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Hewitt Trophy Division 2

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 70 70
2 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 91 91
3 Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 92 92
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 93 93
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 100 100
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 112 112
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 114 114
8 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 118 118
9 Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 124 124
10 Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 136 136
11 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 163 163
12 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 180 180
13 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 180 180
14 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 180 180
15 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 218 218
16 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 221 221
17 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 256 256
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 9 4 9 4 1 8 1 6 1 8 4 4 1 6 1 70 Nicolas Hernandez '19
Catherine Webb '23
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 5 10 3 13 3 3 9 4 9 2 2 2 1 2 16 7 91 Liam Ballantyne '19
Lily Maranto '22
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 1 3 2 4 5 5 14 6 1 11 9 11 9 3 3 5 92 Thomas Walden '20
Caroline Downey '19
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 2 8 10 1 14 4 7 10 2 3 1 3 10 5 10 3 93 Peter Lynn '19
Lauren Seigel '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 1 15 2 2 13 2 13 3 8 5 13 5 4 2 8 100 Samuel Merson '22
Emily Calandrella '20
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 13 7 7 3 13 2 1 7 14 9 7 1 3 8 13 4 112 Thomas Harden '20
Amanda Engeman '20
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 6 6 6 7 7 7 10 8 11 7 10 6 6 7 4 6 114 Ian Moran '22
Rachel Holick '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 9 11 8 14 6 6 4 2 4 5 6 10 2 11 5 15 118 Aidan Naughton '22
Alyssa Hall '20
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 10 2 1 12 10 9 5 17 8 4 11 9 8 15 1 2 124 Michael Sabourin '20
Katherine Bertolini '21
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 8 5 13 8 1 12 11 3 13 10 4 8 7 13 9 11 136 Casey Cabot '21
Erica Brown '21
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 7 13 5 5 12 8 15 16 10 12 12 12 11 9 7 9 163 Ryan Goldstein '22 [1-16]
Christopher Cheng '21 [1-10]
Annika Rogers '22 [11-16]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 11 4 17 6 11 11 12 15 7 17 13 16 12 10 8 10 180 Richie Gordon '21
Mary Tran '22
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 12 14 14 15 8 10 3 9 5 6 14 17 14 12 15 12 180 Michael Tellini '21
Joshua Cherner '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 15 12 12 11 9 16 6 5 17 13 3 7 13 14 14 13 180 John Walton '22
Alden Crowe '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 16 16 11 10 16 14 13 11 15 14 15 5 15 16 17 14 218 Chris Colbeth '20
Alexandra Nygren '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 14 15 9 17 15 15 16 12 12 16 16 14 16 6 12 16 221 Ben Palmer '22
Julianne Mozzer '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 17 17 16 16 17 17 17 14 16 15 17 15 17 17 11 17 256 Corinne Poitras '20
Jack Frazier '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 11111222233334444
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 22222333344445555
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers 13333444455556666
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers 24444555566667777
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 113131313141414141515151516161616
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 214141414151515151616161617171717
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 15555666677778888
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 26666777788889999
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners77778888999910101010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 1888899991010101011111111
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 29999101010101111111112121212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1515151516161616171717171111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 110101010111111111212121213131313
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 211111111121212121313131314141414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121212131313131414141415151515
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161616161717171711112222
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs17171717111122223333

Conditions — 10/06/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 13.6 kn
From SE (127°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1023.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 7 kn* · N 6 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.14 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →