '13 Karen Vargas '16
Midshipmen Lukas Edegran '13 Samantha Rosales '16
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Michael Russom '13 [1-16] Patricia Andrade '15 [1-6, 8-15]
Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [7, 16]
Quakers Christina Johns '13 Meaghan Harding '16
University of Virginia University of Virginia Gordon Wolcott '13 [1-16] Hannah Varden '15 [1-6, 10-16]
Ellen Hubbard '14 [7-9]
Wahoos Domenic Re '15 [1-16] Caitlin Grumbling '16 [1-6, 10-16]
Samuel Patterson '16 [7-9]
Washington College Washington College Thomas Heist '15 [1-16] Margaret Smith '13 [1-5]
Blair Towers '15 [6-14]
Eleanor Conroy '15 [15-16]
Shoremen Eric Siegel '16 [1-16] Richard Grouser Iii '16 [1-4, 7-8, 10]
Eleanor Conroy '15 [5-6, 9]
Margaret Smith '13 [11-12]
Jacquelyn Desoto '16 [13-16]

Conditions — 10/20/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1005.9 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From WSW (258°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1005.9 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · NW 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kings Point: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →