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New England Women's Championship

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 88
2 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 104
3 Boston College Boston College Eagles 110
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 127
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 141
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 167
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 175
8 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 177
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears A 1 1 9 1 3 1 3 3 22 Olivia Belda '22 [1-8]
Annabelle Hutchinson '21 [1-7]
Emma Montgomery '22 [8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears B 3 2 7 5 5 5 14 2 43 Emma Snead '23
Christina Nothacker '21
Boston College Boston College Eagles A 4 3 10 8 4 6 6 10 51 Colleen O'Brien '24 [1-8]
Michaela O'Brien '24 [1]
Laura Ferraris '22 [2-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 8 10 15 3 1 14 1 1 53 Rebecca Read '21 [1-8]
Sage Walters '21 [1-4]
Caitlin Abel '21 [5-8]
Boston College Boston College Eagles B 5 15 6 4 2 8 15 4 59 Libby Redmond '24 [1-2]
Michaela O'Brien '24 [3-8]
Katelyn Mcgauley '24 [1-2]
Nicole Moeder '22 [3-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears A 7 7 3 10 15 2 4 13 61 Emily Bornarth '24
Mary Tran '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 12 5 2 7 10 4 7 14 61 Abbie Carlson '22 [1-8]
Jessica Friedman '22 [1-4, 6-8]
Mallory Hood '22 [5]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 9 9 4 13 7 15 2 5 64 Aili Moffet '23
Charlotte Williams '21
Brown University Brown University Bears B 2 14 8 12 9 7 5 9 66 Caroline Bayless '23 [1-8]
Madeleine Montagner '22 [1-5]
Madeleine Mcgrath '22 [6-8]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 13 8 11 2 12 3 8 12 69 Caroline King '21 [1-8]
Charlotte Martinez '23 [1-4]
Grace Quasebarth '24 [5-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 6 13 5 11 11 12 10 6 74 Kylie Castellano '21 [1-8]
Sadie Thomas '25 [1-4]
Maguire Bennett '21 [5-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 11 4 16 9 8 13 9 8 78 Claire Siegel-Wilson '24
Katharine Benagh '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 10 12 12 6 6 16 11 7 80 Chloe Holder '23
Cali Salinas '23
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 14 6 1 14 16 10 12 16 89 Michaela Odonnell '24
Grace Woodcock '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 15 DNF 13 15 13 9 13 11 106 Molly Hanrahan '22
Caroline Mcneil '22
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 16 11 14 16 14 11 16 15 113 Anna Olsen '24 [1-2]
Miya Preyer '23 [3-4]
Christina Van Dyke '23 [5-8]
Alexandra Wagner '22 [1-2]
Kensie Winton '23 [3-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22222222
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1313131313131313
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels33333333
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1414141414141414
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks44444444
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111111111111111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1212121212121212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles55555555
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears66666666
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1717171717171717
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels77777777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1818181818181818
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks88888888
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1515151515151515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1616161616161616

Conditions — 04/17/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1007.1 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From NW (326°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine2.4 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1007.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Connecticut College: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Connecticut College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (51 labelled days at Connecticut College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →