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Chris Loder

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 11 14
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 10 21
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 17 8 25
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 22 30
5 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 12 21 33
6 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 26 8 34
7 Boston University Boston University Terriers 20 15 35
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 30 17 47
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 17 32 49
10 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 33 28 61
11 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 30 31 61
12 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 34 34 68
13 Providence College Providence College Friars 32 36 68
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 1 3 Oj O'Connell '15
Lillian Pillsbury '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 2 3 8 Scott Goodrich '16
Taylor Williams '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 3 4 11 Charles Proctor '14
Elizabeth Keys '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 8 2 12 Bryce Kopp '16
Benjamin Meyers '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 6 6 17 Devon Rohde '15
Nikolia Kruger '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 6 4 7 17 Sean Willerford '14
Alexander Schell '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 7 5 20 Brendan Cook '16 [1-3]
Hannah Callahan '16 [1-2]
Michael Saldi '15 [3]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 7 11 8 26 Evan Read '16
John Lewis '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 10 9 30 Christian Houston-Floyd '16
Frances Jimenez '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 12 5 13 30 Andrew Morgan '15
Camille Aiello '15
Providence College Providence College Friars 13 9 10 32 Tristan Janowicz '16
Joseph Padavano '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 9 13 11 33 William Dykes '15 [1-3]
Emily Peabody '16 [1-2]
David Mazotas '16 [3]
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 10 12 12 34 Alex Dion '15
Alex Dion '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 2 4 8 Lauren Cefali '15
Justine Morrison '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 3 1 8 Hunter Johnstone '16
Victor Hollenberg '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 7 2 10 Ben Weigel '14
Hannah Duggan '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 1 3 11 Henry O'Brien '15
Birte Gunnarsson '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 5 5 15 Conor Fowler '14 [1-3]
Indre Jankeviciute '15 [1-2]
Phoebe Gittelson '14 [3]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 4 7 17 Philip Koch '16
Paige Speight '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 10 8 21 Alexander Giordano '15
Eliza Garry '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 8 6 22 Jesse Thomas '17
Laura Tschiegg '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 9 6 13 28 Ann Sager '13 [1-2]
Emmet Todd '17 [3]
Sarah Martin '15 [1-2]
Emily Peabody '16 [3]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 11 9 31 Robert Queisser '16
Kaitlyn Nanartowich '14
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 13 9 10 32 Alexander Strothe '14
Nathan Alexander '17
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 10 13 11 34 Michael Haidar '17
Gregory Kelley '15
Providence College Providence College Friars 12 12 12 36 Stephanie Burrell '16
Jamie Brown '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs113
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers335
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears224
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears557
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels446
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green668
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers8810
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers779
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats12121
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9911
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars101012
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111113
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts13132

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs224
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers446
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears335
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears668
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels557
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green779
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers9911
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers8810
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats13132
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies101012
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars111113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts113
School / Team SkipperCrew
Amherst College Amherst College Alex Dion '15 Alex Dion '15
Lord Jeffs Michael Haidar '17 Gregory Kelley '15
Boston University Boston University Brendan Cook '16 [1-3] Hannah Callahan '16 [1-2]
Michael Saldi '15 [3]
Terriers Conor Fowler '14 [1-3] Indre Jankeviciute '15 [1-2]
Phoebe Gittelson '14 [3]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Christian Houston-Floyd '16 Frances Jimenez '16
Polar Bears Philip Koch '16 Paige Speight '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Bryce Kopp '16 Benjamin Meyers '15
Camels Alexander Giordano '15 Eliza Garry '17
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Evan Read '16 John Lewis '17
Big Green Hunter Johnstone '16 Victor Hollenberg '14
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Andrew Morgan '15 Camille Aiello '15
Buccaneers Robert Queisser '16 Kaitlyn Nanartowich '14
Middlebury College Middlebury College Sean Willerford '14 Alexander Schell '15
Panthers Alexander Strothe '14 Nathan Alexander '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Scott Goodrich '16 Taylor Williams '16
Huskies Jesse Thomas '17 Laura Tschiegg '17
Providence College Providence College Tristan Janowicz '16 Joseph Padavano '17
Friars Stephanie Burrell '16 Jamie Brown '17
Tufts University Tufts University Charles Proctor '14 Elizabeth Keys '14
Jumbos Ben Weigel '14 Hannah Duggan '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Devon Rohde '15 Nikolia Kruger '17
Bears Lauren Cefali '15 Justine Morrison '13
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire William Dykes '15 [1-3] Emily Peabody '16 [1-2]
David Mazotas '16 [3]
Wildcats Ann Sager '13 [1-2]
Emmet Todd '17 [3]		 Sarah Martin '15 [1-2]
Emily Peabody '16 [3]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Oj O'Connell '15 Lillian Pillsbury '14
Catamounts Henry O'Brien '15 Birte Gunnarsson '17

Conditions — 09/28/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1026.3 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From ENE (60°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1026.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn · SE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →