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Fall Pacific Coast Championship

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13 6 9 28
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 15 13 5 33
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 20 20 17 57
4 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 32 9 18 59
5 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 12 22 28 62
6 Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 21 28 16 65
7 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 26 17 25 68
8 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 36 37 33 106
9 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 29 49 45 123
10 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 41 53 38 132
11 Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 53 42 37 132
12 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 70 40 54 164
13 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 45 57 76 178
14 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 59 44 77 180
15 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 38 63 84 185
16 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 77 66 58 201
17 Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 77 46 84 207
18 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 75 84 55 214
19 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 72 84 84 240
20 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 84 81 84 249
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 1 2 4 5 12 Simone Staff '18
Claire Stivers '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 4 5 2 13 Kristopher Swanson '18 [1-4]
Neil Stapleton '18 [1-2]
Maxwell Mckinney '19 [3-4]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 4 6 1 4 15 Charles Eaton Iv '17
Kellie Yamada '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 5 11 1 20 Matthew Hecht '16 [1-4]
Hope Modugno '18 [1-2]
Melissa Schem '18 [3-4]
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 8 1 3 9 21 Silas Barton '18
Cameron Gibson '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 9 6 6 26 Maria El-Khazindar '19
Kathryn Booker '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 9 3 10 7 29 Gabe Hill '16 [1-4]
Haley Bolin '17 [1-2]
Grace Davidson '17 [3-4]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 15 12 2 3 32 Henrik Bey '17
Katie Hitchcock '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 13 8 7 8 36 Ben Brough '19
Grace Carrick '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 7 13 8 10 38 Brian Maclean '18
Caressa Brewer '18
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 6 10 13 12 41 David Berry '16
No Show
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 11 11 12 11 45 Nicolas Delfino '16
No Show
Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 16 15 9 13 53
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 10 7 DNF DNS 59 Sunny Scarbrough '17
Anna Rubino '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 14 14 DNF DNS 70 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19
Laura Roudebush '18
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 12 18 DNS DNS 72 Melissa Shadden '17
Jacqueline Rasch Castillo '18
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 17 16 DNS DNS 75 Alexander Smith '18
Sierra Apillanes '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 18 17 DNF DNS 77 Joshua Leung '18
Hayley Palmer '17
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors DNS DNF DNF 14 77 No Show
No Show
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins DNS DNF DNS DNS 84 No Show
Kinsey Cohen '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 1 3 6 Sterling Henken '18
Amelia Anderson '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 3 2 1 9 Nicolai Sponholtz '19
Katheryn Bell '16
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 4 2 5 2 13 Soren Wilde '19
Annika Garrett '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 4 7 4 17 Martina Sly '19
Meg Gerli '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 5 4 6 20 John Coakley '16 [1-4]
Peter Wong '18 [1-2]
Aaron Kiyotoki '19 [3-4]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 6 6 3 7 22 Ginger Luckey '16
Madisson Thomas '17
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 7 7 9 5 28 Matthew Long '20
Charot Bahler '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 8 9 8 12 37 David Cornella '17
Kathryn Cornella '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 16 8 6 10 40 Leah Ford '19
Kylie Sullivan '17
Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 10 12 12 8 42
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 11 11 11 11 44 Alex Newton '16
Brooke Scholl '16
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 9 15 13 9 46 Kalvyn Ngo '17
Mindy Chow '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 13 10 10 16 49 Benjamin Kaas '17
Cynthia Sovulewski '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 12 14 14 13 53 Ted Alley '16
Adele Horbulyk '16
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 15 13 15 14 57 Brett Farrell '17
Hayley Chong '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 14 16 16 17 63 Philip Tagatac '17
Ali Sepasyar '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 17 17 17 15 66 Alana Mcsween '17
Sabrina Perell '18
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 18 DNS DNS DNS 81 Joshua Steward '17
Andrew Clements '17
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils DNF DNF DNS DNS 84 Conor Mcgee '17
Daniel Rust '19
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos DNF DNS DNS DNS 84 Robbie Culkin '19
William Pollard '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 2 1 1 5 Jeremy Hitchcock '17
Cole Brauer '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 1 4 2 9 Christopher Weis '18
Shannie Kuo '18
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 5 4 2 5 16 Ryan Powell '17
Maxime Rooij '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 6 5 3 3 17 Peter Wong '18
Mackenzie Freeman '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 3 5 7 18 Kyra Oakes '18
Ekaterina Goncharova '18
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 6 11 4 25 William Marshall '19
Maggie Schult '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 7 7 6 8 28 Olivia Godfrey '17
Claire Hunt '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 10 9 8 6 33 Joseph Lausten '18
Haley Weber '18
Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 11 8 9 9 37
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 8 10 10 10 38 Leh Smallshaw '17
Emma Dayton '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 15 12 7 11 45 Jasmine Gerraty '17
Lena Captain '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 9 11 13 DNS 54 Miles Picus '18
Bobbie Hutchinson '18
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 16 14 12 13 55 Rafael Gautier-Castro '17
Bradley Patterson '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 12 13 DNF 12 58 Samuel Sara '18
Ishita Singh '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 13 DNS DNF DNS 76 Samuel Rohrbach '17
Robyn Gillum '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 14 DNS DNS DNS 77 Ari Zeen '17
Kaela Riha '19
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters DNS DNS DNF DNS 84 Brian Maclean '18
Caressa Brewer '18
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors DNS DNS DNF DNS 84 Noah Delaurie '19
Olivia Hartford '19
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos DNS DNS DNS DNS 84 Francesca Dana '18
Alexandra Cotroneo '17
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins DNS DNS DNS DNS 84 Charles Winter '17
Sarah Shah '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils39393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears23232323
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang3333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers7777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows35353535
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros43434343
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos19191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans37373737
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal21212121
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins27272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons29292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women32323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131
Banana Slug'sBanana Slug's Banana Slug's33333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes89898989
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings87878787
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors55555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils39393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears23232323
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang3333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers7777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows35353535
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros43434343
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos19191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans37373737
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal21212121
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins27272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons29292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women32323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131
Banana Slug'sBanana Slug's Banana Slug's33333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes89898989
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings87878787
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors55555555

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils39393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears23232323
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang3333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers7777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows35353535
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros43434343
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos19191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans37373737
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal21212121
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins27272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons29292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women32323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131
Banana Slug'sBanana Slug's Banana Slug's33333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes89898989
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings87878787
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors55555555
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Alexander Smith '18 Sierra Apillanes '19
Sun Devils Conor Mcgee '17 Daniel Rust '19
Rafael Gautier-Castro '17 Bradley Patterson '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Grace Carrick '18
Mustang David Cornella '17 Kathryn Cornella '16
Joseph Lausten '18 Haley Weber '18
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands No Show Kinsey Cohen '17
Dolphins Joshua Steward '17 Andrew Clements '17
Charles Winter '17 Sarah Shah '16
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Sunny Scarbrough '17 Anna Rubino '16
49ers Alex Newton '16 Brooke Scholl '16
Ari Zeen '17 Kaela Riha '19
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Silas Barton '18 Cameron Gibson '19
Vaqueros Matthew Long '20 Charot Bahler '18
Ryan Powell '17 Maxime Rooij '18
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Melissa Shadden '17 Jacqueline Rasch Castillo '18
Broncos Robbie Culkin '19 William Pollard '18
Francesca Dana '18 Alexandra Cotroneo '17
Stanford University Stanford University Maria El-Khazindar '19 Kathryn Booker '19
Cardinal Martina Sly '19 Meg Gerli '19
William Marshall '19 Maggie Schult '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Henrik Bey '17 Katie Hitchcock '16
Bears Nicolai Sponholtz '19 Katheryn Bell '16
Kyra Oakes '18 Ekaterina Goncharova '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Joshua Leung '18 Hayley Palmer '17
Aggies Alana Mcsween '17 Sabrina Perell '18
Samuel Sara '18 Ishita Singh '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Maclean '18 Caressa Brewer '18
Anteaters Philip Tagatac '17 Ali Sepasyar '17
Brian Maclean '18 Caressa Brewer '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 Laura Roudebush '18
Bruins Leah Ford '19 Kylie Sullivan '17
Miles Picus '18 Bobbie Hutchinson '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 No Show
Tritons Brett Farrell '17 Hayley Chong '17
Samuel Rohrbach '17 Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Simone Staff '18 Claire Stivers '18
Gaucho Women Ginger Luckey '16 Madisson Thomas '17
Olivia Godfrey '17 Claire Hunt '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Kristopher Swanson '18 [1-4] Neil Stapleton '18 [1-2]
Maxwell Mckinney '19 [3-4]
Gauchos Sterling Henken '18 Amelia Anderson '18
Christopher Weis '18 Shannie Kuo '18
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Charles Eaton Iv '17 Kellie Yamada '16
Rainbows Soren Wilde '19 Annika Garrett '19
Jeremy Hitchcock '17 Cole Brauer '17
University of Southern California University of Southern California Matthew Hecht '16 [1-4] Hope Modugno '18 [1-2]
Melissa Schem '18 [3-4]
Trojans John Coakley '16 [1-4] Peter Wong '18 [1-2]
Aaron Kiyotoki '19 [3-4]
Peter Wong '18 Mackenzie Freeman '18
University of Victoria University of Victoria David Berry '16 No Show
Vikes Ted Alley '16 Adele Horbulyk '16
Leh Smallshaw '17 Emma Dayton '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Gabe Hill '16 [1-4] Haley Bolin '17 [1-2]
Grace Davidson '17 [3-4]
Vikings Benjamin Kaas '17 Cynthia Sovulewski '19
Jasmine Gerraty '17 Lena Captain '17
Westmont College Westmont College No Show No Show
Warriors Kalvyn Ngo '17 Mindy Chow '16
Noah Delaurie '19 Olivia Hartford '19

Conditions — 11/14/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 31%  ·  Pressure 1013.3 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From SSE (167°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity31% Pressure1013.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Santa Barbara: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at UC Santa Barbara).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →