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North Fall 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 37 24 61
2 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 20 73 93
3 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 58 41 99
4 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 88 51 139
5 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 78 62 140
6 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 56 88 144
7 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 75 71 146
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 115 39 154
9 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 67 94 161
10 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 84 78 162
11 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 67 105 172
12 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 116 109 225
13 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 112 133 245
14 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 129 123 252
15 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 133 134 267
16 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 130 156 286
17 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 165 158 323
18 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI 190 190 380
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 1 1 2 2 5 2 3 2 1 1 20 Griffin Orr '15
Melissa Eiffert '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 2 3 9 2 3 1 3 4 3 37 Andrew Bates '15
Gabrielle Neubelt '17
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 5 5 6 8 1 6 6 1 13 5 56 Matthew Nilsen '14
Larissa Bellavia '16
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 3 1 1 12 8 12 6 3 9 58 Jack Swikart '15 [1-10]
Patricia Andrade '15 [1-6]
Cary Kane '17 [7-10]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 6 4 7 3 14 11 7 7 6 2 67 Arthur Libby '17
James Lane '17
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 8 7 4 4 6 1 9 5 12 11 67 Conor Cashel '14
Catherine Duggan '15
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 9 6 11 5 10 7 5 13 5 4 75 Colin Keil '15
Honore Johnson '16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 11 9 15 11 3 14 2 4 2 7 78 Scott Calnan '17
Madeleine Popp '17
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 4 10 8 10 7 5 8 11 15 6 84 John Machum '17
Denby Mcdonnell '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 13 5 6 8 9 11 9 9 16 88 Nathan Fast '14 [1-6]
James Codega '14 [7-10]
James Morrissey '17 [1-6]
Isaac Kremers '17 [7-10]
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 15 8 16 12 9 15 4 10 11 12 112 Jacob Romanowsky '14
Kelly Chang '17
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 12 12 14 16 11 12 10 8 7 13 115 Johanna Monro '16
Samantha Foulston '17
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 13 11 12 13 4 10 14 15 14 10 116 Ted Wingender '16 [1-10]
Brittany Earley '16 [1-5]
Megan Clark '14 [6-10]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 14 16 10 15 13 4 16 17 16 8 129 Skylar Munger '17
William Mccaffrey '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 10 14 13 14 15 17 13 12 8 14 130 Andrew Murphy '14
Marisa Freedman '17
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 16 15 9 7 16 16 15 14 10 15 133 Andrew Beckmann '15
Henry Holmes '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 17 17 17 17 17 13 17 16 17 17 165 Emily Brownawell '15 [1-10]
Michael Gusev '17 [1-4]
Gregory Sarafin '14 [5-10]
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 190 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 4 1 1 5 4 1 2 1 4 24 Max Neubelt '17
Heidi Neubelt '17
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 2 2 5 3 2 5 6 2 3 39 Anders Ekholm '17
Elizabeth Foulston '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 3 4 3 1 3 OCS 1 3 1 41 Maximiliano Agnese '16
Catie Hopkins '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 5 7 3 2 9 10 2 4 7 2 51 Cody Stansky '16 [1-2, 7-10]
Alex Dzinbal '17 [3-6]
Kurt Gavel '16 [1-2, 7-10]
Ian Lawson '17 [3-6]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 4 6 5 4 2 1 OCS 3 12 6 62 Liana Folger '15 [1-4]
Christine Moloney '17 [5-10]
Christine Moloney '17 [1-4]
Liana Folger '15 [5-10]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 8 5 7 7 4 5 9 7 10 9 71 Lindsay Gimple '17
Alex Gatto '15
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 10 1 6 6 14 7 8 12 4 5 73 Rory Mess '16 [1-10]
Dante Iozzo '16 [1-4]
Emily Hann '17 [5-10]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 7 8 9 8 6 6 6 5 6 17 78 Will Jones '17
Anders Brown '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 11 9 14 10 8 11 4 9 5 7 88 Liam Murphy '17 [1-4]
John Nothacker '16 [5-10]
Zachery Harris '15 [1-4]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 2 10 8 12 11 14 7 8 11 11 94 Andrew Haggerty '14
Christina Marcellari '16
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 6 13 11 11 7 9 OCS 10 9 10 105 Laura Maranto '14 [1-10]
Nicolas Leeper '14 [1-8]
Josiah Hyatt '15 [9-10]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 12 12 12 15 15 8 3 11 8 13 109 Liam Boyle '16 [1-5]
Thomas Burke '15 [6-10]
Alina Robinson '17 [1-5]
Mackenzie Kurten '15 [6-10]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 13 14 10 13 12 12 12 15 14 8 123 Daniel Christiani '15 [1-10]
Ben Forman '17 [1-4]
Richard Cremin '18 [5-10]
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 14 11 16 14 13 15 11 14 13 12 133 Matthew Pavlos '15 [1-10]
Brandon Moynihan '14 [1-2]
Karl Larsen '15 [3-10]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 15 15 17 9 10 13 10 13 16 16 134 Albert Biddle '17
Jack Pinnell '15
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 16 16 13 16 17 16 13 17 17 15 156 Patrick Stege '14
Claire Alex '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 17 17 15 17 16 17 14 16 15 14 158 Cody Murphy '17 [1-10]
David Benjamin '15 [1-4]
Mary Loffredo '14 [5-10]
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 190 No Show
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Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights1133557799
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls161614141212101088
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions221818161614141212
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red335577991111
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams4422181816161414
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55779911111313
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners66442218181616
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 17799111113131515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 2886644221818
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings991111131315151717
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers171711335577
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels101088664422
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI1313151517171133
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester111113131515171711
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester12121010886644
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1414121210108866
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange15151717113355
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers18181616141412121010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights224466881010
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls1515131311119977
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions111717151513131111
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red44668810101212
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams3311171715151313
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6688101012121414
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners55331117171515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 1881010121214141616
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 2775533111717
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings10101212141416161818
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers181822446688
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels9977553311
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI1414161618182244
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester121214141616181822
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester111199775533
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves13131111997755
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange16161818224466
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers171715151313111199
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Conor Cashel '14 Catherine Duggan '15
Lions Laura Maranto '14 [1-10] Nicolas Leeper '14 [1-8]
Josiah Hyatt '15 [9-10]
Cornell University Cornell University Colin Keil '15 Honore Johnson '16
Big Red Lindsay Gimple '17 Alex Gatto '15
Fordham University Fordham University Johanna Monro '16 Samantha Foulston '17
Rams Anders Ekholm '17 Elizabeth Foulston '17
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Scott Calnan '17 Madeleine Popp '17
Statesmen Liana Folger '15 [1-4]
Christine Moloney '17 [5-10]		 Christine Moloney '17 [1-4]
Liana Folger '15 [5-10]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Ted Wingender '16 [1-10] Brittany Earley '16 [1-5]
Megan Clark '14 [6-10]
Vikings Liam Boyle '16 [1-5]
Thomas Burke '15 [6-10]		 Alina Robinson '17 [1-5]
Mackenzie Kurten '15 [6-10]
Queen's University Queen's University John Machum '17 Denby Mcdonnell '17
Gaels Will Jones '17 Anders Brown '14
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute No Show No Show
RPI No Show No Show
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Skylar Munger '17 William Mccaffrey '18
Rochester Daniel Christiani '15 [1-10] Ben Forman '17 [1-4]
Richard Cremin '18 [5-10]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Arthur Libby '17 James Lane '17
Privateers 1 Andrew Haggerty '14 Christina Marcellari '16
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Matthew Nilsen '14 Larissa Bellavia '16
Privateers 2 Liam Murphy '17 [1-4]
John Nothacker '16 [5-10]		 Zachery Harris '15 [1-4]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Emily Brownawell '15 [1-10] Michael Gusev '17 [1-4]
Gregory Sarafin '14 [5-10]
Seawolves Cody Murphy '17 [1-10] David Benjamin '15 [1-4]
Mary Loffredo '14 [5-10]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Andrew Murphy '14 Marisa Freedman '17
Orange Patrick Stege '14 Claire Alex '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Andrew Bates '15 Gabrielle Neubelt '17
Mariners Max Neubelt '17 Heidi Neubelt '17
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Andrew Beckmann '15 Henry Holmes '17
Black Knights Albert Biddle '17 Jack Pinnell '15
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Griffin Orr '15 Melissa Eiffert '14
Bulls Rory Mess '16 [1-10] Dante Iozzo '16 [1-4]
Emily Hann '17 [5-10]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jack Swikart '15 [1-10] Patricia Andrade '15 [1-6]
Cary Kane '17 [7-10]
Quakers Maximiliano Agnese '16 Catie Hopkins '17
University of Rochester University of Rochester Jacob Romanowsky '14 Kelly Chang '17
U. Rochester Matthew Pavlos '15 [1-10] Brandon Moynihan '14 [1-2]
Karl Larsen '15 [3-10]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Nathan Fast '14 [1-6]
James Codega '14 [7-10]		 James Morrissey '17 [1-6]
Isaac Kremers '17 [7-10]
Clippers Cody Stansky '16 [1-2, 7-10]
Alex Dzinbal '17 [3-6]		 Kurt Gavel '16 [1-2, 7-10]
Ian Lawson '17 [3-6]

Conditions — 10/19/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1013.2 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From SE (144°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine6.6 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1013.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn* · W 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →