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FJ Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 34 11 45
2 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 14 32 46
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 16 31 47
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 36 25 61
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 32 32 64
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 31 38 69
7 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 21 57 78
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 49 29 78
9 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 48 38 86
10 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 61 44 105
11 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 59 73 132
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 71 63 134
13 Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 74 75 149
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 1 2 1 1 3 6 14 Alexander Vasiliou '18
Jake Griffin '18
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 1 9 2 1 1 16 Dylan Farrell '18
Zoe Kessler '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 4 4 2 4 4 3 21 Zachary Hall '18
Annie Hughes '19
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 6 3 6 3 6 7 31 Kyle Joba-Woodruff '17
Noa Yoder '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 5 5 3 6 2 11 32 Chris Colbeth '20
Rachel Guard '19
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 3 7 7 8 7 2 34 Philip Koch '16
Nora Cullen '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 8 8 5 5 5 5 36 Florian Eenkema Van Dijk '19
Sarah Bunney '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 11 11 4 7 11 4 48 Pere Puig '19
Taylor Hart '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 7 6 10 9 9 8 49 Donal Ryan '19
Caitlin Cloonan '18
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 10 9 8 11 12 9 59 Juliette Mann '17
Linlin Chen '17
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 9 10 11 13 8 10 61 Benjamin Eley '18
William Whelan '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 12 12 12 12 10 13 71 River Iannaccone '19
Ella Cedarholm '19
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 13 13 13 10 13 12 74 Jamie Joyce '16
Kiley Burke '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 1 5 2 1 1 1 11 Matthew Kaplan '19
Louisa Lindgren '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 5 4 9 2 3 2 25 Christopher Keller '19
Margaret Veltri '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 4 8 3 6 5 3 29 Owen Beringer '19
Eleanor Grams '18
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 7 5 7 6 4 31 Nicholas Karnovsky '19
Ariana Gross '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 3 6 4 4 8 7 32 Catherine Price '18
Emily Kushner Salitan '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 7 1 1 8 9 6 32 Robert Rose '20
Coleen Ross '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 8 2 8 5 10 5 38 Sarah Caso '19
Scarlett Koller '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 9 9 6 3 2 9 38 Logan Russell '19
Marie-Louise Schnetz '19
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 6 3 7 9 11 8 44 John Zupkus '16
Alison Siegmann '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 10 10 13 10 4 10 57 Sarah Owen '19
Pavlina Karafillis '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 11 11 11 12 7 11 63 Morgan Tanski '19
Hannah Townsend '19
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 13 13 12 11 12 12 73 Anna Kennedy '17
Jordan Sessa '16
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 12 12 10 13 DNF 13 75 Julia Becker '19
Mae Harrington '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 122111414
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 2334455
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints443322
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson556677
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1665544
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2778899
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats121211111010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 1887766
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 29910101111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 110109988
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2111112121313
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue1313141411
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards141413131212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 1998877
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 2101011111212
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints1111101099
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson121213131414
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1131312121111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 214141122
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats554433
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 11114141313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 2223344
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1332211
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2445566
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue667788
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards776655

Conditions — 09/13/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1007.9 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From E (92°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1007.9 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Harvard: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →