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Southern 7 on Salt Pond

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 112
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 157
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 160
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 196
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 214
6 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 259
7 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 373
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 13 3 1 2 2 1 2 3 1 1 8 4 3 4 48 Hannah Polster '17 [1-8]
Samuel Campbell '17 [9-14]
Meri Harrington '18 [1-8]
Anna Booras '16 [9-14]
Boston University Boston University Terriers B DNS 1 2 7 9 6 1 2 8 3 5 1 2 2 64 Lydia Grasberger '18
Jonathan Dicesare '18
Brown University Brown University Bears A 2 2 4 11 1 5 10 10 3 9 1 2 4 3 67 Alexandra Swanson '16 [1-8]
Reid Secondo '16 [9-14]
Rachel Gutman '17 [1-8]
Julia Kim '18 [9-14]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 6 6 7 3 11 4 5 9 7 2 3 3 1 1 68 Benton Croop '18 [1-8]
Peter Girard '18 [9-14]
Sarah Morin '18 [1-8]
Natasha Willcox '17 [9-11]
Ellis Havelock '18 [12-14]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 1 5 11 1 3 3 4 5 2 5 10 6 5 8 69 Zach Shapiro '15
Claire Lockard '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 8 10 10 5 6 8 3 4 6 7 4 5 6 6 88 Jeffrey Adam '18
Sergio Gratta '18
Brown University Brown University Bears B 4 9 3 9 5 10 6 7 4 4 2 11 11 5 90 Charlie Blasberg '18 [1-8]
Emma Davis '17 [9-12]
Nathan Housberg '19 [13-14]
Grace Gagnon '18 [1-8]
Nathan Housberg '19 [9-12]
Emma Davis '17 [13-14]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 7 7 12 10 4 2 9 1 5 6 6 7 8 7 91 Stephen Fletcher '17
Emily Browning '16
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs B 3 11 6 8 7 11 7 6 11 8 9 10 9 9 115 Kelsey Delosh '17
Courtney Grippin '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 5 4 8 6 8 9 8 8 10 11 12 13 12 12 126 George Luber '17
Christopher Dawson '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 9 12 5 4 12 7 12 12 12 10 7 8 7 11 128 William Connelly '18 [1-8]
Aaron Lomba '18 [9-14]
Timothy Keohan '16 [1-8]
Haley Cedarholm '18 [9-14]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs A 10 8 9 12 10 12 11 11 9 12 11 9 10 10 144 Kelsey Martins '16
Alix Blair '18
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats A 11 13 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 13 14 182 Marina Merchant '18
Brianne Giambagno '18
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats B 12 14 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 191 Lily Doolin '18
Rebecca Carney-Braveman '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11111111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22222222222222
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats33333333333333
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers44444444444444
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies55555555555555
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams88888888888888
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs77777777777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1010101010101010101010101010
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears1111111111111111111111111111
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats1212121212121212121212121212
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1313131313131313131313131313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1414141414141414141414141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717171717171717171717171717
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1616161616161616161616161616

Conditions — 05/02/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From ESE (105°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1015.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn · S 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →