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MASSA Fall Gold Fleet Champs [ACC Qualifier]

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 28 14 42
2 The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 36 38 74
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 78 27 105
4 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 58 51 109
5 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 56 53 109
6 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 73 40 113
7 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 43 79 122
8 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 53 76 129
9 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 68 64 132
10 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 91 64 155
11 Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 73 89 162
12 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 61 127 188
13 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 110 79 189
14 St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 106 105 211
15 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 93 119 212
16 Irondequoit High School Irondequoit High School Eagles 88 125 213
17 Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 129 99 228
18 Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 127 104 231
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 2 1 3 8 3 1 8 28 Robby Meek '23
Lilly Baker '23
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 4 1 13 1 4 1 8 4 36 Gavin Hudson '24
Mairead Reitzel '24
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 10 3 3 2 10 2 2 11 43 Parker Moore '25
Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 11 10 7 9 7 6 2 53 Turner Ryon '25
Natalie Shaw '23
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 13 5 2 6 7 16 4 3 56 James Kopack '24 [1-8]
Liam Marcell '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Morgan Poskay '26 [5-6]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 9 6 7 9 5 4 13 5 58 Hugh Carty '23
Christina Pierce '25
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 5 12 6 4 OCS 5 3 7 61 Luke Woodworth '23
Richard Nesti '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 8 8 5 5 3 10 OCS 10 68 Christopher Small '26
Nicholas Cunha '23
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 11 7 11 15 1 9 10 9 73 Margaux Cowles '23 [1-8]
Carlo Osuna '25 [1-4]
Max Lazarus '25 [5-6]
Lanie Ferrarone '24 [7-8]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses DSQ 4 8 8 6 8 OCS 1 73 Madeline Janzen '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Owen Grainger '24 [5-6]
Maria Del Rosario De Tomas Perello '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Cameron Kinnear '24 [3-4]
Reid Nelson '24 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 7 15 12 12 2 13 5 12 78 Henry Allgeier '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Rebecca Schill '23 [5-6]
Emily Britt '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Marin Soderberg '24 [5-6]
Irondequoit High School Irondequoit High School Eagles 3 10 14 16 13 14 12 6 88 Juliana Lanz '23
Genevieve Heiermann '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 15 16 9 14 11 6 7 13 91 Kiana Beachy '24
Clara Murphy '23
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 12 9 BKD 10 14 12 9 15 93 Marco Welch '24 [1-8]
Madeline Fisher '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Carter Telep '24 [5-6]
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 17 18 4 11 12 15 11 18 106 Nicole Ostapowicz '24 [1-4]
Catherine Desmond '26 [5-8]
Bernadette Scott '24 [1-4]
Kathryn Elliott '26 [5-8]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 6 14 15 13 15 17 14 16 110 Sterling Maggard '23 [1-8]
Kyle Engel '23 [1-4, 7-8]
James Lilyquist '24 [5-6]
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 14 17 16 OCS 17 11 DNF 14 127 Joe Marynowski '24
Ian Bren '25
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 16 13 17 17 16 18 15 17 129 Saffer Lillian '23 [1-8]
Alice Waddington '25 [1-2]
Annabella Milano '25 [3-6]
Helen Halvorson '26 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 3 3 1 3 1 1 1 14 Thomas Sitzmann '23
Scarlett Harris '24
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 BKD 2 3 10 2 2 2 27 Sean Trudell '24
Jack Poynter '25
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 7 1 4 4 1 10 5 6 38 Mauro Gonzales '24
Sean Beaver '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 10 2 10 2 4 4 4 4 40 Jeffrey "Jj" Klempen '23 [1-6]
Rafael "Rafa" De Tomas Pereda '25 [7-8]
Paul Rodrigues Jr '24 [1-6]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 2 9 7 5 8 7 10 3 51 Owen Macwilliams '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Parker Herman '24 [3-6]
Madeline Washburn '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Taylor Collison '24 [3-6]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 4 8 8 8 9 5 6 5 53 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Nora Ciak '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 6 10 5 7 13 9 7 7 64 Maddie Murphy '25
Jackson Delanty '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 12 4 1 14 5 11 9 8 64 Bryce Vitiello '23
Mitchell Hnatt '24
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 9 14 9 11 2 8 11 12 76 Belle Placa '25
Erin Little '24
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 8 15 11 6 11 3 16 9 79 Pierce Brindley '24 [1-6]
Leila Pfrang '25 [7-8]
Gianna Dewey '23 [1-6]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 15 5 6 9 6 6 15 17 79 Joseph Murphy '24
Marc Hauenstein '23
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 5 7 12 10 14 17 13 11 89 Anndaly Mcmanus '25 [1-6]
Nicholas Heggerud '23 [7-8]
Nicholas Heggerud '23 [1-4]
Jonathan Wittick '25 [5-6]
Sadie Yoder '24 [7-8]
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 16 13 13 13 7 13 14 10 99 Gunnar Wey '24 [1-8]
Hugo Sacristan '26 [1-6]
Finn Palermo '24 [7-8]
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 14 6 15 12 18 18 3 18 104 Charlie Marynowski '26
Jack Riley '25
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 11 11 18 18 12 12 8 15 105 Kevin Ryan '25 [1-4]
Patrick Ronzo '23 [5-8]
Bridget Theisen '25 [1-4]
Molly Mcmanus '26 [5-8]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 13 17 17 17 15 15 12 13 119 Hayden Clary '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Justin Marquez '24 [5-6]
Aden Keithley '24 [1-4]
James O'Leary '25 [5-8]
Irondequoit High School Irondequoit High School Eagles 17 12 16 16 17 16 17 14 125 Isaac Aymerich '23
Cooper Petzing '23
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 18 16 14 15 16 14 18 16 127 Miles Guth '25
Liam Rivers '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers11335577
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins22446688
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders33557799
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses4466881010
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts5577991111
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins668810101212
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds779911111313
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators88101012121414
Irondequoit High SchoolIrondequoit High School Eagles99111113131515
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1010121214141616
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers1111131315151717
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs1212141416161818
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks13131515171711
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets14141616181822
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals151517171133
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams161618182244
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars1717113355
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears1818224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers22446688
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins33557799
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders4466881010
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses5577991111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts668810101212
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins779911111313
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds88101012121414
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators99111113131515
Irondequoit High SchoolIrondequoit High School Eagles1010121214141616
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1111131315151717
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers1212141416161818
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs13131515171711
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks14141616181822
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets151517171133
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals161618182244
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams1717113355
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars1818224466
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Hugh Carty '23 Christina Pierce '25
Cavaliers Owen Macwilliams '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Parker Herman '24 [3-6]		 Madeline Washburn '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Taylor Collison '24 [3-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Marco Welch '24 [1-8] Madeline Fisher '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Carter Telep '24 [5-6]
Bruins Hayden Clary '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Justin Marquez '24 [5-6]		 Aden Keithley '24 [1-4]
James O'Leary '25 [5-8]
Canisius High School Canisius High School Joe Marynowski '24 Ian Bren '25
Crusaders Charlie Marynowski '26 Jack Riley '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Madeline Janzen '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Owen Grainger '24 [5-6]		 Maria Del Rosario De Tomas Perello '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Cameron Kinnear '24 [3-4]
Reid Nelson '24 [5-6]
Seahorses Jeffrey "Jj" Klempen '23 [1-6]
Rafael "Rafa" De Tomas Pereda '25 [7-8]		 Paul Rodrigues Jr '24 [1-6]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Small '26 Nicholas Cunha '23
Colts Bryce Vitiello '23 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School James Kopack '24 [1-8] Liam Marcell '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Morgan Poskay '26 [5-6]
Griffins Kevin Brooksbank '23 Nora Ciak '23
Gilman School Gilman School Luke Woodworth '23 Richard Nesti '26
Greyhounds Miles Guth '25 Liam Rivers '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Parker Moore '25 Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Navigators Pierce Brindley '24 [1-6]
Leila Pfrang '25 [7-8]		 Gianna Dewey '23 [1-6]
Irondequoit High School Irondequoit High School Juliana Lanz '23 Genevieve Heiermann '23
Eagles Isaac Aymerich '23 Cooper Petzing '23
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Sterling Maggard '23 [1-8] Kyle Engel '23 [1-4, 7-8]
James Lilyquist '24 [5-6]
Raiders Joseph Murphy '24 Marc Hauenstein '23
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Margaux Cowles '23 [1-8] Carlo Osuna '25 [1-4]
Max Lazarus '25 [5-6]
Lanie Ferrarone '24 [7-8]
Tigers Anndaly Mcmanus '25 [1-6]
Nicholas Heggerud '23 [7-8]		 Nicholas Heggerud '23 [1-4]
Jonathan Wittick '25 [5-6]
Sadie Yoder '24 [7-8]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Henry Allgeier '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Rebecca Schill '23 [5-6]		 Emily Britt '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Marin Soderberg '24 [5-6]
Bulldogs Sean Trudell '24 Jack Poynter '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Kiana Beachy '24 Clara Murphy '23
Oaks Maddie Murphy '25 Jackson Delanty '23
Rye High School Rye High School Saffer Lillian '23 [1-8] Alice Waddington '25 [1-2]
Annabella Milano '25 [3-6]
Helen Halvorson '26 [7-8]
Garnets Gunnar Wey '24 [1-8] Hugo Sacristan '26 [1-6]
Finn Palermo '24 [7-8]
Severn School Severn School Robby Meek '23 Lilly Baker '23
Admirals Thomas Sitzmann '23 Scarlett Harris '24
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 Natalie Shaw '23
Rams Belle Placa '25 Erin Little '24
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Nicole Ostapowicz '24 [1-4]
Catherine Desmond '26 [5-8]		 Bernadette Scott '24 [1-4]
Kathryn Elliott '26 [5-8]
Cougars Kevin Ryan '25 [1-4]
Patrick Ronzo '23 [5-8]		 Bridget Theisen '25 [1-4]
Molly Mcmanus '26 [5-8]
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Gavin Hudson '24 Mairead Reitzel '24
Bears Mauro Gonzales '24 Sean Beaver '23

Conditions — 10/15/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From SSE (165°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1016.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · N 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at The Stony Brook School: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.22 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Stony Brook School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at The Stony Brook School, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →