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Great Herring Pond Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 42 24 66
2 Providence College Providence College Friars 48 47 95
3 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 24 73 97
4 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 41 71 112
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 85 31 116
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 69 50 119
7 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 73 48 121
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 69 86 155
9 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 84 96 180
10 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 98 92 190
11 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 78 115 193
12 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 91 103 194
13 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 105 97 202
14 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 118 88 206
15 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 139 75 214
16 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 96 125 221
17 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 118 148 266
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 3 1 1 3 1 3 7 3 24 Blake Burgess '15
Nicholas Cabral '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 1 12 3 7 2 9 1 1 41 William Howard '14
Liz Runci '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 2 2 2 5 3 10 10 7 42 Trevor Burd '12
Victoria Pinteiro '??
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 4 5 6 2 8 2 9 4 48 Ian Sutherland '12
Alexandra Zweig '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 6 3 7 8 9 16 8 9 69 Lucas Adams '15
Lydia Whiteford '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 5 15 8 10 6 8 11 2 69 David Liebenberg '14 [1-2]
Ben Weigel '14 [3-9]
Sam Madden '15 [1-2]
Elizabeth Keys '14 [3-9]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 10 DSQ 10 1 5 7 2 10 73 Michael Croteau '15 [1-9]
Charlotte Williamson '15 [1-2]
Elise Engquist '15 [3-9]
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 9 12 14 5 4 10 6 13 5 78 Mike Brendlinger '14
Norbert Mongeon '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 13 7 4 6 13 11 6 12 84 Robert Lippincott '14 [1-9]
Jennifer Poole '14 [1-2, 7-9]
Austin Schwarz '13 [3-6]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 15 7 4 13 9 7 4 15 11 85 Matthew Paige '13
Megan Place '13
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 7 15 13 9 14 12 1 5 15 91 John Mcglynn '13
Caroline Eisenmann '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 11 9 11 15 14 14 3 6 96 Thomas Presti '13
Eleanor Leonard '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 17 8 12 12 4 17 14 8 98 Vincent Marchetto '12
Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 9 11 17 11 15 13 4 14 105 Daniel Barry '15
Carter Brown '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 14 14 10 15 16 11 5 16 17 118 Sean Willerford '14
Nicole Hoesterey '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 17 8 6 16 17 17 12 12 13 118 Zachary O'Brien '13
Danielle Arpino '15
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 16 16 16 14 13 16 15 17 16 139 Christopher Calahan '12
Carolyn Fanning '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 3 2 4 1 5 1 2 3 24 Michael Saldi '15 [1-9]
Lalitha Kumaresan '13 [1-2]
Joseph Ballow '13 [3-9]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 4 1 5 3 1 2 8 5 31 Connor Brady '15
Carleton Huntsberger '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 5 8 5 3 4 10 10 1 1 47 Carl Lichtenfels '12
Aimee Kelleher '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 6 6 1 7 3 9 3 4 48 Tom Peabody '14
Alexandra Brown '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 5 4 2 6 7 4 4 11 50 Johanna Kincaid '15 [1-2]
Sky Adams '14 [3-9]
Kristin Altreuter '14 [1-2]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 9 10 8 8 2 5 13 10 71 William Simon '14
Katie Callaghan '15
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 4 1 12 9 13 BKD 6 12 8 73 Christopher Hulse '12
Maureen Blanchard '15
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 13 7 3 6 12 11 3 11 9 75 Edward Moan '14
Katlyn Flynn '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 11 13 9 12 7 14 17 86 Willem Sandberg '14 [1-2]
James Downer '15 [3-9]
Mara Porter '14 [1-2]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 11 11 7 7 10 9 11 15 7 88 Samuel Cushing '15
Peyton Albanese '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 15 14 8 11 11 4 8 9 12 92 Heidi Hood '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 12 16 10 5 8 14 5 14 96 Christopher Jensen '14 [1-3]
Genevieve Marquardt '15 [4-9]
Hayley Blundell '13 [1-2, 4-9]
Genevieve Marquardt '15 [3]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 8 13 14 12 2 14 15 6 13 97 Sean Mclaughlin '15
Kaitlyn Nanartowich '14
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 16 15 9 DNF 15 6 12 10 2 103 Brooke Baker '13
Maritza Ebling '12
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 10 10 13 14 17 16 13 16 6 115 Matthew Connolly '12
Caroline Mallory '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 14 16 15 15 14 13 16 7 15 125 Michael Rottier '15
Alexandra Arendt '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 17 17 17 16 16 15 17 17 16 148 Stephanie Roush '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats3355779
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers6688101012
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44668810
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears55779911
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears7799111113
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies161611335
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners991111131315
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers10101212141416
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers881010121214
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies11111313151517
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1212141416161
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams171722446
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1313151517172
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks14141616113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151717224
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1133557
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech2244668

Division B

Team3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats44668810
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers7799111113
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears55779911
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears6688101012
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears881010121214
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies171722446
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners10101212141416
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers11111313151517
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers991111131315
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1212141416161
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1313151517172
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1133557
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks14141616113
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks15151717224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos161611335
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals2244668
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech3355779
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Christopher Calahan '12 Carolyn Fanning '12
Bobcats Edward Moan '14 Katlyn Flynn '15
Boston University Boston University Trevor Burd '12 Victoria Pinteiro '??
Terriers Michael Saldi '15 [1-9] Lalitha Kumaresan '13 [1-2]
Joseph Ballow '13 [3-9]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michael Croteau '15 [1-9] Charlotte Williamson '15 [1-2]
Elise Engquist '15 [3-9]
Polar Bears Tom Peabody '14 Alexandra Brown '13
Brown University Brown University Lucas Adams '15 Lydia Whiteford '15
Bears Johanna Kincaid '15 [1-2]
Sky Adams '14 [3-9]		 Kristin Altreuter '14 [1-2]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Blake Burgess '15 Nicholas Cabral '15
Mariners Christopher Hulse '12 Maureen Blanchard '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Daniel Barry '15 Carter Brown '15
Buccaneers Sean Mclaughlin '15 Kaitlyn Nanartowich '14
Middlebury College Middlebury College Sean Willerford '14 Nicole Hoesterey '13
Panthers Stephanie Roush '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Vincent Marchetto '12 Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
Huskies Heidi Hood '16
Providence College Providence College Ian Sutherland '12 Alexandra Zweig '13
Friars Carl Lichtenfels '12 Aimee Kelleher '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Matthew Paige '13 Megan Place '13
Hawks Connor Brady '15 Carleton Huntsberger '12
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Robert Lippincott '14 [1-9] Jennifer Poole '14 [1-2, 7-9]
Austin Schwarz '13 [3-6]
Seahawks Christopher Jensen '14 [1-3]
Genevieve Marquardt '15 [4-9]		 Hayley Blundell '13 [1-2, 4-9]
Genevieve Marquardt '15 [3]
Tufts University Tufts University David Liebenberg '14 [1-2]
Ben Weigel '14 [3-9]		 Sam Madden '15 [1-2]
Elizabeth Keys '14 [3-9]
Jumbos Willem Sandberg '14 [1-2]
James Downer '15 [3-9]		 Mara Porter '14 [1-2]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy William Howard '14 Liz Runci '15
Bears William Simon '14 Katie Callaghan '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Thomas Presti '13 Eleanor Leonard '13
Huskies Michael Rottier '15 Alexandra Arendt '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Zachary O'Brien '13 Danielle Arpino '15
Rams Samuel Cushing '15 Peyton Albanese '14
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University John Mcglynn '13 Caroline Eisenmann '12
Cardinals Brooke Baker '13 Maritza Ebling '12
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Mike Brendlinger '14 Norbert Mongeon '15
Worcester Polytech Matthew Connolly '12 Caroline Mallory '13

Conditions — 10/15/2011 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1003.3 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
18.1 kn
avg  ·  max 20.5 kn
Gusts to 37.9 kn
From SW (226°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover25% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1003.3 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 20 kn · W 17 kn · W 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →