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Kitsap 10% Regatta - Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 46 22 68
2 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 34 67 101
3 Charles Wright High School Charles Wright High School Charles Wright 15 88 103
4 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 50 55 105
5 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 54 58 112
6 St. Mary's - OR St. Mary's - OR Blues 58 55 113
7 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 46 70 116
8 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 73 63 136
9 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 95 48 143
10 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 55 93 148
11 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 92 67 159
12 Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 89 75 164
13 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 77 105 182
14 Capital High School Capital High School Capital Varsity 127 55 182
15 Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 129 83 212
16 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 91 134 225
17 Varsity Varsity Varsity 140 104 244
18 Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Eagles 111 136 247
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Charles Wright High School Charles Wright High School Charles Wright 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 6 15 Alyosha Strum-Palerm '18
Nicholas Lee '20
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 2 10 5 6 4 3 1 34 Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [1-8]
Clayton Marsh '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Harrison Saliba '17 [5-6]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 7 3 5 1 3 5 11 11 46 Axel Greening '17
Millie Kau '19
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 8 6 8 3 4 11 4 2 46 Marijke Jorna '16
Van Senseney '19
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 4 2 6 7 10 13 4 50 Max Miller '18
Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '17
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 6 11 12 4 1 7 6 7 54 Austin Hauter '17 [1-8]
Willa Weinsheimer '20 [1-6]
Jenny Danielson '20 [7-8]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 5 7 8 11 9 5 8 55 Heather Rolph '17
Julia Soes '17
St. Mary's - OR St. Mary's - OR Blues 13 8 4 10 10 3 7 3 58 Hanna Brush '17
Kyra Leon '18
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 11 7 13 13 5 13 2 9 73 Niko Twilla '18 [1-8]
Andre Alvarado '20 [1-2]
Kaylee Frede '17 [3-4]
Claire Jablonski '19 [5-8]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 10 9 9 15 8 2 14 10 77 Axel Stordahl '20
Jack Frazier '17
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 5 16 11 12 9 12 9 15 89 Margot Watts '19
Anna Foss '20
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 16 15 6 9 17 8 8 12 91 Hannah Roy '17
Max Suwarno '20
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 9 13 14 11 13 6 12 14 92 Anna Sherry '19 [1-5]
Cole Fox '18 [6-8]
Alaina Marcotte '19 [1-5]
Anna Sherry '19 [6-8]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 15 12 3 7 16 15 10 17 95 Lera Anders '18
Mallory Hood '18
Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Eagles 17 14 15 14 14 16 16 5 111 Reece Duitsman '18 [1-8]
Annelisa Ayars '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Nate Radeke '20 [3-4]
Capital High School Capital High School Capital Varsity 12 18 DNF DNS 15 14 17 13 127 Joy Brennan '20 [1-2, 5-8]
No Show [3-4]
Zachary Cowan '20 [1-2, 5-8]
No Show [3-4]
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 14 17 DNF DNS 12 17 15 16 129
Varsity Varsity Varsity DNS 10 DNF DNS 18 DNF 18 18 140
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 3 1 6 3 5 1 1 22 Dominick Wareham '19
Matia Schwartz '17
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 7 2 4 1 14 10 7 3 48 Cedric Keneipp '19 [1-8]
Peyton Nienaber '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Alejandro Ponce '18 [3-4]
St. Mary's - OR St. Mary's - OR Blues 1 1 2 2 10 13 14 12 55 Bamboo Trinh '18
No Show
Capital High School Capital High School Capital Varsity 4 4 15 15 5 4 2 6 55 Annie Buelt '20
Caroline Hurley '20
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 6 6 6 7 1 9 10 10 55 Erin Pamplin '20
Rizley Cox '20
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats RAF 7 3 3 2 11 11 2 58 Jordan Wood-Pina '18 [1-8]
Piper Fisher '19 [1-6]
Willa Weinsheimer '20 [7-8]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 13 11 7 12 4 3 9 4 63 Lina Fowler '18
Travis Bouck '20
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 8 10 11 12 7 5 11 67 Sophia Kasper '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Lindsay Campbell '20 [3-4]
Max Doane '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Harrison Saliba '17 [3-4]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 9 10 13 4 11 8 3 9 67 Morgan Chapman '19
Isabelle Loverich '19
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 5 12 9 9 7 6 8 14 70 Max Kauffman '18 [1-8]
Formosa Huang '18 [1-2]
Bridget Boyle '18 [3-8]
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 12 14 12 10 6 2 6 13 75 Reilly Hearne '18 [1-8]
Jack Rovner '20 [1-4]
Abbie Chipps '21 [5-8]
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 8 13 5 5 9 15 13 15 83
Charles Wright High School Charles Wright High School Charles Wright 14 9 14 14 8 1 12 16 88 Jack Corddry '19
Hayden Flaskerud '20
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 11 5 8 8 13 16 15 17 93 Christopher Warmuth '18
Satone Haratani '19
Varsity Varsity Varsity 10 16 DNS DNS 16 12 4 8 104
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 16 15 11 13 15 14 16 5 105 Ryan Squires '18 [1-8]
Ryalls Peter '19 [1-4]
Howeiler Will '20 [5-8]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 17 18 DNS DNS 18 18 18 7 134 Chai Spelchake '18
Morgan Seestrom '20
Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Eagles 15 17 16 DNS 17 17 17 18 136 Carson Short '19 [1-4]
Aj Olkonen '20 [5-8]
Ryan Terry '19 [1-4]
Collin Bloomer '18 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks11335577
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans22446688
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders33557799
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Capital Varsity4466881010
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars5577991111
Charles Wright High SchoolCharles Wright High School Charles Wright668810101212
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines779911111313
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides88101012121414
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams99111113131515
VarsityVarsity Varsity1010121214141616
Klahowya Secondary SchoolKlahowya Secondary School Eagles1111131315151717
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders1212141416161818
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish13131515171711
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats14141616181822
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears151517171133
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings161618182244
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners1717113355
St. Mary's - ORSt. Mary's - OR Blues1818224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks22446688
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans33557799
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders4466881010
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Capital Varsity5577991111
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars668810101212
Charles Wright High SchoolCharles Wright High School Charles Wright779911111313
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines88101012121414
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides99111113131515
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams1010121214141616
VarsityVarsity Varsity1111131315151717
Klahowya Secondary SchoolKlahowya Secondary School Eagles1212141416161818
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders13131515171711
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish14141616181822
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats151517171133
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears161618182244
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings1717113355
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners1818224466
St. Mary's - ORSt. Mary's - OR Blues11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Heather Rolph '17 Julia Soes '17
Seahawks Christopher Warmuth '18 Satone Haratani '19
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [1-8] Clayton Marsh '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Harrison Saliba '17 [5-6]
Spartans Sophia Kasper '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Lindsay Campbell '20 [3-4]		 Max Doane '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Harrison Saliba '17 [3-4]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Hannah Roy '17 Max Suwarno '20
Raiders Chai Spelchake '18 Morgan Seestrom '20
Capital High School Capital High School Joy Brennan '20 [1-2, 5-8]
No Show [3-4]		 Zachary Cowan '20 [1-2, 5-8]
No Show [3-4]
Capital Varsity Annie Buelt '20 Caroline Hurley '20
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Niko Twilla '18 [1-8] Andre Alvarado '20 [1-2]
Kaylee Frede '17 [3-4]
Claire Jablonski '19 [5-8]
Cougars Lina Fowler '18 Travis Bouck '20
Charles Wright High School Charles Wright High School Alyosha Strum-Palerm '18 Nicholas Lee '20
Charles Wright Jack Corddry '19 Hayden Flaskerud '20
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Axel Stordahl '20 Jack Frazier '17
Tides Ryan Squires '18 [1-8] Ryalls Peter '19 [1-4]
Howeiler Will '20 [5-8]
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Marijke Jorna '16 Van Senseney '19
Rams Max Kauffman '18 [1-8] Formosa Huang '18 [1-2]
Bridget Boyle '18 [3-8]
Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Reece Duitsman '18 [1-8] Annelisa Ayars '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Nate Radeke '20 [3-4]
Eagles Carson Short '19 [1-4]
Aj Olkonen '20 [5-8]		 Ryan Terry '19 [1-4]
Collin Bloomer '18 [5-8]
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Margot Watts '19 Anna Foss '20
Raiders Reilly Hearne '18 [1-8] Jack Rovner '20 [1-4]
Abbie Chipps '21 [5-8]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Anna Sherry '19 [1-5]
Cole Fox '18 [6-8]		 Alaina Marcotte '19 [1-5]
Anna Sherry '19 [6-8]
Dogfish Morgan Chapman '19 Isabelle Loverich '19
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Austin Hauter '17 [1-8] Willa Weinsheimer '20 [1-6]
Jenny Danielson '20 [7-8]
Wildcats Jordan Wood-Pina '18 [1-8] Piper Fisher '19 [1-6]
Willa Weinsheimer '20 [7-8]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Max Miller '18 Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '17
Bears Erin Pamplin '20 Rizley Cox '20
Orcas High School Orcas High School Axel Greening '17 Millie Kau '19
Vikings Dominick Wareham '19 Matia Schwartz '17
Sehome High School Sehome High School Lera Anders '18 Mallory Hood '18
Mariners Cedric Keneipp '19 [1-8] Peyton Nienaber '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Alejandro Ponce '18 [3-4]
St. Mary's - OR St. Mary's - OR Hanna Brush '17 Kyra Leon '18
Blues Bamboo Trinh '18 No Show

Conditions — 03/18/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 25.9 kn
From SSW (208°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1010.6 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn · NE 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Bainbridge: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bainbridge by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Bainbridge, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →